Berkeley CSUA MOTD:Entry 44249
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2025/04/04 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
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2006/9/2-7 [Reference/Military] UID:44249 Activity:moderate
9/2     Only 44 years left to cut global green house emissions in half to
        avoid global warming effects.
        http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20332352-601,00.html
        \_ "The Government keeps throwing up the costs of action but totally
           ignores the costs of inaction."  This also applies to our govt's
           attitude.
        \_ I believe in Global Warming like I believe gun control works.
           \_ In countries were firearms are illegal, there are few gun
              deaths so obviously gun control doesn't work.
              \_ Yup.  The following stats deminstrates exactly how gun control
                                            \_ demonstrates
                 doesn't work:
                 "In the UK there are about, 100 firearms deaths a year in
                 the recorded crime statistics, about double that number in
                 Canada and, under 50 in Japan.  The figure in the United
                 States is more than 10,000. Even adjusting for population,
                 this is a huge difference."
                 http://www.polfed.org/0703firearms-and-police.pdf
                 Population for each country (2003 figures), and firearms
                 deaths a year per million people:
                 UK:             60,441,457       1.7
                 Canada:         32,805,041       6.1
                 Japan:         127,417,244     < 0.4
                 US:            295,734,134     >33.8
                 \_ Now post Switzerland, where gun ownership is common.
                 \_ For kicks I looked up the breakdown of firearms deaths in
                    the US.  When you pull out the suicides and the gang
                    killings the rate drops to about 24 with more than 2/3rds
                    of the remaining listed as "unknown".  So the death rate
                    for normal citizens in the US is anywhere between 8 and
                    24 on this scale which is still higher than other countries
                    in the West but our country is much safer in other ways and
                    you still have the right to defend yourself and others
                    here unlike in the UK, for example.
                 \_ I hope there's a riot in your neighborhood and you
                    find yourself needing a gun. Trusting the same government
                    that you want out of your bedroom with your gun rights.
                    Why don't we ban cars, since they "kill" more people
                    than guns. I'm glad there are bean counters like you
                    who have so much faith in police (who your cohorts
                    in the 4th estate often villify and crucify). There
                    are so many people who saved by guns every year, but
                    no one keeps track of those. Go ahead, be a victim.
                    \_ I consider myself to be a liberal.  To me that means
                       the government needs to stay the fuck out of both
                       the bedroom and the gun locker.  To agree with one
                       of these and not the other is not a liberal position;
                       I just wanted to point that out.  -!pp
                 \_ Checked out the other crime stats?  So you're less
                    likely to get shot (which was already a small chance)
                    and a lot more likely to get robbed, raped, beat up,
                    mugged, burgled(sp?) and just about every other thing.
                    It would be interesting to see the same stats for the
                    US with gang-on-gang drug related shootings removed.
                    \_ I don't know about other countries, but when I was in
                       Japan, women felt comfortable walking around alone late
                       night in most parts of the country except maybe in the
                       Sinjuku area.  It's also common for druken men to fall
                       asleep on sidewalks, and wake up the next morning with
                       their suitcases intact.  People left their Lexus outside
                       convenient stores with the engine running.  And so on.
                       their briefcases intact.  People left their Lexus
                       outside convenient stores with the engine running.  And
                       so on.
                       \_ Try that in Europe.
                          \_ UK or another Eurpoean country?
                             \_ I was thinking UK in particular since they're
                                so well known for their anti-gun laws and the
                                most similar of all these countries to the US.
                    \_ I don't know about other countries, but women in Japan
                       feel comfortable walking around alone late night in most
                       parts of the country, except maybe in the Sinjuku area.
                          \_ Is it worse in Europe than in the US?
                                \_ Good comparison.  The U.K's violent crime
                                   rate is lower than the U.S.'s.  -tom
                                   \_ That wasn't the question.  What has
                                      happened to the crime rate in the UK over
                                      time as they have enacted laws to
                                      eliminate gun ownership?  The answer, as
                                      you know, is other violent crimes have
                                      gone up.  Let's try apples to apples
                                      discussions instead of trying to "win"
                                      with rhetorical games, eh?
                                      \_ Rhetorical games?  This sub-thread
                                         started with someone claiming that
                                         "other crime stats" showed that you
                                         were "much more likely to get
                                         robbed, raped...."  That's simply
                                         false.  -tom
                                         \_ Show us UK crime stats since WWII
                                            on a per capita basis.  Let's see
                                            if they go up or down.  And no,
                                            this thread started with global
                                            warming and got thread jacked way
                                            at the top by some troll but I was
                                            happy to play along.
                                      \_ I'd rather get beaten up by a guy
                                         armed with a wooden stick than shot
                                         in the head with a bullet.
                                         \_ Except crime stats for places with
                                            concealed carry laws are lower
                                            than places where firearms are
                                            illegal.  So you'd really rather
                                            get beat by a guy with a bat or
                                            possibly still be shot in the head
                                            with gun, since firearms laws
                                            won't keep him from having a gun
                                            anyway, than be left alone by the
                                            same guy because he doesn't know
                                            if you'll shoot him dead if he
                                            attacks you.
                                            \_  If the idea behind carrying a
                                                handgun is to deter violence,
                                                doesn't it make more sense for
                                                the weapon to *not* be
                                                concealed?  It seems to me that
                                                the chances of a handgun
                                                stopping a crime from happening
                                                are *much* higher when the gun
                                                is a ludicrously oversized
                                                hand-cannon strapped to
                                                someone's hip in plain sight,
                                                rather than a more practical
                                                smaller handgun tucked in the
                                                jacket.
