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| 5/24 |
| 2005/1/10-11 [Politics/Domestic/California, Politics/Domestic/California/Arnold] UID:35634 Activity:very high |
1/10 John Fund explains some of what happened in Washington's recent
race for governor.
http://www.opinionjournal.com/diary/?id=110006139
\_ Restored.
\_ He omits that Rossi won the first two machine counts and
only after a hand recount only in overwhelmingly Dem.
King County did Gregoire come out ahead. The Dems. have
refined their election stealing skills since 2000.
\_ Source? Everything I've read indicated that the dem led
in all the recounts, which was why the repub. wanted a
"re-vote"
\_ Are you kidding? I've never read anything like that.
http://csua.org/u/anl (5th paragraph)
Also just search on http://news.google.com.
\_ Seriously, where did you hear this?
\_ I suspect he just mis-read the articles. Since they
usually just use the names of the canidates, it could
be easy to mix up.
\_ They recounted the whole state. Pretty funny to watch
the Republicans whine when the shoe is on the other foot.
Want some cheese with that whine?
\_ And pretty funny to see the Dems who were all worked up
about making sure everyone got their vote be suddenly
silent in the face of ACTUAL fraud.
\_ You mean like all the Florida fraud in 2000? Admit it,
you are just a big fat hypocrite.
\_ Honestly, I was out of the country during that
time, and I completely missed the whole 2000
controversy. I don't know how that makes me a
hypocrite, but you're welcome to try to come up
with something. -jrleek
\_ I read the full report about FL. There was absolutely
zero evidence of fraud.
\_ You don't know how to read then:
http://www.usccr.gov/pubs/vote2000/report/exesum.htm
"After carefully and fully examining all the
evidence, the Commission found a strong
basis for concluding that violations of
Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act (VRA)
occurred in Florida."
\_ You don't know how to read the whole thing:
http://www.usccr.gov/pubs/vote2000/report/dissent.htm
-emarkp
\_ Did you say "zero evidence of fraud" or not?
There is certainly plenty of evidence.
\_ Um, no there isn't. There's a lot of
handwaving, but no evidence. -emarkp
\_ Wow. You know how to present the
dissenting opinion and claiming it's
fact. I think I remember you posting
the same link before. From now on,
I'm going to live life according to
the body of law made up by Clarence
Thomas's dissents.
\_ I see you haven't read the dissent.
Show me in the conclusions what the
evidence was then. -emarkp
\_ There are none so blind as he
who will not see. It is right
there in front of your face.
"It is impossible to determine the total
number of voters turned away from the
polls or deprived of their right to vote.
It is clear that the 2000 presidential
election generated a large number of
complaints about voting irregularities in
Florida. The Florida attorney general?s
office alone received more than 3,600
allegations 2,600 complaints and 1,000 letters"
Here is a whole bunch more
evidence you can deny ever
seeing:
http://csua.org/u/anq
\_ Error 404
\_ Facts are such inconvenient,
stubborn things.
\_ Yes, especially when made up.
-emarkp
\_ So your contention is that all
the people who claimed that
they were turned away and not
allowed to vote are lying?
\_ Hey assmonkies! Why don't
we let the politicians and
pundits shout at eachother
about who "committed fraud"?
Us techies should be sticking
to a single message: "voting
in America is innacurate."
It can be fixed with common
sense, better laws, technology
and hard work. Claiming that
the "other guy", whoever
he is, is at fault really
helps nothing. Both sides
did that for four years, and
in 2004 the voting was just
as broken. Sure, there was
a clear winner, since he won
by such a large margin, but
the system is still broken,
and shouting like
children/pundits helps
nothing.
