3/15 Yes, people should look into BHP and RTP. These Australian,
British global commodity giants capture all 3 of these trends:
(1) Falling dollar - Being foreign, they are a dollar hedge
(2) Inflation and rising interest rates - Commodity
(3) China growth - strong demand for all kinds of commodities
Either hope for a pull back or buy for the longer term. I have
BHP (pe 17) for some time and I think I am going to add some RTP
(pe 12).
The other choice is RIO (CVRD) which is cheaper but also less
diversified (strong concentration in iron ore).
\_ Thanks. How do I do this, via ETrade or some sort? I'm asking
because you have to deal with tax implications, whereas if you just
open up an account outside of US, it might be a different story
\_ All 3 are available as ADRs which are traded like stocks
on US exchanges, so yes, you can just buy it on Etrade like
any other stock.
any other stock. If you are thinking about buying overseas
so you can not pay uncle sam taxes, I am not sure how. I
guess these are listed in their respective country's stock
exchanges at the very least.
\_ Once everybody knows something like this, it is probably too
late to make any real money doing it.
\_ Those had stellar growth in the last year... but there's no reason
to think they'll maintain that. The price probably already has
those factors built in.
\_ I don't disagree with you guys that it would be better if
you entered last year (or even before), but I think these
still have room to go. A lot of money is very short-termed,
but these trends are mid to long term. Also, just because
but these trends are mid to long term. Just because
everyone thinks the dollar will fall doesn't mean it will
fall immediately. It hasn't fallen much against asian
currencies for instance. And there are people who think
currencies for instance. It hasn't fallen much because,
as investors, the asian central banks are "stupid" and
kept buying US treasuries. Also, there are people who think
commodities will come back down once production can be
revved up, which I disagree, at least not anytime soon.
With China and India joining the global economy in full
force, labor, including skilled ones, is limitless, so
where is the future bottleneck? Commodities. That's
where inflation will be seen. |