Berkeley CSUA MOTD:Entry 47032
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2007/6/21-24 [Politics/Domestic/President/Clinton, Politics/Domestic/President/Bush] UID:47032 Activity:high
6/21    Bush at 26% in Newsweek poll
        http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/19354100/site/newsweek
        \_ That's not too bad. Compare that to Nixon's:
   http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2005/11/02/opinion/polls/main1005327.shtml
           http://preview.tinyurl.com/eytw5 (cbsnews.com)
           Keep in mind this is from CBS, liberal Jewish media.
           \_ Thanks for invalidating anything else you have to say.
        \_ I don't think he cares.  Why should he?
           \_ maybe because he is supposed to be a representative of the
              people.
              \_ He is. The people are idiots and so is he. I don't see why
                 people's opinions changed. What is different now? A lot of us
                 disapproved of him from the beginning. And, you know, didn't
                 vote for him. Now all these Johnny come latelys want to be
                 cool like us. But it's too late. We moved on to disapproving
                 of the mainstream primary frontrunners.
                 \_ Pft!  I've already dismissed them all and moved on to
                    disapproving of the second and third tier candidates as
                    well as several who aren't even rumored to be interested in
                    running.  -Johnnt C. L.
             \_ He still has things he is trying to get accomplished and it
                is hard to get Congress to listen to him when he is so
                unpopular. Most politicians care about something called
                their "legacy" as well, and every indication is that Bush
                cares, too.  So sorry, he probably cares. Maybe his
                supporters (like you?) do not.
                \_ His current goal appears to be to veto everything and keep
                   the investigations off his back until he can get out of
                   town.
             \_ IANARepublican, but think about it: ~43% of Americans voted in
                the last Presidential election, and W got about 50% of the
                vote, so, hey, 26% is pretty good for him.
                \_ You might want to check the assumptions in your math
                   there sonny.
                   \_ 50% of 43% =~21.5% < 26%. I'd say my math assumptions,
                      faulty as they are, are probably more accurate than
                      those of the POTUS.
                      \_ You're making the assumption that the set of W
                         supporters is a subset of the 2004 presidential
                         voters.  You'll have to justify that assumption
                         somehow.
                         \_ he's also making the assumption that 100% of
                            the country responded to this poll.  -tom
                            \_ You're both right, but you're missing my
                               (feeble) point, which is that the POTUS thinks
                               like this.
              \_ Maybe he was when he was elected, but now that he *IS* elected
                 and that due to term limites, he can't be re-elected,  why
                 should he care any more? Lame duck presidency FTL.
                 \_ I loved the comedy central clip where GWB 2000 'debated'
                    GWB 'current', especially the total reverse on intervening
                    in other  nations and 'nation building'.
        \_ Mission Accomlished!
           http://www.csua.org/u/izp
        \_ Congress at 14% (below HMOs at 15%)
           http://www.galluppoll.com/content/?ci=27946
           \_ For "confidence", not "approval".
           \_ For "confidence", not "approval". And from a different poll.
              \_ OP didn't say "approval".
                 \_ The article did.  Sure, blame your reading comprehension
                    issues on the OP
                    \_ I was making a point.  I read the article.
                       \_ How is saying "apples are not oranges" a point?
              \_ Isn't low confidence worse than low approval? I might not
                 approve of the job someone is doing, but I might still have
                 confidence that they will improve. Low confidence seems to
                 imply to me that not only does one disapprove of the job
                 someone is doing but also that they've lost any hope that
                 they will improve.
                 \_ Read a few polls and see how the two numbers tend to
                    relate.  Motd will not do your homework for you.
                    \_ I'll take that as a yes then. So, the American people
                       feel more negativity towards Congress than the President
                       \_ Take that as a yes.  Continue in obstinate ignorance.
                          \_ This only validates my assumption further. If it
                             really is a false assumption, you wouldn't have
                             been this much of an ass about it.
                       \_ Congress is always lower.  You can hate the
                          bastards but not hate YOUR bastard.  The president,
                          however, is all or nothing.
        \_ How does that compare to Carter?
           \_ The cbsnews link in the first reply will tell you.  Other than
              that, learn to use google.
              \_ No, it does not. Other than that, have you heard of the
                 Socratic technique?
                 \_ Oop.  It wasn't in that article.  It was in another blog
                    post.  Carter's lowest was 28% in '79.
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www.msnbc.msn.com/id/19354100/site/newsweek
NEWSWEEK Poll June 21, 2007: Conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Approve Disapprove Don't Know Current Total 25 63 12 Republicans 25 67 8 Democrats 27 60 13 Independents 25 64 11 Trends 9/29-30/05 32 56 12 9/9-13/05 34 54 12 8/28-31/01 43 41 16 11/2-3/97 36 53 11 9/16-19/93 23 64 13 For this Newsweek Poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates interviewed 1,001 adults, aged 18 and older, on June 18-19, 2007. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points. The margin of error for key subgroups is plus or minus 7 percentage points for Republicans; plus or minus 6 percentage points for Democrats and plus or minus 6 percentage points for Independents.
