7/27 If there is a 2% chance of fatalities on space flights, should
human manned space flights be suspended?
\_ There's a high chance of fatalities in many professions.
Join the military (even during peace time), become a mine
worker, become a cop, operate a crane. It's all dangerous
but we still do it.
\_ 2% is high. But if the risk can be reduced to .5% or less.
\_ You're overestimating the danger by 100%!
\_ The real problem here isn't the fatalities. Lots of people would
like to go if the probability was 50%. The problem is that
replacing a blown-up space vehicle every other flight can get
expensive. It has to be reliable to be affordable, unless someone
figures out how to make spaceships for cheap.
\_ Also, a blown-up vehicle is bad PR, which makes soliciting future
fundings more difficult.
\_ if there is a 100% chance of fatality from living, should all life
be suspended? |
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