Berkeley CSUA MOTD:Entry 53496
 Berkeley CSUA MOTD Match all Match any Histogram Relevance Most current Least current

 WIKI | FAQ | Tech FAQ http://csua.com/feed/
 2009/11/4-17 [Transportation/Car] UID:53496 Activity:nil ```11/4 I posted the probability question the other day. It was nothing as complicated as MTBF or the like. My situation is very similar to looking at auto accident rates, asking if the rate of caraccidents for any given driver is N%/year, what is the chance that for a given day that driver will have a crash? N% or N/365% or something else? Thanks again. \_ keywords: stats statistics \_ http://www.businessinsider.com/answers-to-15-more-google-interview-questions-that-will-make-you-feel-stupid-2009-11#if-the-probability-of-observing-a-car-in-30-minutes-on-a-highway-is-095-what-is-the-probability-of-observing-a-car-in-10-minutes-assuming-constant-default-probability-2 \_ You'd have to know something about the distribution of car crashes. Presumably they're more likely to happen around holidays and such. Few real-world situations have flat distributions. -tom \_ Agreed. However, if you're willing to assume a flat distribution, your probability should be (1-N%)^(1/365) neglicting leap years. -- yuen \_ That doesn't seem to make intuitive sense. If N=10% then your calculation says there is a 99.97% probability you WILL crash on any given day. \_ Look at the inverse. \_ Oops. I forgot the "1 -" part. It should be 1 - (1-N%)^(1/365). -- yuen \_ why are you giving away the fish? Teach a man to FISH!!!```
2017/09/20 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
 9/20

You may also be interested in these entries...
 2013/7/22-8/23 [Transportation/Car, Transportation/Car/RoadHogs] UID:54711 Activity:nil ```7/22 "George Zimmerman Emerged From Hiding for Truck Crash Rescue" http://www.csua.org/u/10qi (gma.yahoo.com) The auto accident was staged by Zimmermand and his lawyer, I'm sure. :) ... ```
 2012/7/29-9/24 [Transportation/Car, Transportation/Car/RoadHogs] UID:54446 Activity:nil ```7/29 Is it really true that we subsidize auto driving to the tune of \$5k/yr? Shit I could probably hire a private driver for less... http://tinyurl.com/cars-suck-ass \_ You might have missed the point. Hiring a chauffeur to drive your private vehicle won't change the amount of gasoline your private vehicle use or the amount of real estate it uses on freeways and ... ```
 2010/1/15-25 [Transportation/Car] UID:53634 Activity:nil ```1/15 Hey guys, can you provide recommendations for home loans and car insurance? I looked into http://www.marlihomes.com and it looks promising. As for insurance, I'm looking at http://www.pasoinsurance.com (e.g. "We did the Car insurance homework for you. See the results at Paso Auto Insurance"). ... ```
 2009/8/5-13 [Transportation/Car, Transportation/Car/RoadHogs] UID:53240 Activity:kinda low ```8/5 The Technium. Economics, needs, and physics-- is there an end to Moore's Law, or any other laws wrt to storage, bandwidth, megapixels? http://www.kk.org/thetechnium/archives/2009/07/was_moores_law.php \_ Automobile MPGs don't follow Moore's Law. Oh, the article already mentions this. \_ Maybe they just have a lower exponential coefficient. Processor ... ```