Berkeley CSUA MOTD:Entry 39851
Berkeley CSUA MOTD
 
WIKI | FAQ | Tech FAQ
http://csua.com/feed/
2025/04/04 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
4/4     

2005/9/24-26 [Politics/Domestic/RepublicanMedia, Finance/Investment] UID:39851 Activity:high
9/24    http://tinyurl.com/atl2o        A Housing Crash Will Soon Hit
        America -- Find out Sir John Templeton's Advice and Prepare for
        the Coming Catastrophe
        \_ When? When?!
           \_ John Snow is in Beijing pressing China to revalue RMB again.
              If Snow gets what he wanted (40% increase in RMB value),
              we will see how fast housing market crashes.
              \_ I am an economic fool. How is a 40% increase in RMB going
                 to cause the housing market crash?
                 \_ 40% increase in RMB value will whipe out all trade
                    surplus China has with USA.  Consider that China
                    is running trade deficits with virtually all nations
                    except USA, this means China won't have spare cash
                    to buy a billions of US treasuries a month.  US
                    30-yr bond need to raise interest rate to attract
                    investors, and morgage rate is tied to 30 yr bond...
                 \_ 40% is ridiculous and won't happen, but if it does,
                    it means inflation since walmart, etc. will have
                    their costs increase, and inflation will force the
                    fed to keep on raising rates, supposedly.  The other
                    factor is how the asian central banks react to
                    a currency revaluation of say 10%.  I guess the
                    reasoning is that once PRC allows revaluation,
                    the other asian central banks won't be under
                    as much pressure to keep buying US treasuries
                    to keep their currencies just as cheap.  This
                    will force the US treasury to increase its
                    rates in order to continue attracting money to
                    service US debts.
        \_ This is just one big long fucking ad.  Why show us this?  And
           most people agree that the housing market's in a precarious
           state right now, but predicting exactly when it'll blow, or
           if it'll deflate with a hiss instead of a bang, no one can
           do, including "Sir John Templeton".  --PeterM
           \_ I believe the income vs. mortgage ratios are still lower than
              the last 2 times housing got thumped and even then all that
              happened was a 20% drop followed by years of decreased _growth_
              back *way* above where it was.  When I bought 5-6 years ago, I
              thought it was high then but was simply tired of being a rental
              victim.  I feel bad for all the folks who have been bitterly
              waiting for some giant corrective event that is simply unlikely
              to happen to any large degree.  If housing prices dropped in
              half because of all the risky loans all choking at the same
              time, all you'd really see is those houses being bought up at
              auction by people who do have money and can afford to rent at a
              loss for years until incomes/rental prices catch up.  The sky is
              not falling.  Even a 20% drop in housing would simply put prices
              back 6-18 months (depending on location) which is still higher
              than when people started screaming bust.  Going in after some
              not-yet-happened 20% drop would be worse than having bought in
              6-18 months ago at the same price since in the meantime the
              angry renter would have lost all the rent money, have a higher
              interest rate, started owning later in life, and suffered the
              extra stress and bitterness to get a house further away from
              their ideal location.  I didn't read the link and didn't see a
              point given the title.  Anyone hyping their stuff with
              "...Prepare for the *C_O_M_I_N_G* *C*A*T*A*S*T*R*O*P*H*E*
              !!@@!!@1111" doesn't deserve a click.
              \_ Well, I bought a house, just not in CA.  (Buying in CA
                 would have been silly since I live in NM.)  Regardless of
                 what you said, I still think that housing is in a precarious
                 state, and that there will be some sort of correction, but
                 I've no clue whatsoever when/how bad, and no one has any such
                 clue.  --PeterM
2025/04/04 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
4/4     

You may also be interested in these entries...
2008/9/18-23 [Politics/Domestic/Election] UID:51233 Activity:moderate
9/18    What an energy expert!
        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hvUsdmqGYV8
        Christ, has she been taking lessons from Miss Teen S. Carolina?
        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lj3iNxZ8Dww
        \_ Keep laughing. It's not WHAT you say but HOW you say it.
           Keep laughing. You're going to regret it.
	...
2008/5/29-6/1 [Politics/Domestic/President/Bush] UID:50088 Activity:nil
5/29    Look at that.  McClellan's hit piece is published by Soros
        http://littlegreenfootballs.com/article/30118_The_Soros-McClellan_Connection
        \_ Go to Barnes and Noble.  Notice the shelves of really not very interesting
           conservative tomes from agit prop national right wing figures. I'll
           list a few later if you want.  Notice they're almost all published
           by the Newsmax guys.  I just can't imagine anyone buying that stuff,
	...
