6/22 http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20060622/od_nm/life_sex_dc
Well, there's your problem!
\_ This line is great: "Demographers say a rate of 2.1 [children born
per woman lifetime] is needed to keep a population from declining."
Reuters apparently needs to invoke the authority of "demographers"
to confirm simple arithmetic.
\_ Simple arithmetic would suggest you need 2.0BPW. The variable
rates of infant mortality and gender ratio at birth are why you
ask a demographer.
\_ Point taken. I think I found it so silly because the
fertility rate in Japan is listed in the article as bein
1.25, which is obviously a declining population.
\_ Theoretically you could have a stable population if the
gender ratio at birth was M:F 20:80
\_ Or probably even 1:99.
\_ Well I meant "given 1.25 BPW". Let's not go
overboard on male fantasies, OK ;-) -pp
\_ I keep wondering though, isn't it about the time when we
should instead start worrying about stabilizing the
population and adjusting our economies to the new
demographics? Growing population numbers, even
without considering the on-going economic growth
and quality of life improvements, place even
greater demands upon the natural resources and the
environment. Do we even know for how long will this
planet sustain the current living standards for 6B
people? What about the projected 10B people at the
end of this century?
\_ Well, duh. That's why we're teaching the world about
abstinence!
\_ Who is this "we" that is going to stabilize the population?
Who decides who is allowed to breed or not and how many times?
And a quick look at demographics of any wealthy vs. any poor
nation (excluding the few being wiped out by AIDS) will show
that rich nations have declining birth rates while poor ones
have very high rates. So, the best way to reduce population
is to improve the standard of living in poor countries. As
\_ Correlation is not causation.
And the rest of this post is beyond silly.
\_ If you've got nothing to say, say nothing. If it is
silly then shoot it down in a sentence or two, but I'm
sure you haven't done any research or reading on this
so not only will you not, you can't.
\_ Wow. Midday margaritas make for bad motd'ing. I totally
conflated your comments with the above poster in replying.
Sorry. Nuked my pointless drivel. However, the silver
bullet is not simply wealth (ergo the correlation/causation)
but education (which comes along with higher SoL).
\_ That's fine. I'll agree education = higher SOL but
that will not come without the wealth to support it
which requires a real economy, not one based on charity.
soon as we stop flooding them with money, they'll have a
chance to form real economies with real products and real
workers and engage in trade with other countries. Right now
the West has destroyed the ability of poor nations to grow
healthy economies instead of "Charity Based Economies" where
there is a disincentive for the local population to do
anything productive.
\_ Blasphemy! Every new child is a gift. "Be fruitful..."
Eventually people will fight each other or starve and
it will be a happy equilibrium. The world can physically
support many more. We must keep going until it's literally
impossible to support more. After all, whose life would you
deny, just to make your life better? Even bringing up
population control shows that you are sick. |