Berkeley CSUA MOTD:Entry 49556
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2025/04/03 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
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2008/3/24-27 [Politics/Domestic/Election] UID:49556 Activity:very high
3/24    McCain's endless free ride
        http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2008_03/013394.php
        \_ McCain's free ride will end when Hillary finally gives up.  He's
           going to get slaughtered.  -tom
           \_ Maybe. I wish I shared your confidence in that.
                \_ No kidding, Bush was going to get "slaughtered" too how the
                   the heck does a bumbling incompetent get [s]elected twice?
                   \_ c.f. "Idiocracy"
                   \_ I didn't think Bush was going to get slaughtered.  The
                      situation is completely different today.  McCain will
                      be viewed as the candidate of yesterday; he will win if
                      people think the country's current state is good.
                      What do you think?  -tom
                      \_ Unless the Dems get their act together and nominate
                         ALGOR, McCain is going to be our next president. It
                         is fairly clear that Billary can't win. I used to
                         think Obama could win but Billary has really done a
                         number on him in the last few weeks. Because of this
                         I think McCain has a good chance of beating Obama.
                         I think McCain has a very good chance of beating
                         Obama.
                         I think McCain will most likely beat Obama.
                         \_ The idea of Al Gore as a candidate is laughable.
                            He had enormous advantages over Dubya and still
                            lost.  He lost his own home state.  He's got one
                            strong topic, the environment, which doesn't seem
                            like a major issue in this campaign.  -tom
                            \_ ALGOR's biggest advantage is the realization
                               of the electorate of how different things would
                               have been if he had become President in 2000.
                               Also, unlike Obama, he hasn't been broken down
                               by Billary. At this point, he is probably the
                               only democrat who can take on McCain and win.
                               \_ Asserting that again doesn't make it any
                                  less stupid.  -tom
                     \_ Do you really think people who voted for Dubya in 2004
                        will vote for Obama now? I think it will be the usual
                        red vs. blue scenario.
                        \_ Yes, I do.  Something happening twice doesn't make
                           it the "usual" scenario.  Votes are a lot more
                           elastic than that.  Ronald Reagan carried New York.
                           Clinton carried Georgia.  -tom
                           \_ Consider: McCain is less polarizing, seen as more
                              moderate, than Bush. Obama is more polarizing
                              than Kerry or Gore, apparently: for the racial
                              issue if not the political issues.
                              I rate their chances as 50/50 either way. It will
                              depend on what media events happen between now
                              and November. But don't take my word for it:
                              http://preview.tinyurl.com/2yke8u
                              The trend is actually for McCain. Saying McCain
                              is going to get slaughtered is delusional. It's
                              typical for you guys to delude yourself about
                              the appeal of the Republican candidates. You
                              don't understand the R voters.
                              The only way McCain will get slaughtered is if
                              he goes senile and cracks up on national TV:
                              his age is his weakness.
                              \_ I understand R voters just fine, you don't
                                 understand swing voters at all. They care
                                 mostly about the economy, which is going to
                                 hell. Who do you think they are going to blame
                                 for this? How much do you want to bet on the
                                 outcome? -ausman
                                 \_ I don't want to bet. I already said I
                                    rate the chances 50/50. If I want to bet
                                    near 50/50 I'll go play craps somewhere.
                                    I pointed to polls showing 50/50. Are you
                                    a Swami who foretells some vast shift
                                    in public opinions within the next 6
                                    months? It's not very credible to
                                    place blame for all problems at the feet
                                    of the incumbent party. The D's voted
                                    us into Iraq also. The D's have controlled
                                    Congress lately.
                                    \_ Intrade and the Iowa markets have it
                                    \_ Intrade and the other markets have it
                                       more like 60/40. But I am sure all the
                                       people betting there are not as wise
                                       and experienced in these things as you
                                       are. I expect the polls to change
                                       pretty hard against McCain after the
                                       Democratic nomination. And a majority
                                       of Democrats in Congress voted against
                                       the Iraq War. Retelling that tired
                                       old lie of yours doesn't make it any
                                       more convincing.
                                       \_ The Senate is not Congress? A lot of
                                          D's voted for it, and a majority in
                                          the Senate. D's control Congress.
                                          D's continue to fund the war. I think
                                          I was mentioning delusions a couple
                                          posts ago.
                                          McCain hasn't really begun to fight.
                                          You really think it's so obvious?
                                          You should go bet on Intrade, those
                                          40-something ask prices are ripe for
                                          the picking.
                                          \_ You are the one claiming that it
                                             is 50/50, you should be grabbing
                                             all the 40's you can.
