Berkeley CSUA MOTD:Entry 50321
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2025/07/09 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
7/9     

2008/6/20-23 [Politics/Domestic/Crime] UID:50321 Activity:moderate
6/20    "About six months ago, they decided to put a hunch to the test.
        Janikowski merged his computer map of crime patterns with Betts's map
        of Section8 rentals. Where Janikowski saw a bunny rabbit, Betts saw a
        sideways horseshoe ...  Otherwise, the match was near-perfect. On the
        merged map, dense violent-crime areas are shaded dark blue, and
        Section8 addresses are represented by little red dots. All of the
        dark-blue areas are covered in little red dots, like bursts of gunfire.
        The rest of the city has almost no dots."
        http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200807/memphis-crime
        \_ The conclusion here is depressingly obvious.  If you take people
           who want to get out of the project out, they do well.  If you push
           out people who don't want to leave, they do poorly. Suprise!
           out people who don't want to leave, they do poorly. Surprise!
           \_ There's another inteteresting issue:  what do you do when your
              research points to results that are ugly, un-pc or unpopular?
              \_ You publish them.  Why is that interesting or an issue?
                 \_ Tell that to the global warming drones.
                    \_ That's right: global warming's a myth, and The Man is
                       preventing the truth from coming out. Also see:
                       Flat Earthers and the Lone Gunmen.
        \_ One interesting verified implication of this article is that
           the inner cities are becoming safer while some suburbs are starting
           to have more crime. I wonder if this is already accellerating the
           return of middle-class/affluent non-minorities to the inner cities.
           I think this is already happening in some cities (maybe Oakland and
           Chicago?)
           \_ What is a "non-minority"?
        \_ And therefore... what? The implication seems to be that Section 8
           leads directly to crime, and the not-so-subtle inference drawn
           therefrom seems to be that poor people are criminals. Cf. theories
           of moral turpitude in the Bowery circa the 19th century for more
           unsupported suppositions.
           \_ If we had less poverty, we would probably have less crime. This
              theory works in Northern Europe.
2025/07/09 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
7/9     

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www.theatlantic.com/doc/200807/memphis-crime
com banner July/August 2008 Atlantic Monthly Why is crime rising in so many American cities? The answer implicates one of the most celebrated antipoverty programs of recent decades. Printer Format Photographs by Robert King/Polaris Images Video footage shot by Hanna Rosin memphis police THE THIN BLUE LINE: Doug Barnes of the Memphis Police Department inside the Old Allen Station armory To get to the Old Allen police station in North Memphis, you have to drive all the way to the end of a quiet suburban road until it turns country. Hidden by six acres of woods, the station seems to be the kind of place that might concern itself mainly with lost dogs, or maybe the misuse of hunting licenses. As Lieutenant Doug Barnes waited for me to arrive one night for a tour of his beat, he had a smoke and listened for shots. Barnes is white, middle-aged, and, like many veteran cops, looks powerful without being fit. He grew up four miles from the station during the 1960s, he said, back when middle-class whites lived peacefully alongside both city elites and working-class African Americans. After the 1968 riots, Barnes's father taught him the word curfew and reminded him to lock the doors. Still, the place remained, until about 10 years ago, a pretty safe neighborhood where you could play outside with a ball or a dog. But as he considered more-recent times, his nostalgia gave way to something darker. He remembers when the ground began to shift beneath him. He was working as an investigator throughout the city, looking into homicides and major crimes. One day in 1997, he got a call to check out a dead car that someone had rolled up onto the side of the interstate, on the way to the northern suburbs. The car "looked like Swiss cheese," he said, with 40 or 50 bullet holes in it and blood all over the seats. He located one corpse in the woods nearby and another, which had been shoved out a car door, in the parking lot of a hospital a few miles away. He found a neighborhood witness, who gave up everything but the killers' names. Two weeks later, he got another call about an abandoned car. "It was my witness," he recalled, "deader than a mackerel." At this point, he still thought of the stretch of Memphis where he'd grown up as "quiet as all get-out"; the only place you'd see cruisers congregated was in the Safeway parking lot, where churchgoing cops held choir practice before going out for drinks. Once-quiet apartment complexes full of young families "suddenly started turning hot on us." Instead of the occasional break-in, Barnes was getting calls about armed robberies, gunshots in the hallways, drug dealers roughing up their neighbors. As we drove around his beat, this new suburban