2008/3/17-21 [Politics/Domestic/Election] UID:49475 Activity:kinda low 90%like:49473
3/17    Oops, Obama was at the hate sermon
        http://preview.tinyurl.com/yumfcv [newsmax]
        \_ Yawn. All it takes is one Swift Boat to destroy him.
           \_ What an incisive analysis!
        \_ Wait, I thought the newsmax line was that Obama was really
           a closet Muslim. Which one is it?
	...
2008/3/17 [Politics/Domestic/RepublicanMedia] UID:49473 Activity:nil 90%like:49475
3/17    Oops, Obama was at the hate sermon
        http://newsmax.com/kessler/Obama_hate_America_sermon/2008/03/16/80870.html
        \_ Wait, I thought the newsmax line was that Obama was really
           a closet Muslim. Which one is it?
        \_ This story was already debunked.  Sorry.
           \_ link?
	...
2007/11/26-30 [Politics/Domestic/911, Politics/Foreign/MiddleEast/Iraq] UID:48691 Activity:high
11/26   http://csua.org/u/k2n  (Washington Times)
        Islamic terrorists target Army base -- in Arizona
        "Fort officials changed security measures after sources warned that
        possibly 60 Afghan and Iraqi terrorists were to be smuggled into the
        U.S. through underground tunnels with high-powered weapons to attack
        the Arizona Army base, according to multiple confidential law
	...
2007/11/24-29 [Politics/Domestic/President/Clinton, Politics/Domestic/President/Bush] UID:48688 Activity:high
11/23   John Howard loses not only the national election, but his own seat.
        Another Bush lapdog goes down.
        \_ Kevin Rudd: We're pulling out of Iraq, and we're signing the
           Kyoto Treaty. Smackdown!
        \_ You people with Bush Derangement Syndrome are funny!  Everyone is
           Bush's lapdog.
	...
2006/11/7-8 [Politics/Domestic/Gay, Politics/Domestic/Election] UID:45221 Activity:nil
11/7    Has anybody heard the rumor about the college students who
        are going to kill themselves publicly if the Dems lose?
        \_ Just like the ones who were going to move to Canada?
        \_ Sounds like a plan, go for it!
        \_ McCain says he'll commit suicide if the Dems win [the Senate]...
           http://www.newsmax.com/archives/ic/2006/10/18/160016.shtml
	...
2006/10/2-4 [Politics/Domestic/President/Bush, Politics/Domestic/RepublicanMedia] UID:44624 Activity:moderate
10/2    http://www.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2006/9/20/141615.shtml
        Karl Rove says there will be an "October Surprise" to help GOP
        candidates.  What do you think it is, and how effective do you think
        it will be?
        \_ Karl Rove is brilliant and understands that election is never
           about issues but instead, personal characters. Having that said,
	...
2006/5/11-14 [Politics/Domestic/President/Clinton, Politics/Domestic/President/Bush] UID:43016 Activity:nil
5/10    NSA Has Massive Database of American's Phone Calls
        http://csua.org/u/ftd (Yahoo! News)
        \_ Need the phone records for a terror suspect?  No need to present
           evidence to the phone company to get 'em -- you already got it!
           The last thing we need is a mushroom cloud over a major American
           city.
	...
2006/3/8 [Politics/Domestic/RepublicanMedia, Politics/Domestic/President/Bush] UID:42139 Activity:nil
3/8     Stupid political trolls deleted. Bush=idiot. We're mostly liberal
        on motd anyways and we get the message already. Please take the
        same message to freeper and newsmax and similar trash sites. Thanks.
	...
2006/1/26-27 [Politics/Foreign/MiddleEast/Iraq] UID:41543 Activity:nil 67%like:41539
1/26    http://www.newsmax.com/archives/ic/2006/1/26/115712.shtml?s=ic
        Former #2 Iraq air force general Georges Sada (also thrown in jail by
        Saddam for his refusal to execute 40 American POWs during the Gulf War)
        says two pilots ("know them very well", "very good friends of mine")
        told him that Saddam flew (chemical) WMDs to Syria in the months
        preceding and in anticipation of the 2003 Iraq invasion.  Sada, in an
	...
2006/1/26 [Politics/Foreign/MiddleEast/Iraq] UID:41539 Activity:nil 67%like:41543
1/26    http://www.newsmax.com/archives/ic/2006/1/26/115712.shtml?s=ic
        Former #2 Iraq air force official Georges Sada (also thrown in jail by
        Saddam for his refusal to execute 40 American POWs during the Gulf War)
        says two pilots told him that Saddam flew (chemical) WMDs to Syria
        in the months preceding and in anticipation of the 2003 Iraq invasion.
