12/14 "ILF up 66%, BZF up 74%, EWY up 44%, CEE up 64%. But I only hold
about 10% in each. You are holding too much risk with an
undiversified portfolio like that for my taste."
\_ That's impressive, nice returns betting on different regions.
How do you plan on investing in 2006?
\_ Thanks, I only posted the best ones though. There is an EWG up 9%,
and a bad bet on CPN bonds (lost 50% so far) that bring the
overall return down to about 30%. I am still working on my
end of year adjustments, but I will certainly hold the above,
to start with. I try not to sell winners, but in CEE's
case it went up so much I had to sell half of it to avoid
overbalancing my portfolio. I moved the proceeds into EEM.
Recent purchases include TKF and PCU, a copper miner. I am
probably going to reduce my overseas allocation from 70%
\_ Thanks, I only posted the best ones though. There is an EWG
up 9%, and a bad bet on CPN bonds (lost 50% so far) that
bring the overall return down to about 30%. I am still work-
ing on my end of year adjustments, but I will certainly hold
the above, to start with. I try not to sell winners, but in
CEE's case it went up so much I had to sell half of it to
avoid overbalancing my portfolio. I moved the proceeds into
EEM. Recent purchases include TKF and PCU, a copper miner.
I am probably going to reduce my overseas allocation from 70%
back down to 50%, but other than that, I haven't figured it
out yet. Any suggestions?
\_ Funny how the motd financial gurus only post their winners
and the biggest ones at that and everyone has large double
digit gains in everything. It feels like 1998 all over
again everyday on the motd.
\_ 30% yearly gain is nothing to sneeze at.
\_ This is true. My gain is 20%/year over the last 5-6
years but there were down times in there as well. I'm
not picking on this person in particular, more the
general batch of "I'm a guru! I got lucky on these
3 stocks! Don't look at the losses under the rug..."
people posting here.
\_ 20% per year is impressive, especially given that
your 5-6 years included 2000 to late 2002. I
have a 35% annual gain since late 2002, which
was when I got out of the post internet bubble
stock investment funk. I definitely lost money
from 2000 till 2002. Luckily I didn't have
too much money then.
your 5-6 years included 2000 to late 2002.
\_ Like I said, there were some down times. I bought
in while the market was still dropping so I was at
a loss for a while but now I'm well above. My
only regret was not trusting myself and getting
scared and not buying more at one key point where
I had my finger on the "buy" button but chickened
out. That was the low point. Oh well. I did ok.
\_ I missed Korea entirely. What prompted you to pick Korea
(EWY)? I have EUROX, but it was trounced by your CEE in
the past year, even though it had good long term
performance and has been slightly less volatile.
I know little about Turkey. What's your reasons for
buying it? When is it joining the EU?
\_ About three years ago, I decided that China was the
real growth engine of the world, but I don't want to
buy Red Chinese stocks for obvious reasons. So I decided
to buy stocks in the nations that I thought would benefit
from China's rise, including most of its neighbors: EWH,
EWS, EWY and TTF (later sold when the Thai economy went
into a recession). CEE is very heavy on Russian oil and
into a funk). CEE is very heavy on Russian oil and
gas producers, so be careful with it. I bought Turkey
mostly because The Economist keeps saying good things
about the Turkish economy and chances for EU admission.
They still have a bunch of hurdles to jump, but it looks
like 2012 or so for Turkey.
\_ I bought some EWJ (japan) and also had MJFOX
\_ I have bought some EWJ (japan) and also had MJFOX
(japan) since late 2003. Everyone is saying buy
Japan. What do you think? The other thing I've
been looking at is blue chip US companies. So
far, I've bought just GE though. You don't like
India? Totally missed the 20% semiconductor
run up recently. Thanks for the Turkey tip. I
will definitely look at that.
\_ I have a bit of Japan, will probably sell some
emerging market and move into it and SPX when
I rebalance. The US economy has all the same
problems it had three years ago, but at least
the valuations are looking more reasonable. I
guess I should buy some IFN, but I missed the
big runup and hate buying high. Any other
good ways to get into India? |