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www.cbsnews.com/stories/2005/11/02/opinion/polls/main1005327.shtml
Bush's low job approval is far below that of some of his two-term predece ssors at this point in their second terms. In November 1985, President R eagan had a 65 percent approval rating, and Bill Clinton's job approval in November 1997 was 57 percent. Bush's rating is higher than Richard Ni xon's was at the same point in his administration. In Ja nuary 1998, when facing questions about his affair with Monica Lewinsky, President Clinton's job approval ratings actually rose, reaching the lo w 70s, and remained at least in the 60s throughout the rest of that year . President Reagan's job approval rating dropped by more than 20 points to 46 percent in November 1986, just after public disclosures about the Iran-Contra scandal. During 1987 Reagan's approval rating hovered around 50 percent, but began to rise again in 1988. President Richard Nixon's approval rating fell as the Watergate scandal became public in the first half of 1973, and was at about 25 percent during 1974. President Bush's approval rating has been experiencing a slow but steady decline since 2004. OTHER PRESIDENTS: APPROVAL RATINGS DURING SCANDALS Bush, Now Approve 35% Disapprove 57% Clinton 1/1998 Approve 58% Disapprove 29% 2/1998 Approve 72% Disapprove 22% 7/1998 Approve 64% Disapprove 29% 10/1998 Approve 65% Disapprove 30% 12/1998 Approve 66% Disapprove 30% Reagan 11/1986 Approve 46% Disapprove 45% 1/1987 Approve 52% Disapprove 38% 5/1987 Approve 46% Disapprove 43% 9/1987 Approve 50% Disapprove 40% 1/1988 Approve 58% Disapprove 35% Nixon (Gallup) 1/1973 Approve 51% Disapprove 37% 6/1973 Approve 44% Disapprove 45% 1/1974 Approve 27% Disapprove 63% 8/1974 Approve 24% Disapprove 66% The President's ratings on specific issues also remain low, but are not m uch changed since last month.
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Bush's low job approval is far below that of some of his two-term predece ssors at this point in their second terms. In November 1985, President R eagan had a 65 percent approval rating, and Bill Clinton's job approval in November 1997 was 57 percent. Bush's rating is higher than Richard Ni xon's was at the same point in his administration. In Ja nuary 1998, when facing questions about his affair with Monica Lewinsky, President Clinton's job approval ratings actually rose, reaching the lo w 70s, and remained at least in the 60s throughout the rest of that year . President Reagan's job approval rating dropped by more than 20 points to 46 percent in November 1986, just after public disclosures about the Iran-Contra scandal. During 1987 Reagan's approval rating hovered around 50 percent, but began to rise again in 1988. President Richard Nixon's approval rating fell as the Watergate scandal became public in the first half of 1973, and was at about 25 percent during 1974. President Bush's approval rating has been experiencing a slow but steady decline since 2004. OTHER PRESIDENTS: APPROVAL RATINGS DURING SCANDALS Bush, Now Approve 35% Disapprove 57% Clinton 1/1998 Approve 58% Disapprove 29% 2/1998 Approve 72% Disapprove 22% 7/1998 Approve 64% Disapprove 29% 10/1998 Approve 65% Disapprove 30% 12/1998 Approve 66% Disapprove 30% Reagan 11/1986 Approve 46% Disapprove 45% 1/1987 Approve 52% Disapprove 38% 5/1987 Approve 46% Disapprove 43% 9/1987 Approve 50% Disapprove 40% 1/1988 Approve 58% Disapprove 35% Nixon (Gallup) 1/1973 Approve 51% Disapprove 37% 6/1973 Approve 44% Disapprove 45% 1/1974 Approve 27% Disapprove 63% 8/1974 Approve 24% Disapprove 66% The President's ratings on specific issues also remain low, but are not m uch changed since last month.
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Official says claim of orphans' abuse exaggerated / US and Iraqi forces found children living in squalid conditions Iraqi soldiers found 24 severely malnourished children in a Baghdad orphanage, some tied to their beds and too weak to stand, the US military said. The boys -- who ranged in age from 3 to 15 -- were apparently moved to that orphanage from a coed one less than a month before.