\_ I don't know if John Fund is a Republican, but he his
pretty famous for being an expert on voter fraud. He's
pretty bi-partisan in that area. |
| 5/24 |
|
| www.opinionjournal.com/diary/?id=110006139 Advertisement JOHN FUND ON THE TRAIL Don't Count Rossi Out A stolen election in Washington state? Monday, January 10, 2005 12:01 am EST The new media--talk radio, bloggers and independent watchdog groups--have followed up their success in exposing Dan Rather's use of phony memos b y showcasing another scandal: Washington state's bizarre race for govern or, which features a vote count so close and compromised it allows Flori da to retire the crown for electoral incompetence. If Democrat Christine Gregoire, who leads by 129 votes and is scheduled to take the office We dnesday, eventually has to face a new election, it will have been in lar ge part because of the new media's ability to give the story altitude be fore it reached the courts. When the idea of a revote was first broached three weeks ago by a moderat e Republican former secretary of state, Ms Gregoire's reaction was swif t: "Absolutely ludicrous." With Republican candidate Dino Rossi filing a formal court challenge last Friday alleging a massive breakdown in the vote count, she may still think the idea of a court-ordered revote is la ughable, but her legal team is taking it seriously. "There's not even a 50-50 chance a court would rule with Republicans to set aside the electi on," says Jenny Durkan, a Gregoire confidant who is representing state D emocrats. The feeling that a revote is possible is buoyed by polls showing the publ ic still thinks Mr Rossi, who won the first two vote counts before fall ing behind in the third, actually won. His legal team has also compiled a strong body of evidence showing irregularities, certainly one far more detailed than that which North Carolina officials used last week to ord er a statewide March revote of the race for agriculture commissioner aft er a computer ate 4,438 ballots in a GOP-leaning county. Without those v otes, the GOP candidate was leading by 2,287 votes out of 35 million ca st. In Washington state, the errors by election officials have been compared to the antics of Inspector Clouseau, only clumsier. At least 1,200 more votes were counted in Seattle's King County than the number of individua l voters who can be accounted for. Other counties saw similar, albeit sm aller, excess vote totals. More than 300 military personnel who were sen t their absentee ballots too late to return them have signed affidavits saying they intended to vote for Mr Rossi. Some 1 out of 20 ballots in King County that officials felt were marked unclearly were "enhanced" wi th Wite-Out or pens so that some had their original markings obliterated . Most disturbing is the revelation last week by King County officials that at least 348 unverified provisional ballots were fed directly into vote -counting machines. Unfortunately, that's part of t he process in King County," elections superintendent Bill Huennekens tol d the Seattle Times. "It's a very human process, and in some cases that did happen." King County elections director Dean Logan, Mr Huennekens' boss, also con cedes the discrepancy between the number of ballots cast and the list of people who are recorded as voting. Even though the gap is 1,200 votes, he says, "that does not clearly indicate that the election would have tu rned out differently." Are voters supposed to trust an election merely b ecause it can't "clearly" be shown to be hopelessly tainted? Mr Logan i s certainly singing a different tune now than he was on Nov. It's all too convenient, if not now fashionable, to stoop to this level when there is a close race." Slade Gorton, a Republican former state attorney general and US senator who is advising Mr Rossi, says a court should order a revote rather th an declare valid one of the two earlier vote counts that Mr Rossi won. "No one can govern effectively under the cloud this race has created," M r Gorton says. He notes that state law doesn't require any showing of f raud to contest an election. "That is irrelevant to whether the election should be done over," he says. "The law is quite clear in giving a cour t the right to void any election where the number of illegal or mistaken votes exceeds the margin of victory, and it has done so in the past." Mr Gorton notes that Sam Reed, the Republican secretary of state who cer tified Ms Gregoire's victory, issued a report in 2003 noting that King County's sloppy election procedures could lead to just this sort of elec tion meltdown. "The county is not consistent in their ballot enhancement procedures," Mr Reed's report concluded. "Ballot enhancement, while do ne in full view of political observers, did not use the procedures outli ned in the Washington Administrative Code. Inconsistencies in how this p rocedure is handled significantly increase the possibility of a successf ul election contest." com, a blog run by computer consult ant Stefan Sharkansky. A former