1/10 Finally reading Freakonomics: Not terribly impressed. Your thoughts?
\_ It's popular science writing. What did you expect? Hav you read
any of the original papers that Levitt wrote or referenced?
-dans
\_ No, I haven't. Given the way people were talking about it, I
somehow expect revelations. Instead I got loud, unnecessary
admonitions about not leaping to conclusions, often followed by
the writer's leapt-to conclusions.
\_ Keep in mind, many people, even well educated ones don't
grok the simple idea that correlation does not imply
causation. Freakonomics explication of this is remarkably
good. Have you read many other pop-sci books? Were
there any that you did like? -dans
\_ Your first statement is key here and most of why I'm
still boggling. You're right, but that scares the hell
out of me. From here to "weighs the same as a duck"
is not a large leap.
\_ Causation is harder than it looks. For example, is the
converse of above true (e.g., does lack of correlation
imply lack of causation?) Or how about this: "when
DOES correlation imply causation?" -- ilyas
\_ Statistics attempts to answer these questions. I
took an econometrics class at Cal which
attempted to answer similar questions w.r.t.
economic data. That's probably more useful than
Freakonomics.
\_ So are you suggesting 'people on the street'
should read statistics literature in order to
gain an understanding of causality issues?
What DO you suggest they read? -- ilyas
\_ I suggest they go home and have a beer and
not worry themselves about it. Otherwise,
go take a stats class.
\_ Despite you dismissing the entire genre of
popular science books in a single stroke, I
am glad the scientific establishment
continues to produce them, and the general
public continues to read them. Maybe you
should have a beer, and stop commenting on
things you don't understand. -- ilyas
\_ I didn't dismiss the entire genre. I
just said that if someone really
wants to learn then they take a
class. Otherwise, it's not clear
what they might be getting. Some
popular science books are great and
some are garbage. If you don't care
then it doesn't matter, I guess.
\_ I am going to assume that you are not asking me
to recount the scientific method here.
\_ I enjoyed it.
\_ Some topics were surprising to me, but over all I now use it as
tool for explaning causation and correlation to others who are
not as experienced with science as I. Freakonomics is great
a great popular science. As with all popular science, there is
cost involved when explaining the complex to the dull minded. |