Berkeley CSUA MOTD:Entry 39775
Berkeley CSUA MOTD
 
WIKI | FAQ | Tech FAQ
http://csua.com/feed/
2025/05/25 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
5/25    

2005/9/20-22 [Finance/Investment] UID:39775 Activity:kinda low
9/20    Two people on motd actually think Alan Greenspan's doing a good
        job. Why do you think he's done such a great job?
        \_ Why do you think he hasn't? It's partly because of his amazing
           balancing act that the country hasn't been in a deep depression so
           far. Maybe it's just buying time. History will show that.
           However, what could anyone have done better?
           \_ The crazy dot com lasted for several years, well passed the
              recession. It could have been controlled with a steady rise
              of interest rates. Greenspan instead did NOTHING till the last
              few years in a failed attempt to catch up. Now we're seeing the
              same thing. The housing boom is crazy, and has been crazy for
              the last few years. What did Greenspan do? Nothing. Now he's
              trying to catch up, once more. The man is old and his reaction
              is slow. This man fucked up TWICE and deserves no praise.
              \_ http://www.nytimes.com/2005/08/26/business/26fed.html
                 "But another key principle of the Greenspan Fed, which most
                 experts have come to accept, is that the central bank should
                 focus on economic fundamentals and not try to prematurely pop
                 a market bubble in stock prices or real estate prices."
                 Of course, you are entitled to your opinion.  Unfortunately,
                 it seems that the European Central Bank also disagrees with
                 you.  "For the ECB, the Maastricht treaty mandated that price
                 stability would be the primary objective. The treaty also
                 established that the ECB should support the general economic
                 policies of the European Community, aiming at growth and
                 employment but only insofar as price stability is not
                 endangered."  http://csua.org/u/dg6
                 But, again you are certainly entitled to hold your own opinion.
                 But, again you are certainly entitled to hold your own
                 opinion.
                 \_ nytimes is charging for the article. Forget it
        \_ "While there are some negatives in the record, when the score
           is toted up, we think he [Greenspan] has a legitimate claim to
           being the greatest central banker who ever lived.  His performance
           as chairman of the Fed has been impressive, encompassing, and
           overwhelmingly beneficial--to the nation, to the institution,
           and to the practice of monetary policy."
           "Understanding the Greenspan Standard", Alan Blinder and Ricardo
           Reis, Princeton University.  link:csua.org/u/dg8
           Of course, you are entitled to your own opinion and you are free
           to disagree.
           \_ I think this is one of those things that will only be correctly
              judged in at least a decade's time. --haven't made my mind
              \_ For greatest central banker who ever lived?  Sure.  Straight
                 up good/bad job?  I don't know of anyone serious who thinks
                 this is controversial.  Of course, MOTD knows better than
                 most (or in this case all) professionals.  I would love to
                 read a serious claim from a credible source (say a paper
                 published in a refereed journal) that that Greenspan has
                 done an overall bad job.
        \_ green span is overrated.  what's so hard about his job.  read
           data, read news, decide whether to lower rate or raise rate,
           don't do anything drastic so he won't get blamed.  that's about
           it.
           \_ There are 2 kinds of people who will tell you that something
              is trivial to do: someone who has never done it before, and
              someone who has done it many times.
              \_ it's similar to making a call on where the economy, market
                 is going.  Most investors have to make such calls many
                 times in their investing career.  in fact, an investor's
                 job is probably harder, since he has to look forward,
                 whereas, fed tends to make its decision based on what has
                 already happened.  it's his job important?
                 yea.  is it really hard?  no.
                 yea.  is it really hard?  no.  kind of like an airplane
                 pilot.
                 \_ Like I said, there are two kinds of people.
        \_ He kept us from having a major recession after the dot com
           bubble collapsed. That was pretty impressive.
2025/05/25 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
5/25    

You may also be interested in these entries...
2013/7/31-9/16 [Reference/RealEstate, Finance/Investment] UID:54720 Activity:nil
7[31    Suppose you have a few hundred thousand dollars in the bank earning
        minimum interest rate and you're not sure whether you're going to
        buy a house in 1-5 years. Should one put that money in a more
        risky place like Vanguard ETFs and index funds, given that the
        horizon is only 1-5 years?
        \_ I have a very similar problem, in that I have a bunch of cash
	...