liberal who worked for Michael Dukakis i n 1988, Mr Sharkansky calls himself a "9/11 conservative mugged by real ity." He uses his knowledge of statistics and probability to illustrate how unlikely some of the reported vote count changes are. He also uncove red the fact that in Precinct 1823 in downtown Seattle, 527, or 70%, of the 763 registered voters used 500 Fourth Avenue--the King County admini stration building--as their residential address. A full 61% of the preci nct's voters only registered in the last year, and nearly all of them "l ive" at 500 Fourth Avenue. By contrast, only 13% of all of King County v oters registered in 2004. Not all of the voters at the county building are homeless or hard to find . A noted local judge and her husband have been registered at the county building for years. When I called her to ask why, she became flustered and said it was because of security concerns, specifically because "the Mexican mafia are out to get me." When I pointed out that her home addre ss and phone number were easily found on the Internet and in property re cords, she ended the conversation by refusing to answer a question about whether she had improperly voted for state legislative candidates who w ould represent the county building but not her residence. Even liberal officeholders in Seattle privately acknowledge that the comb ination of bloggers, talk radio and local think tanks like the Evergreen Freedom Foundation have helped skeptics of the election's validity win the public relations war. Evergreen president Bob Williams says his grou p isn't focused on overturning Ms Gregoire's election so much as on hig hlighting the obvious problems in the vote count that cry out for perman ent legislative fixes. He notes the public is paying attention: A poll t aken last week by Seattle's KING-TV found that by a 20-point margin stat e residents back a new election, and by 53% to 36% they don't think Mr Rossi should concede. Seattle Times columnist Joni Balter says the attack on the vote count by Republican-leaning media "is by now a near-military operation--air, land and sea." She blames radio hosts Kirby Wilbur, John Carlson and Mike Si egel for keeping listeners updated and in a constant state of outrage. " There's a lot to be outraged about," responds Mr Carlson, an unsuccessf ul candidate for governor in 2000. "Last week, I did 13 out of my show's 15 hours on the election and people wanted more." In his new book, "Blog: Understanding the Information Reformation," radio host and law professor Hugh Hewitt calls the new media a form of "open- source journalism" in which gatekeepers can no longer control what reach es the public. Readers and listeners interact with bloggers and talk sho w hosts so that a free market of ideas and information can emerge. "Blog s analyzed the Washington state election shenanigans in a more sophistic ated and comprehensive way than the mainstream media," he told me. "When a swarm of blogs and new media focus on a story it can fundamentally al ter the general public's understanding of an event or person. Ask John K erry, Trent Lott, Tom Daschle and soon-to-retire CBS anchor Dan Rather i f they think the new media changed people's perceptions of them." Similarly, when Christine Gregoire takes the oath of office as governor o n Wednesday, she will st... |
| csua.org/u/anl -> www.newsday.com/news/politics/wire/sns-ap-washington-governor,0,6868040.story?coll=sns-ap-politics-headlines By ELIZABETH M GILLESPIE Associated Press Writer January 8, 2005, 9:33 AM EST BELLEVUE, Wash. Rossi and the state GOP announced Friday they will contest the gubernator ial election that gave Rossi's Democratic foe, Christine Gregoire, a 129 -vote victory. advertisement Republicans have been building a case over the past few weeks, gathering evidence of voting irregularities, including illegal provisional ballots and a handful of votes cast by dead people. They are pushing for a revo te, an unprecedented step in a statewide election. "There are so many improperly cast and counted ballots that this election is invalid," said Rossi, a real-estate millionaire and former state sen ator. The only way for us to get out of this p roblem is for us to have a revote." Rossi won the initial tally by 261 votes and a machine recount by 42 vote s, then lost a hand recount to Democrat Christine Gregoire by 129 votes out of 29 million ballots. The party filed a lawsuit contesting the election in Chelan County, in no rth-central Washington. GOP attorney Harry Korrell said Republicans woul d not seek to block Gregoire's inauguration, scheduled for Wednesday. Democrats said the state constitution won't allow a revote. "No court will find this election should be set aside," said Democratic P arty attorney Jenny A Durkan. Even if illegal votes were cast, she said , "it would not change the outcome of the election." Gregoire, the state's three-term attorney general, has called the idea of a revote "absolutely ludicrous." On Friday, she acknowledged Rossi's right to contest the