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www.galluppoll.com/content/?ci=27946
E-mail this Page June 21, 2007 Americans' Confidence in Congress at All-Time Low Confidence in most institutions drops by Frank Newport GALLUP NEWS SERVICE PRINCETON, NJ -- The percentage of Americans with a "great deal" or "quite a lot" of confidence in Congress is at 14%, the lowest in Gallup's history of this measure -- and the lowest of any of the 16 institutions tested in this year's Confidence in Institutions survey. It is also one of the lowest confidence ratings for any institution tested over the last three decades. Gallup's annual update on Americans' confidence in institutions shows that confidence ratings are generally down across the board compared with last year. The public's confidence ratings in several institutions, including Congress, are now at all-time low points in Gallup's history of this measure. These low ratings reflect the generally sour mood of the public at this time. Of the 16 societal institutions tested in Gallup's 2007 update, Americans express the most confidence in the military. Americans have much more confidence in "small" business than in "big" business. Basic Data Gallup's annual update of the public's confidence in institutions -- conducted June 11-14, 2007 -- shows that all but 2 of the 16 institutions included in this year's survey have at least slightly lower confidence ratings than last year (although most of these changes are not statistically significant). The largest drops in confidence between 2006 and 2007 are eight percentage points for banks, the presidency, television news, and newspapers. The drop in confidence in most institutions coincides with a period of time in which Americans have low levels of overall satisfaction with the way things are going in the United States, are giving Congress and President Bush low approval ratings, and are very negative about the direction of the economy. There is little doubt that this same "malaise" is reflected when respondents are asked to rate their confidence in the list of 16 societal institutions in Gallup's annual update. Whether these low ratings are becoming a permanent fixture of the American psyche or represent a short-term bout of public depression remains to be seen. The general pattern of confidence in institutions has remained similar in recent years. There are three institutions tested this year in which a majority of Americans express a great deal or quite a lot of confidence: the military, small business, and the police. Two institutions tested have confidence ratings in the 40% range -- the church/organized religion and banks. All other institutions generate a great deal or quite a lot of confidence from less than 40% of the American population. The five institutions at the bottom of the list -- each with confidence ratings below 20% -- are the criminal justice system, organized labor, big business, HMOs, and Congress. Congress and the Other Two Branches of Government Confidence in the three branches of government -- executive (the presidency), legislative (Congress), and judicial (the Supreme Court) -- has been drifting downward over the past several years, following historically high ratings in the years immediately after 9/11. The current confidence rating for Congress -- 14% -- is the lowest in Gallup's history for that institution. Although ratings of Congress have never been high, they were at the 40% level at the time of Watergate in the 1970s, and again in 1986. Americans' confidence in the presidency has dropped concomitantly with the drop in Bush's approval ratings. In 2002, 58% were confident in the presidency compared to the current 25%. President Bush's job approval ratings have fallen from 84% at the beginning of 2002 to 32% today. At 34%, confidence in the Supreme Court, like Congress, is at its lowest point in Gallup's trend. Confidence in the Supreme Court has been at or above the 50% point at several times during the last several decades. The Military Americans' confidence in the military has always been relatively high, even in the mid-1970s during the aftermath of the Vietnam War. The military has been near or at the top of the list of institutions tested in each Gallup survey since 1987. The high point for the military -- 85% expressing a great deal/quite a lot of confidence -- came in March 1991, just after the first Persian Gulf War when the United States swiftly achieved its goal of driving Iraqi forces out of Kuwait. Even with this high point, confidence in the military has been nearly as high at several times since Sept. The military's current 69% confidence rating, although still the highest of any institution tested this year, is the lowest for the military since 9/11. Small Business There is an enormous difference in Americans' confidence in business -- depending on the one-word adjective placed before the word "business" when the list is read to respondents. Only 18% of Americans express a great deal or quite a lot of confidence in big business, compared to 59% who express confidence in small business. Confidence in big business has never been high, reaching its maximum of 34% in 1974. com boom in the late 1990s, only 30% of Americans expressed a great deal or quite a lot of confidence in big business. The current 18% confidence rating in big business is the same as last year, and remains the lowest in Gallup history. Ratings for the church fell significantly in the wake of revelations surrounding the priest abuse scandal in 2002, and before that had dropped in the wake of the television evangelism scandals of the late 1980s and early 1990s. Confidence in the church or organized religion is particularly low among Catholics compared to Protestants. Confidence in the church or organized religion among Catholics was at 53% in 2004, and has dropped to 39% today. Among Protestants, confidence went from 60% in 2004, to 63% in 2006, to 57% today. Journalistic Entities Americans have relatively low levels of confidence in the Fourth Estate. Just 23% of Americans have a great deal or quite a lot of confidence in television news, and only 22% express the same sentiment for newspapers. Neither of these two entities has done exceedingly well in Gallup's history, but both are particularly low this year. Bottom Line Americans are currently in a very sour mood; a state of affairs that is reflected in the relatively low confidence ratings given many Americans institutions in Gallup's latest survey. Confidence ratings for Congress are not only at the bottom of this year's list, but represent the lowest confidence rating in Congress in Gallup's history of using this confidence measure. This reflects a confluence of both the historically low standing of Congress in the minds of the public and the overall negative mindset of the American public. Confidence in several other institutions is also at an all-time low point. We assume that the low confidence ratings measured this year are connected to Americans' broader malaise with the state of the country. It is not entirely clear what is behind the currently bad mood on the part of Americans, but Gallup analyses show that the Iraq war and the economy are certainly perceived as major problems at this point in time. The very low ratings for Congress suggest that Americans may be upset that their elected representatives have not been able to rectify these concerns as well. Survey Methods Results are based on telephone interviews with 1,007 national adults, aged 18 and older, conducted June 11-14, 2007. For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is 3 percentage points. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
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