7/27 ilyas, if healthcare has no positive effects, to what then do we
attribute the huge increase in expected human lifespan in rich
industrialized countries over the last 100 years? Of course improved
sanitation is one obvious cause, but it can't account for everything.
\_
\_ Have you actually read the study? They weren't comparing 'medicine'
to 'no medicine,' but 'free medicine' to 'medicine you pay for
yourself.' They found almost no positive effect except in I think
two cases. One was optometry, and I forget the other one, but
essentially the statistics would expect one positive result like
that just from the noise. The 'causal explanation' is that if you
perceive the healthcare as 'free' you go in for more procedures and
this becomes counterproductive, whereas if you pay for everything
yourself, you tend to go see a doctor when you think you really
need it, and in that case medical intervention is far far more likely
to actually be beneficial. (They adjusted for things like income
and initial health of course). -- ilyas
\_ Did you read the study yourself? They were comparing
free medical care to cost-sharing--not to "medicine you pay
for yourself". They found positive effects including 10%
reduced morbitity due to hypertension in the population that
got free medical care. They found the population that
cost-shared went to doctors less often for *all kinds* of
procedures, including highly effective ones. And the positive
effects were more pronounced among the poorest of the population.
The study simply doesn't say what you says it does. Also, it
was done in 1982 and health care has changed enormously since
then, particularly in the U.S. And, you're a moron. -tom
\_ From the actual study pdf results section (not the glitzy 2006
html summary you read): "For the 'average' person enrolled in
the experiment, we observed two significant positive effects of
free care relative to cost-sharing: corrected far vision
(i.e., when the enrolle was wearing his or her usual glasses
or contact lenses) was better by 0.1 Snellen lines
(p = 0.001) and diastolic blood pressure was lower by 0.8 mm
Hg (p = 0.03). For the remaining measures, confidence limits
for the differences between the free and cost-sharing plans
were sufficiently narrow to conclude that, for the average
participant, any true differences would be clinically and
socially negligible." Yes, clearly the subjects didn't
pay for the entire care themselves (although in one regime
it was 95% of the cost I think), nor did I imply they did --
I used the same 'summary language' the study authors did
themselves. I won't call you a moron, I ll let history
be the judge. -- ilyas
\_ ilyas is a moron -history
\_ But... but... but he'e my FRIEND!! *sob*
--the invisible hand
\_ Ilyas, would you please re-post your link? Either someone
keeps deleting it or I've just missed it. Thanks.
\_ Search for 'jrleek.' -- ilyas |