election, but fl atly rejected his contention that enough errors have been shown to warra nt a redo. "I don't take any of this personally," she said at a news conference in O lympia. "I respect the right of others to file an action in the courts." Republicans are not arguing any fraud or misconduct took place, only that too many mistakes were made for anyone to be certain who actually won. "The number of votes cast questionably, illegally or mistakenly is vastly in excess of the 129-vote margin by which this election has been certif ied," former US Sen. Slade Gorton said at a news conference Rossi held at his campaign headquarters in this Seattle suburb. Republicans highlighted a host of problems, including thousands more ball ots than people credited with voting in several counties' records -- mor e than 1,200 in heavily Democratic King County alone. King County Elections Director Dean Logan and other county officials have said it's common for vote totals not to match up with their lists of vo ters who cast ballots. Another problem in King County: Nearly 350 provisional ballots were fed d irectly into vote-counting machines before election staffers could verif y whether they were valid, Logan said. Republicans said they chose Chelan County to file the lawsuit because the y didn't want to sue in any county where they were alleging serious prob lems had occurred. Democrats said picking a county where voters backed R ossi amounted to "judge shopping." Any election challenge will certainly end up before the state Supreme Cou rt. Supreme Court Clerk CJ Merritt said the court will wait until the filin g period closes before deciding what to do with election challenges. The deadline is 10 days after the Legislature issues a certificate of elect ion, which is expected to happen Tuesday. Washington isn't the only state where election drama is unfolding. In Nor th Carolina, a judge ordered a new statewide election for agriculture co mmissioner because of a voting machine error that wiped out 4,438 ballot s in one county. |
| www.usccr.gov/pubs/vote2000/report/exesum.htm Executive Summary Voting Irregularities in Florida During the 2000 Presidential Election Executive Summary Addressing voting rights issues has been a core responsibility for the United States Commission on Civil Rights since the Commission was founded in 1957. It has general jurisdiction to examine allegations regarding the right of United States citizens to vote and to have their votes counted. These allegations may include, but are not limited to, allegations of discrimination based on race, color, religion, sex, age, disability, or national origin. Pursuant to its authority, and fulfilling its obligations, members of the Commission staff conducted a preliminary investigation and discovered widespread allegations of voter disenfranchisement in Florida in the 2000 presidential election. The Commissioners voted unanimously to conduct an extensive public investigation into these allegations of voting irregularities. Toward that end, the Commission held three days of hearings in Miami and Tallahassee and, using its subpoena powers, collected more than 30 hours of testimony from more than 100 witnessesall taken under oathand reviewed more than 118,000 pages of pertinent documents. The Commission carefully selected its subpoenaed witnesses to ensure that it heard testimony on the wide range of issues that had come to light during its preliminary investigation. The Commission also acted to ensure that it heard a broad spectrum of views. It subpoenaed a cross section of witnesses, including Florida Governor Jeb Bush, Florida Secretary of State Katherine Harris, members of Governor Bushs Select Task Force on Election Procedures, Standards and Technology, and Floridas attorney general. Additionally, the Commission subpoenaed a number of witnesses who had problems or who had first-hand knowledge of problems during the election, especially those on Election Day. The Commission attempted to ensure that it heard all points of view in a second way. At each of the hearings, it invited the general public to testify once the formal sessions had concluded. There were no time limits on how long these sessions lasted, and they ended only after all witnesses had made their statements and each of the Commissioners present had ample opportunity to ask any and all questions of the witnesses. The witnesses statements and answers to Commissioners questions were under oath. During the three days of hearings, numerous witnesses delivered heartrending accounts of the frustrations they experienced at the polls. Potential voters confronted inexperienced poll workers, antiquated machinery, inaccessible polling locations, and other barriers to being able to exercise their right to vote. The Commissions findings make one thing clear: widespread voter disenfranchisementnot the dead-heat contestwas the extraordinary feature in the Florida election. After carefully and fully examining all the evidence, the Commission found a strong basis for