warfare was not so easy to make out. We passed by the city zoo and Rhodes College, a serene-looking campus on a hill. We passed by plenty of quiet streets lined with ranch houses, not fancy but not falling down, either. Then Barnes began to narrate, street by street, getting more animated and bitter by the block. Here was the perfectly pleasant-looking Maplewood Avenue, where the old azaleas were just starting to bloom and the local cops were trying to weed out the Chicago drug connection. Farther down the avenue, two households flew American flags, and a third was known for manufacturing "cheese," a particularly potent form of powdered heroin. The Hollywood branch of the local library, long famous for its children's room, was now also renowned for the time thugs stole $1,800 there from a Girl Scout who'd been collecting cookie funds. Finally we came to a tidy brick complex called Goodwill Village, where Barnes had recently chased down some gang members who'd been taking turns having sex with a new female recruit. David Lynch movie, where every backyard and cul-de-sac could double as a place to hide a body. Or like a suburban remake of Taxi Driver, with Barnes as the new Travis Bickle. "I hold the key, and my job right now is to protect the people from all the animals." On September 27, 2007, a headline in The Commercial Appeal, the city's biggest newspaper, announced a dubious honor: "Memphis Leads US in Violent Crime." Local precincts had been seeing their internal numbers for homicide, rape, aggravated assault, and robbery tick up since the late 1990s, starting around the time Barnes saw the first dead car. By 2005, a criminologist closely tracking those numbers was describing the pattern as a crime explosion. In May of 2007, a woman from upscale Chickasaw Gardens was raped by two men, at gunpoint; the assailants had followed her and her son home one afternoon. Outraged residents formed Citizens Against Crime and lobbied the statehouse for tougher gun laws. "People are concerned for their lives, frankly," said one county commissioner, summarizing the city's mood. This March, a man murdered six people, including two young children, in a house a few miles south of Old Allen Station. Falling crime rates have been one of the great American success stories of the past 15 years. New York and Los Angeles, once the twin capitals of violent crime, have calmed down significantly, as have most other big cities. Criminologists still debate why: the crack war petered out, new policing tactics worked, the economy improved for a long spell. Whatever the alchemy, crime in New York, for instance, is now so low that local prison guards are worried about unemployment. Lately, though, a new and unexpected pattern has emerged, taking criminologists by surprise. While crime rates in large cities stayed flat, homicide rates in many midsize cities (with populations of between 500,000 and 1 million) began increasing, sometimes by as much as 20percent a year. In 2006, the Police Executive Research Forum, a national police group surveying cities from coast to coast, concluded in a report called "A Gathering Storm" that this might represent "the front end ... The leaders of the group, which is made up of police chiefs and sheriffs, theorized about what might be spurring the latest crime wave: the spread of gangs, the masses of offenders coming out of prison, methamphetamines. According to FBI data, America's most dangerous spots are now places where Martin Scorsese would never think of staging a shoot-out--Florence, South Carolina; Memphis has always been associated with some amount of violence. But why has Elvis's hometown turned into America's new South Bronx? Barnes thinks he knows one big part of the answer, as does the city's chief of police. A handful of local criminologists and social scientists think they can explain it, too. But it's a dismal answer, one that city leaders have made clear they don't want to hear. It's an answer that offers up racial stereotypes to fearful whites in a city trying to move beyond racial tensions. Ultimately, it reaches beyond crime and implicates one of the most ambitious antipoverty programs of recent decades. Early every Thursday, Richard Janikowski drives to Memphis's Airways Station for the morning meeting of police precinct commanders. Janikowski used to teach law and semiotics, and he still sometimes floats on a higher plane; he walks slowly, speaks in a nasal voice, and quotes from policy books. But at this point in his career, he is basically an honorary cop. A criminologist with the University of Memphis, Janikowski has established an unusually close relationship with the city police department. From the police chief to the beat cop, everyone knows him as "Dr. When his researchers are looking for him, they can often find him outside the building, having a smoke with someone in uniform. About 100 people--commanders, beat cops, researchers, and a city councilman--gathered in a sterile conference room with a projector up front. The session had none of the raucous air of precinct meetings you see on cop shows. Nobody was making crude jokes or bragging about the latest run-in with the hood rats. One by one, the precinct commanders presented crime and arrest statistics in their wards. They broke the information down into neat bar graphs--type of crime, four-week comparison, shifting hot spots. Thanks to Janikowski's influence, the commanders sounded more like ...