        Note Dubya has only said "much of the intelligence turned out to be
	...
2013/7/29-9/16 [Finance/Investment] UID:54717 Activity:nil
7/29    http://news.yahoo.com/study-finds-only-28-percent-173022359.html
        Only 28% of millionaires consider themselves wealthy. So it is
        not just my wife!
        \_ People have been using the term "millionaire" as a synonym for
           "rich" for a very long time.  But there's this little thing called
           inflation.  Having a million dollars in 1900 is roughly equivalent
	...
2013/7/31-9/16 [Reference/RealEstate, Finance/Investment] UID:54720 Activity:nil
7[31    Suppose you have a few hundred thousand dollars in the bank earning
        minimum interest rate and you're not sure whether you're going to
        buy a house in 1-5 years. Should one put that money in a more
        risky place like Vanguard ETFs and index funds, given that the
        horizon is only 1-5 years?
        \_ I have a very similar problem, in that I have a bunch of cash
	...
2013/5/9-7/3 [Finance/Investment] UID:54675 Activity:nil
5/9     I'm stock newbie. Let's say  I made $1000 in Jan 2012 and then
        lost  $1000 in Feb 2012, does that mean I'm not liable to pay
        any tax given that I made $0?
        \_ Yes.
        \_ Are both long term gains/both short term gains? And I assume you
           mean realized gains, i.e. you actually sold the stock in an
	...
2013/5/13-7/3 [Finance/Banking] UID:54676 Activity:nil
5/13    Does FDIC ever matter? How likely is it that your deposit of
        over $250k going to be screwed over in a major US bank?
        \_ Was Washington Mutual a major bank?
        \_ Was Washington Mutual a major US bank?
        \_ Hahahahahahahahahahaha. Good one.
        \- As with nuclear weapons, this insurance produces much of its value
	...
2013/5/17-7/3 [Finance/Investment] UID:54679 Activity:nil
5/17    Tech stocks at all time high & Bay Area traffic and housing crisis
        is now worse than 2001. BUBBLE 2.0 BEWARE!!!
        \_ This time it is no bubble, at least not yet. Wake me up again
           when the Nasdaq hits an inflation adjusted record.
        \_ I don't know if this bubble qualifies as a tech bubble or a bubble
           at all.  Last weekend I saw hiring signs at McDonald's, Macy's and
	...
2013/2/17-3/26 [Finance/Investment] UID:54607 Activity:nil
2/16    Stocks for the long run? Maybe not:
        http://preview.tinyurl.com/ar8utns
        \_ um, ok, so what are better alternative investments?
           \_ Real Estate? Gold? Bonds? CDs?
              They all whooped stocks in the last decade.
              I believe in a balanced approach.
	...
2013/1/25-2/19 [Finance/Investment] UID:54588 Activity:nil
1/25    Is there a site that tells you the % of people shorting
        on a particular stock? I'm trying to see if I can gauge
        "confidence level", that sort of thing.
        \_ http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/intc/short-interest
           I'm not sure how to read this, I'm guessing the higher
           "days to cover" the more short activities there are?
	...
Cache (7157 bytes)
tinyurl.com/atl2o -> www.newsmax.com/fir/fir-templeton2a.cfm?PROMO_CODE=13FF-1&refid=1335
Sir John Templeton Recently, Sir John Templeton - the world's most successful investor - inv ited me to meet with him in the Bahamas where he lives. In our private m eeting, he personally warned me that a stock market fall off is a strong likelihood. Weeks later, the Dow Industrials crashed an incredible 402 points in just three days! What about real esta te, bonds, and foreign investments? Sir John Templeton also gave me a single stock recommendation - he said i t was the best stock in the world to buy. Since that recommendation, thi s stock has risen an unbelievable 50% in value as the stock market sank! To protect and grow your investments you need to know what Sir John Templ eton thinks. Money magazine calls him "the greatest global stock picker of the century ." Founder of the Templeton Funds and today a billionaire philanthropist, Si r John made his money by helping other people get rich. and he's made a fortune in recent years by pr edicting both the dot-com crash and the collapse of the US dollar. Last year, NewsMaxcom, the news company I head, launched an investment p ublication, Financial Intelligence Report. At first, we offered Financial Intelligence Report only online. Now, due to reader demand, we have a monthly print version of FIR that is mailed direcly to your home. Go Here Now You've probably heard of NewsMax - on Fox News, CNN, MSNBC and thousands of other outlets. We publish the news the media giants are afraid to rep ort. NewsMax also has a distinguished global intelligence network to draw upon - including NewsMax advisors like renowned journalist, Arnaud de Borchg rave, former Secretary of State, Alexander Haig, former Forbes publisher , Jeff Cunningham, best selling author, James Dale Davidson, and former editor of the Times of London, Lord William Rees-Mogg - among many other s Now you can tap into the NewsMax network through our exclusive advisory l etter, Financial Intelligence Report, and