2013/5/9-7/3 [Finance/Investment] UID:54675 Activity:nil
5/9     I'm stock newbie. Let's say  I made $1000 in Jan 2012 and then
        lost  $1000 in Feb 2012, does that mean I'm not liable to pay
        any tax given that I made $0?
        \_ Yes.
        \_ Are both long term gains/both short term gains? And I assume you
           mean realized gains, i.e. you actually sold the stock in an
	...
2013/1/25-2/19 [Finance/Investment] UID:54588 Activity:nil
1/25    Is there a site that tells you the % of people shorting
        on a particular stock? I'm trying to see if I can gauge
        "confidence level", that sort of thing.
        \_ http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/intc/short-interest
           I'm not sure how to read this, I'm guessing the higher
           "days to cover" the more short activities there are?
	...
2013/1/16-2/17 [Industry/Startup, Finance/Investment] UID:54582 Activity:nil
1/16    Fred Wilson says you should focus on the cash value of your
        options, not the percentages:
        http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2010/11/employee-equity-how-much.html
        \_ Or at least, so says a VC trying increase his profit margin...
        \_ A VC wants to keep as much of the stock for themselves (and give
           as little to employees as possible).  That maximizes their return.
	...
2012/12/21-2013/1/24 [Industry/Startup, Finance/Investment] UID:54568 Activity:nil
12/21   http://techcompanypay.com
        Yahooers in Sunnyvale don't seem to average 170K/year.
        \_ Googlers average $104k/yr? Uh huh.
           \_ what is it suppose to be?
              \_ link:preview.tinyurl.com/a36ejr4
                 Google Sr. Software Engineer in Sunnyvale averages $193k in total pay,
	...
Cache (762 bytes)
www.nytimes.com/2005/08/26/business/26fed.html
By EDMUND L ANDREWS (NYT) 2277 words Late Edition - Final , Section C , Page 1 , Column 2 CORRECTION APPENDED ABSTRACT - First article in The Greenspan Effect, periodic series examining Alan Greenspan's 18-year tenure as chairman of Federal Reserve, which is scheduled to end in January; says Greenspan's successor faces near-impossible task of replicating his success in managing monetary policy; holds Greenspan stood for flexibility and freedom from dogma; photo Correction: August 30, 2005, Tuesday An article in Business Day on Friday and an entry in the Five Days feature in Business Day on Saturday about Alan Greenspan's tenure as chairman of the Federal Reserve misstated his age. Please Note: Archive articles do not include photos, charts or graphics.
Cache (8192 bytes)
csua.org/u/dg6 -> www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2005/20050427/default.htm
The Federal Reserve Board eagle logo links to home page Remarks by Vice Chairman Roger W Ferguson, Jr. At a European Central Bank Colloquium in Honor of Tommaso Padoa-Schioppa, The European Central Bank, Frankfurt, Germany April 27, 2005 The Evolution of Central Banking in the United States This conference honors the many contributions of Tommaso Padoa-Schioppa. As a staff member at the Banca d'Italia starting nearly four decades ago and as a member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank (EC B) since 1998, Tommaso has been deeply involved in what central banks do and how they are organized. Tommaso has stated: "In shaping monetary policy operations, the role of t he financial environment is not less important than the charter." In particular, I will address the question of whethe r a central bank's operations depend in an important way on the architec ture of the financial system and the economy it serves. The charter impo ses a certain framework, but events may require changes to procedures an d, on rare occasions, changes to the charter. To explore this topic, I would like to discuss the evolution of central b anking in the United States, with particular reference to currency, rela tions between the regions and the center, mandates, and communication. A long the way, I will compare our experience with that of the ECB. I will , of course, be speaking for myself and not my colleagues at the Federal Reserve. To start, let me address the title of this session: "A Single Currency and a Team of Thirteen Central Banks." How did the United State s develop a single currency, and what are the parallels that we can draw with the euro? A Single Currency Although the notes of the First and Second Banks of the United States ach ieved relatively wide circulation, not until the 1860s, during our Civil War, did a national paper currency become established. The first step w as an issuance of Treasury currency, commonly known as "greenbacks" beca use of the color of the ink used to print the notes. Shortly thereafter, the Congress authorized the establishment of national banks, which issu ed notes that were backed by holdings of government bonds. National bank notes of different banks were similar in design and widely accepted in transactions, but the system had some flaws--the main one being that the re was no means of quickly adjusting the supply of national bank notes t o changing circumstances. In other words, we had established a national currency system but not a central bank to manage it. This beginning contrasts with the way the euro was established as a singl e currency out of many European currencies. Rather than having no centra l bank, what was to become the euro area had, in fact, twelve