                                                \_ Not really, because when
                                                   concealed, you never know
                                                   what you're facing.  Every
                                                   person you might attack or
                                                   anyone else around *might*
                                                   shoot you for it.  But when
                                                   everyone is required to
                                                   show what they're carrying
                                                   you know in advance what the
                                                   situation is, how many and
                                                   what type of weapons and who
                                                   has them before deciding
                                                   who, if anyone, and when
                                                   you'll attack.  Concealed
                                                   carry doesn't mean everyone
                                                   is carrying.  It means they
                                                   *can* if they want to.  Not
                                                   everyone does.
                                                   \_ Uhhh...I wasn't saying
                                                      anything about not
                                                      allowing concealed carry.
                                                      I'm saying that if you
                                                      were, say, a female at
                                                      night in a dangerous area,
                                                      you're better off with a
                                                      .44 magnum in a hip
                                                      holster than with a
                                                      night in a dangerous
                                                      area, you're better off
                                                      with a .44 magnum in a
                                                      hip holster than with a
                                                      weapon that gets drawn
                                                      *during* a crime that
                                                      you actually end up
                                                      using.
                                                   \_ Do you have any idea how
                                                      hard it is to get a
                                                      concealed weapon permit??
                                                      \_ Depends on where you
                                                         are.  There's a bunch
                                                         of really friendly
                                                         towns in Texas.  In CA
                                                         yes it is basically
                                                         impossible.  What does
                                                         that have to do with
                                                         concealed carry making
                                                         for safer streets or
                                                         not?
                                                         \_ It shows that your
                                                            whole argument is
                                                            moot since the only
                                                            people who can get
                                                            permits are FBI
                                                            or DEA agents.
                                                            \_ Entirely untrue.
                                                               CA is not the
                                                               entire nation.
                                                               \_ If everyone
                                                                  is packing
                                                                  then you will
                                                                  have the Old
                                                                  West: shoot
                                                                  first and ask
                                                                  questions
                                                                  later. Likely
                                                                  more
                                                                  ambushes, too.
2025/04/04 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
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www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20332352-601,00.html
The Australian -- News Science tempers fears on climate change Matthew Warren September 02, 2006 THE world's top climate scientists have cut their worst-case forecast for global warming over the next 100 years. A draft report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, obtained exclusively by The Weekend Australian, offers a more certain projection of climate change than the body's forecasts five years ago. For the first time, scientists are confident enough to project a 3C rise on the average global daily temperature by the end of this century if no action is taken to cut greenhouse gas emissions. The Draft Fourth Assessment Report says the temperature increase could be contained to 2C by 2100 if greenhouse gas emissions are held at current levels. In 2001, the scientists predicted temperature rises of between 14C and 58C on current levels by 2100, but better science has led them to adjust this to a narrower band of between 2C and 45C. The new projections put paid to some of the more alarmist scenarios raised by previous modelling, which have suggested that sea levels could rise by almost 1m over the same period. The report projects a rise in sea levels by century's end of between 14cm and 43cm, with further rises expected in following centuries caused by melting polar ice. The new projections forecast damage by global warming, such as stronger cyclones, modest sea-level rises and further shrinking of the arctic sea ice. CSIRO research predicts the biggest impact of sea-level changes of this scale would be to increase the effect of storm surges, particularly on Australia's tropical northern coastline. The forecast temperature rises would also result in lower rainfall over most of the Australian mainland and exacerbate the threat to the survival of coral reefs and shellfish by increasing the risk of bleaching and increasing the acidity of the ocean. Australian Conservation Foundation energy program manager Erwin Jackson said theprojections required an urgent and immediate response from the federal Government to drive accelerated investment in low-emissions technology in Australia. "Every day we delay taking action, the problem gets worse," Mr Jackson said. "The Government keeps throwing up the costs of action but totally ignores the costs of inaction. "No one ever said that saving the planet would cost nothing - that's the bottom line." A recent Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics report on the cost of cutting greenhouse gas emissions estimated Australians would incur a fall in real wages of about 20 per cent if the nation was to unilaterally cut greenhouse gas emissions in half by 2050. John Howard this week said that sort of scenario would have an "enormously damaging" effect on the economy. "I accept that climate change is a challenge," the Prime Minister said. I am sceptical about a lot of the more gloomy predictions. "I also recognise that a country like Australia has got to balance a concern for greenhouse gas emissions with a concern for the enormous burden to be carried by consumers ... Federal Environment Minister Ian Campbell said the draft IPCC report was still undergoing a thorough review process before its approval by the panel next year. "It highlights the need for an effective global response to climate change as Australia alone cannot alter the pattern of world emissions," Senator Campbell said. "We are taking a leading role internationally to achieve effective engagement by all major greenhouse gas-emitting countries." The new projections are based on the results of 23 climate models, developed by government climate scientists from IPCC member countries. According to current climate change models, stabilising global greenhouse gas levels to 400parts per million offers a good chance of avoiding 2C global temperature increases. This would require global emissions to be 50 per cent below 1990 levels by 2050. CSIRO recently concluded that the goal of 60 per cent reductions might be considered the minimum needed to avoid dangerous climate change. Any further reductions in global temperatures would require cuts in emissions of about 80-90 per cent in industrialised countries by 2050, which would require a faster transition to near-zero emissions technologies. The Kyoto Protocol is an international agreement for developed countries to meet greenhouse gas emissions targets by 2012. Australia and the US have refused to sign the protocol, instead proposing a global climate pact that focuses on working with developing countries such as China and India to reduce their greenhouse emissions. Mr Jackson said the IPCC draft report highlighted the inadequacy of Australia's policy response to the threat of climate change. "If these projections become a reality, our children face living in an Australia with no Barrier Reef, no Kakadu wetlands and a Murray River reduced to a trickle."