concluding that violations of Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act VRA occurred in Florida. The VRA was enacted in 1965 to enforce the 15th Amendments proscription against voting discrimination. It is aimed at both subtle and overt state action that has the effect of denying a citizen the right to vote because of his or her race. Although the VRA originally focused on enfranchising African Americans, the law has been amended several times to also include American Indians, Asian Americans, Alaskan Natives, and people of Spanish heritage. Additionally, the VRA includes a provision that recognizes the need for multilingual assistance for non-English speakers. Violations of the VRA can be established by evidence that the action or inaction of responsible officials and other evidence constitute a totality of the circumstances that denied citizens their right to vote. The report does not find that the highest officials of the state conspired to disenfranchise voters. Moreover, even if it was foreseeable that certain actions by officials led to voter disenfranchisement, this alone does not mean that intentional discrimination occurred. Instead, the report concludes that officials ignored the mounting evidence of rising voter registration rates in communities. The states highest officials responsible for ensuring efficiency, uniformity, and fairness in the election failed to fulfill their responsibilities and were subsequently unwilling to take responsibility. Disenfranchised Voters Disenfranchised voters are individuals who are entitled to vote, want to vote, or attempt to vote, but who are deprived from either voting or having their votes counted. The most dramatic undercount in the Florida election was the uncast ballots of countless eligible voters who were wrongfully turned away from the polls. Statistical data, reinforced by credible anecdotal evidence, point to the widespread denial of voting rights. It is impossible to determine the extent of the disenfranchisement or to provide an adequate remedy to the persons whose voices were silenced by injustice, ineptitude, and inefficiency. However, careful analysis and some reasonable projections illustrate what happened in Florida. The disenfranchisement of Floridas voters fell most harshly on the shoulders of black voters. The magnitude of the impact can be seen from any of several perspectives: Statewide, based upon county-level statistical estimates, black voters were nearly 10 times more likely than nonblack voters to have their ballots rejected. Estimates indicate that approximately 144 percent of Floridas black voters cast ballots that were rejected. This compares with approximately 16 percent of nonblack Florida voters who did not have their presidential votes counted. These statewide estimates were corroborated by the results in several counties based on actual precinct data. Poor counties, particularly those with large minority populations, were more likely to possess voting systems with higher spoilage rates than the more affluent counties with significant white populations. There is a high correlation between counties and precincts with a high percentage of African American voters and the percentage of spoiled ballots. For example: Nine of the 10 counties with the highest percentage of African American voters had spoilage rates above the Florida average. Of the 10 counties with the highest percentage of white voters, only two counties had spoilage rates above the state average. Gadsden County, with the highest rate of spoiled ballots, also had the highest percentage of African American voters. Where precinct data were available, the data show that 83 of the 100 precincts with the highest numbers of spoiled ballots are black-majority precincts. The magnitude of the disenfranchisement, including the disparity between black and nonblack voters, is supported by the testimony of witnesses at the Commissions hearings. These witnesses include local election officials, poll workers, ordinary voters, and activists. Among the sworn testimony: One potential voter waited hours at the polls because of a registration mix-up as poll workers attempted to call the office of the supervisor of elections. The call never got through and the individual was not allowed to vote. A former poll worker herself, she testified that she never saw anything like it during her 18 years as a poll worker. A poll worker in Miami-Dade County with 15 years of experience testified, By far this was the worst election I have ever experienced. After that election, I decided I didnt want to work as a clerk anymore. A poll worker in Palm Beach County testified that she had to use her personal cell phone to attempt to contact the election supervisors office. Despite trying all day, she only got through two or three times over the course of 12 hours. A Broward County poll worker testified that in past elections it took about 10 minutes to get through to the elections supervisor. During the course of the November 2000 election, she turned away approximately 4050 potential voters because she could not access the supervisor of elections. A Boynton Beach poll worker explained how his precinct workers turned away about 3050 poten... |
