Berkeley CSUA MOTD:Entry 28213
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2025/07/09 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
7/9     

2003/4/24 [Health/Disease/General] UID:28213 Activity:insanely high
4/24    Just curious, no links, not trolling, etc.  How many of you think
        SARS will turn into a huge global epidemic?  I don't know what the
        infection rate is for those exposed, but I do know from publicly
        available numbers that the death rate is about 3.5%.  If everyone
        on the planet got it (go with me here), we're talking over 200m dead
        world wide.
           \_ The current death rate is an estimate based on a the number of
              estimated SARS cases.  As more patients are diagnosed with non-
              SARS flu/cold, the dead/infected denominator is going to go
              down, so the overall death rate is going to go up.  Just wait
              for the availability of quick clinical tests for SARS.  Whee!
        \_ it is possible.  But it is better to be proactive and aggressive
           now.
        \_ I'd say it's like the flu, but with no vaccine.
           \_ Shoot them?  Gather up everyone with cold symptoms and put them
              away?
        \_ I'd say it's like the flu, but with no vaccine.  Flu mortality
           is ~ 10%.
           \_ TEN PERCENT?  You fucking idiot.  You are innumerate.
              \_ http://www.mdch.state.mi.us/PHA/OSR/cri/Flu.asp
                 22 per 100,000, roughly, or 0.02%
                 \_ This reports lists 22 flu deaths per 100,000 U.S.
                    citizens.  The ~ 10% mortality rate is for those who
                    who actually get the flu.  (Mortality for young healthy
                    adults who get it is about 5%; older, higher.)
                    \_ You are an idiot.  And innumerate.  There is NO WAY
                       that 10% of "those who actually get the flu" die.  Not
                       with recent flu viruses anyway.  Look at this:
                       http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/diseases/flu/fluinfo.htm If
                       you crunch the numbers, there you get ~.06%.  Not 5%.
                       Not only are you an idiot, you're wrong by a factor of
                       100.  THINK ABOUT THIS YOU FOOL.  How many people do
                       you know who have died of the flu?
                       \_ About 10%.
                           \_ OK, maybe this is true in your case, but you're
                              still wrong about the flu being 10% fatal.
                              idiot.
                              \_ What makes my case special?  You think I only
                                 hang out with people with weak immune systems?
                                 \_ Yup.  You only hang out with AIDS-sickened
                                    drag queens with weak immune systems.
                              \_ You are the ones who are the ball-lickers!!!
                                 \_ ED!
                                    \_ 10%
                                       \_ It's a tragedy of the commons.
           \_ My mistake.  The mortality rate for flu is 0.1%.  The mortality
              rate for flu and pneumonia ranges from 7%-10%.  The mortality
              rate for pneumonia is 10%.  The mortality rate of 5% for
              young healthy adults was for the 1918 Spanish flu.  Yes,
              I feel pretty stupid. -op
2025/07/09 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
7/9     

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2009/8/20-9/1 [Health/Disease/General] UID:53296 Activity:low
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Cache (682 bytes)
www.mdch.state.mi.us/PHA/OSR/cri/Flu.asp
Computed by the direct method, using as the standard population the age distribution of the total population of the United States as projected for the year 2000. The true rate lies between the lower and upper bounds of the interval with 95% statistical confidence. The underlying cause of death is the condition giving rise to the chain of events leading to death. Before 1999, Pneumonia and Influenza deaths were classified with ICD-9 codes 480-487. Starting in 1999, Pneumonia and Influenza deaths were classified using ICD-10 codes J10-J18. Source: 1989-2002 Michigan Resident Death Files, Vital Records & Health Data Development Section, Michigan Department of Community Health.
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www.cdc.gov/ncidod/diseases/flu/fluinfo.htm
References 1.