8/5 Regarding NKorea relesing the journalists, here's what I think the
actual deal between Kim and Obama is:
- Both agree that Kim needs to save, or gain, face to pave the way for
his son's succession and for NK's stability.
- Both agree that Obama doesn't like losing face by publicly
apologizing.
- There will be a publicly aware private message from Obama to Kim.
The message delivery needs to be high-profile. (Bill Clinton was
chosen.)
- After that, Kim will announce that Obama has apologized, while Obama
will announce that he didn't.
- Neither Obama nor Kim will care whether Obama has actually apologized
or not, and both of them will drop the apology issue quickly.
Just my wild guess. :-)
\_ I'm sorry, I'm behind the ball. What does Obama need to apologise
for? There is always "NK is very very bad" rhetoric whenever NK
hits the news... why would they need to apologise for this?
\_ It depends on what you mean by "need". Is it "one needs to
apologize because his side is bad/wrong", or is it "one needs to
apologize because apologizing will get his side something they
want from the other side"?
\_ Can't we just nuke 'em?
\_ SRSLY
\_ Nuke vote: .......... |
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