start by getting our special e dition with Sir John Templeton. In the Templeton Financial Intelligence Report, you'll learn: * How Templeton made hundreds of millions of dollars through internatio nal investing. Looming Baby Boomer Crisis In our special report, Sir John Templeton warns of the looming Baby Boome r crisis that is about to devastate Europe and the United States in the next few years. In the US alone, 77 million boomers are about to retire - and they will wreak havoc on Social Security, private pension systems and our health care system. Economists know they will force a massive equity sell-off t o pay for these benefits - a sell-off that will create a long-term marke t decline in the US Already Alan Greenspan has issued a serious warning. Government resources, even under the most optimistic economic assump tions of growth and productivity, will be inadequate to provide baby boo mers with the level of benefits their parents got." Simply put, Greenspan is warning us in his diplomatic, make-no-enemies wa y that America IS going broke. Templeton knows it's true, and so does Warren Buffett, Paul Volcker and o ther leading financial giants. You need to take urgent action to protect you rself and your wealth! Financial Intelligence Report is your monthly resource to do this. The information we provide will save you from economic uncertainty, socia l upheaval and financial turmoil. You'll find out how to intelligently g row your wealth and make steady profits in both bull and bear markets. Unlike most financial letters - which are full of deceitful hype about ho w you can make 200% and 500% profits - the Financial Intelligence Report provides you with accurate information to preserve your hard-earned mon ey and build your wealth steadily. As a FIR subscriber, every month you'll receive this type of in-depth inv estment report, which includes: * The best-value investor stocks * High-yield dividend stocks * Gold-mining stocks poised for great profits * How to slash your risk with bonds * A buyers' guide to options - how to avoid risking not one penny more than you invest * Defense and tech stocks set to soar due to the War on Terrorism * Bio stocks that will reap huge profits from the retirement boom * And much, much more! At $180 a year for 12 issues, Financial Intelligence Report is a tremendo us value. Just a single recommendation from one issue could easily make you 100 times the cost of a subscription. No Risk, Limited-Time Offer When you order today at our special introductory price of just $99, you'l l get your first 12 issues with a no-risk offer. If you don't like the r eport, just cancel and get the full unused portion of your subscription returned to you! Yes, for just $99 you'll get 12 issues of FIR PLUS $60 in bonuses, includ ing: Bonus #1: "Sir John Templeton Reveals the Future" - Value $15 Sir John Templeton shares his acclaimed financial insight on Stocks, Curr encies, Real Estate, Gold, International Investing and more! Bonus #2: "Wayne Rogers Beats the Market - So Can You" - Value $15 This special report details how Wayne Rogers - famous as an actor on M*A* S*H, became super rich by investing. He offers his investment strategies and the stocks he thinks will be winners this year. Bonus #3: "Oil: The Critical Key to the World Economy" - Value $15 When oil hovered at $30 per barrel last year this report predicted the oi l price spike to $60 per barrel. It's been dead on with its predictions - and you can find out how to make a bonanza in the oil sector. This is a critical, must-read report for every investor! Bonus #4: "The Baby Boom Crisis: Prepare Before It's Too Late" - Value $1 5 This special report details the looming tidal wave coming from retiring b aby boomers. We detail how to protect your assets - and what sectors wil l rise dramatically in the next few years. This will change your whole i nvestment outlook and strategy! A Global Intelligence Report That Protects You Our FIR interview with Sir John Templeton is just a sample of the importa nt financial information you receive every month in the Financial Intell igence Report. Financial Intelligence Report is edited by Jarret Wollstein, a brilliant financial and political writer sought after in Washington and capitals a round the globe. Most investment newsletters providing this type of incisive coverage typi cally cost $200 to $800 a year. A single recommendation in FIR could make you thousands of dollars or pro tect everything you've worked so hard to own. Furthermore, all you risk by trying Financial Intelligence Report is a fe w dollars each month - not much more than a meal at McDonald's. You may cancel whenever you like with no risk or obligation. Whatever you decide, you can keep the 4 Bonus Reports FREE. Christopher Ruddy Publisher Financial Intelligence Report PS Remember, this is a limited-time, no risk offer. Start your subscrip tion today to Financial Intelligence Report at our special, discounted r ate. Special $100 Bonus: Sign Up for either email or a mailed subscription and you will receive FR EE access to all previous published Financial Intelligence Reports on hu ndreds of financial topics a value of more than $100!