www.harrisinteractive.com/harris_poll/index.asp?PID=684
The Harris Poll^ #57, July 21, 2006 Belief that Iraq Had Weapons of Mass Destruction Has Increased Substantially Most people do not think that US troops will be out of Iraq in the next two years Despite being widely reported in the media that the US and other countries have not found any weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, surprisingly; more US adults (50%) think that Iraq had such weapons when the US invaded Iraq. Overall, attitudes toward the war in Iraq are negative, and less than half of the US population believes that the threat of terrorism has been reduced. US adults are not confident that Iraqs government will eventually become stable, and many think the war in Iraq is continuing to hurt respect for the US around the world. Most people do not think that US troops will be out of Iraq in the next two years. These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 1,020 US adults (ages 18 and over) surveyed by telephone by Harris Interactive^ between July 5 and 11, 2006. Specifically, the survey finds: * By 56 to 37 percent, a majority is not confident that Iraq will be successful in developing a stable and reasonably democratic government. This has improved slightly from November 2005, when a larger 61 to 32 majority felt this way. This is worse from a year ago in June 2005 when, by 62 to 33, a majority felt the US was less respected. Attitudes toward the Iraq war The publics views on Iraq have not changed substantially in the past year: * A majority (56%) thinks that spending huge sums of money to invade and occupy Iraq has meant that a lot less money has been available to protect the United States against another terrorist attack. This has decreased from April 2005 when 62 percent agreed with this sentiment. This is similar to the 61 to 39 percent majority that felt this way in April 2005. What the public believes to be true US adults believe that the following are true about the war in Iraq: * Seventy-two percent believe that the Iraqis are better off now than they were under Saddam Hussein (slightly down from February 2005 when 76 percent said this was true). TABLE 1 CONFIDENCE IN IRAQ TO DEVELOP STABLE AND DEMOCRATIC GOVERNMENT "Are you confident that Iraq will be successful in developing a stable and reasonably democratic government?" Base: All Adults April 2005 June 2005 August 2005 November 2005 July 2006 % % % % % Yes 43 41 40 32 37 No 55 51 56 61 56 Not sure/Refused 2 9 4 7 7 Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100 percent due to rounding. TABLE 2 IRAQ INVASION MADE UNITED STATES MORE OR LESS RESPECTED ABROAD "Do you think the invasion of Iraq, and recent events in Iraq, have made the United States much more respected, somewhat more respected, somewhat less respected, or much less respected around the world?" Base: All Adults June 2004 August 2005 July 2006 % % % More Respected (NET) 33 27 28 Much more respected 12 9 12 Somewhat more respected 21 18 16 Less Respected (NET) 62 68 68 Somewhat less respected 32 36 34 Much less respected 30 32 34 Not sure/refused 5 4 4 Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100 percent due to rounding. TABLE 3 STATEMENTS ABOUT IRAQ "Please say whether you agree or disagree with the following statements?" Total saying "true" Base: All Adults October 2004 February 2005 July 2006 % % % The Iraqis are better off now than they were under Saddam Hussein. Base: All Adults % True Not True Not Sure Decline to Answer The Iraqis are better off now than they were under Saddam Hussein. Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region, number of adults in the household, number of phone lines in the household were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. These include: sampling error (because only a sample of a population is interviewed); measurement error due to question wording and/or question order, deliberately or unintentionally inaccurate responses, nonresponse (including refusals), interviewer effects (when live interviewers are used) and weighting. With one exception (sampling error) the magnitude of the errors that result cannot be estimated. There is, therefore, no way to calculate a finite "margin of error" for any survey and the use of these words should be avoided. With pure probability samples, with 100 percent response rates, it is possible to calculate the probability that the sampling error (but not other sources of error) is not greater than some number. With a pure probability sample of 1,016 adults one could say with a 95 percent probability that the overall results have a sampling error of +/- 3 percentage points. However that does not take other sources of error into account. These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls. J28335 Q460, Q484, Q485, Q487 2006, Harris Interactive Inc. Reproduction prohibited without the express written permission of Harris Interactive.
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