national c entral banks, each managing its own currency. Those currencies were brou ght into line with one another, first through the exchange rate mechanis m and later by the permanent fixing of exchange rates. The ECB then was created as a central bank to manage the euro even before a euro paper cu rrency came into existence. The System's treatment of these notes serves as an example of Tommaso's observation that centra l bank operations respond to financial events. Initially, notes issued b y one Reserve Bank could not be reissued into circulation by another Res erve Bank. A person could travel from Boston to New York with notes from the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston in his pocket, spend the notes in Ne w York, and have them accepted. But when the notes made their way to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, that Bank returned the notes to Bosto n for re-issue. With regard to currency, then, the Federal Reserve Syste m's charter established twelve banks issuing similar, but not identical, currency. Over time, however, financial practice made this distinction unimportant, and the treatment was later discontinued. Today, currency i s treated fungibly by the Reserve Banks, regardless of which Bank issued the note. The notes still carry identifiers that let us track the Reser ve Bank to which the notes were originally assigned, and they are still allocated as liabilities to individual Reserve Banks. But there is no pr actical distinction between the notes of the Reserve Banks. My understanding is that euro banknotes circulate in a similar fashion wi thin the euro area and that any national central bank can re-issue fit e uro banknotes regardless of the original issuer. Although the country th at originated the production order is indicated by the letter prefix to the euro banknotes' serial number, even that designation is becoming les s important as the Eurosystem moves to a pooled system of printing bankn otes. Even though the Eurosystem contains the central banks of sovereign nations, the unified treatment of euro banknotes recognizes the unifyin g force of a single currency. Clearly, then, as one considers currency, the history of the Federal Rese rve supports and reflects the truth of Tommaso's statement. As our econo my evolved from regional to national, our currency moved more completely in that direction. I would argue that the euro reflects a different per spective, with the currency playing a catalytic role in the development of a continental economy as well as reflecting developments in that rega rd. Regions and the Center In 1913, the very idea of a central bank was contentious in the United St ates. The result of the Federal Reserve Act was a compromise, with regio nal Reserve Banks owned by their member commercial banks and a Board in Washington to provide oversight. Although the integration of US financ ial markets was considerable by the time the Federal Reserve Act was pas sed, remaining segmentation made it possible to have different prices fo r Reserve Bank credit in different regions during the System's early yea rs. To be sure, these differences were not huge--basic discount rates di ffered by as much as 1-1/2 percentage points, with differences of 50 to 100 basis points persisting for long periods. In Tommaso's terms, moneta ry policy operations--that is, discount policy--reflected both the regio nal nature of the System's charter and the partial segmentation of the f inancial environment. Further integration of the money market over time shifted the focus of po licy from twelve regional discount policies to a single national policy. In addition, concern about operational efficiencies and about the level of borrowing led to a move from discount rates to open market operation s as the policy instrument of choice. This shift may also have been aide d by the expansion of the government bond market during and after World War I The use of open market operations accelerated the desire for coor dination of policy at the national level, so that one Reserve Bank was n ot draining liquidity at the same time that another was adding liquidity . Again, the financial environment contributed to developments in policy implementation. The balance of policy power shifted from the regions to the center, when the Banking Act of 1935 established the Federal Open Market Committee in its modern form, with the Board having the majority of votes. From the perspective of monetary policy, it was at that point that the Federal Re serve System became a single central bank rather than a confederation of regional central banks. Thus, as Tommaso might suggest, charter changes also played an important role in the structure of policy. In the Eurosystem, the balance between the center and the regions is stil l evolving. The composition of the Governing Council, the Eurosystem's e quivalent to the FOMC, and the administrative roles of the Governing Cou ncil and the Executive Board reflect the relative strength of the nation al central banks. This difference in the relative power of the center, h owever, should not have great significance for the conduct of monetary p olicy. As in the Federal Reserve System, each Eurosystem policymaker is expected to act in the interest of the entire currency area. In the United States, once policy implementation boiled down to managing the consolidated balance sheet of the Federal Reserve Banks, it made sen se to concentra...