                                             \_ The topic here started with
                                                someone questioning tom's
                                                claim that McCain will get
                                                "slaughtered". If you want
                                                to define what that means
                                                (Obama gets >60% of pop vote?)
                                                then maybe I could bet against
                                                that.
                                                I'm not claiming Obama will
                                                lose. I don't like the odds
                                                enough to risk losing. You
                                                are the one who is apparently
                                                certain of the outcome. My
                                                entire point is that it's
                                                uncertain. (Someone else
                                                claimed McCain would win.)
                                                \_ I am not certain, but I
                                                   think the race is the
                                                   Democrats to lose. They
                                                   might just do that though.
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4/3     

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Cache (8192 bytes)
www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2008_03/013394.php
Iran is supporting al-Qaeda in Iraq: Even if he gets dinged on the experience stuff, "Oh, he says he's Mr Experience. He's got enough of that in the bank, at least with the media, that he can get away with it. I mean, the irony to this is had either Senator Clinton or Senator Obama misspoke like that, it'd have been on a running loop, and it would become a, a big problem for a couple of days for them. Anti-torture cred allows him to get away with supporting torture as long as only the CIA does it. And what window do Democrats go to to get the same treatment the press gives McCain? Comments (58) Comments How outrageous, to presume that any Dem could or should possibly be treated the same as this Great Man Get down on your knees in gratitude that a lightning bolt doesn't come down from heaven and strike you dead on the spot. What I want to know, and what few people talk about, is how Bush got the same treatment once McCain was out of the race in 2000. And Thompson was getting it, until it was obvious he could barely get out of bed in the morning. Giuliani was getting it until he turned out to be a crook and a dud campaigner. Huckabee got it for a while, as well, until he became a threat to McCain, and even then his coverage was never bad despite the plain fact that he's a nut. It isn't just McCain, and it helps to disguise the root of the problem to say it is. PERMALINK Greenwald found the following quote from Time's Ana Marie Cox to Howie Kurtz earlier this year: "The journalists who covered McCain in 2000 feel very self-conscious about the criticism that the press came under for apparently being so taken with John McCain. There's a sense that the first time was so fun and exciting, but this time we're really going to be sober and critical and the dispassionate observers we're supposed to be." PERMALINK The Dems just have to nominate white male candidate who has a wife who inherited her wealth from the family's business selling a consumable fluid and he must have served in Vietnam as a military officer and as a Senator in Washington. PERMALINK Kevin asked: "Remind me again: where does all this cred come from?" They want John McCain to become president and continue the Cheney/Bush policies of massive tax cuts for the ultra-rich and deregulation of their industry so that they can gobble up more and more of America's newspapers, networks and TV and radio stations, with the goal of eventually having complete, unshakeable totalitarian control of ALL the information that Americans can get anywhere. The mass media's shameless support for Cheney/Bush and their onslaughts of character assassination against Gore in 2000 and Kerry in 2004 got Cheney/Bush close enough to steal those elections through voter disenfranchisement and fraud. And that's exactly what America's corporate overlords have planned for 2008. Kevin asked: "And what window do Democrats go to to get the same treatment the press gives McCain?" Mainstream Democratic candidates like Clinton and Obama espouse a "kinder and gentler" corporate dictatorship. They believe that corporations should be subject to the rule of law, for one thing -- that so-called "free markets" should not be corrupted with lying, cheating and stealing. And they believe that the working class and middle class (who are increasingly indistinguishable) should get a few crumbs from the table of the ultra-rich. Whereas the Republicans hold lying, cheating and stealing as cornerstones of their theory of governance, and believe that the working class and the middle class should get a kick in the teeth. That's why Democratic candidates are unacceptable to America's corporate ruling class, and are subjected to campaigns of character assassination by the corporate-owned mass media. PERMALINK The Dems just have to nominate white male candidate who has a wife who inherited her wealth from the family's business selling a consumable fluid and he must have served in Vietnam as a military officer and as a Senator in Washington. His knowledge and experience are unparalleled in this great nation. Only Liberal Fools would refuse to see and bow down to such greatness. They are inexperienced liberals, and they do not have any real experience. Thank God the Lord has delivered us John Magnificent McCain. PERMALINK And what window do Democrats go to to get the same treatment the press gives McCain? First stop is surgery, of course: sex change for Hillary, skin bleaching for Obama. Then some aging treatments: they can't just be white men, they have to be old, cranky white men, just like the media, so the media will identify. 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preview.tinyurl.com/2yke8u -> www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html
With McCain You Get the Real Thing - Benjamin Manaster, Wall St. DNC's Dean Needs to Strike Grand Bargain - Doug Schoen, Wall St.