| www.usccr.gov/pubs/vote2000/report/dissent.htm THE FLORIDA ELECTION REPORT: DISSENTING STATEMENT BY COMMISSIONER ABIGAIL THERNSTROM AND COMMISSIONER RUSSELL G REDENBAUGH July 19, 2001 The United States Commission on Civil Rights, charged with the statutory duty to investigate voting rights violations in a fair and objective man ner, has produced a report that fails to serve the public interest. Voti ng Irregularities Occurring in Florida During the 2000 Presidential Elec tion is prejudicial, divisive, and injurious to the cause of true democr acy and justice in our society. It discredits the Commission itself and substantially diminishes its credibility as the nations protector of ou r civil rights. Its conclusions are bas ed on a deeply flawed statistical analysis coupled with anecdotal eviden ce of limited value, unverified by a proper factual investigation. This shaky foundation is used to justify charges of the most serious natureq uestioning the legitimacy of the American electoral process and the vali dity of the most recent presidential election. The reports central find ingthat there was widespread disenfranchisement and denial of voting r ights in Floridas 2000 presidential electiondoes not withstand even a cursory legal or scholarly scrutiny. Leveling such a serious charge wit hout clear justification is an unwarranted assault upon the publics con fidence in American democracy. The statistical analysis in the report is superficial and incomplete. John Lott, an economist at Yale Law School, challenges its main findings. Lott was unable to fi nd a consistent, statistical significant relationship between the share of voters who were African Americans and the ballot spoilage rate. Lott conducted additional analysis beyond the reports p arameters, looking at previous elections, demographic changes, and rates of ballot spoilage. His analysis found little relationship between raci al population change and ballot spoilage, and the one correlation that i s found runs counter to the majority reports argument: An increase in t he black share of the voting population is linked to a slight decrease i n spoilage rates, although the difference is not statistically significa nt. Nothing is more fundamental to American democracy than the right to vote and to have valid votes properly counted. Allegations of disenfranchisem ent are the fertile ground in which a dangerous distrust of American pol itical institutions thrives. By basing its conclusion on allegations tha t seem driven by partisan interests and that lack factual basis, the maj ority on the Commission has needlessly fostered public distrust, alienat ion and manifest cynicism. The report implicitly labels the outcome of t he 2000 election as illegitimate, thereby calling into question the most fundamental basis of American democracy. What appears to be partisan passions not only destroyed the credibility o f the report itself, but informed the entire process that led up to the final draft. At the Florida hearings, Governor Jeb Bush was the only wit ness who was not allowed to make an opening statement. The Chair, Mary F rances Berry, was quoted in the Florida press as comparing the Governor and Secretary of State to Pontius Pilate... On March 9, six commissioners voted to issue a preli minary assessmentin effect, a verdictlong before the staff had comple ted its review of the evidence. The report claims that affected agencies were afforded an opportunity to review applicable portions; in fact, affected parties were never given a look at the preliminary assessment, and had only ten days in which to review and respond to the final report, in violation of established pro cedures and previous promises. Most recently, a request for basic data to which weand indeed, any membe r of the publicwere entitled was denied to us. The Commission hired Pro fessor Allan Lichtman, an historian at American University, to examine t he relationship between spoiled ballots and the race of voters. We asked for a copy of the machine-readable data that Professor Lichtman used to run his correlations and regressions. That is, we wanted his computer r uns, the data that went into them, and the regression output that was pr oduced. The Commission told us that it did not existthat the data as he organized it for purposes of analysis was literally unavailable. Profes sor Lichtman, who knows that as a matter of scholarly convention such da ta should be shared, also declined to provide it. Even now, five weeks after our first request, we still have not received the multiple regressions and the machine-readable data that were used in them. They are the foundation upon which the Commissions report largel y rests. At the June 13 monthly Commission meeting, members of the commission staf f and some commissioners argued that this document is not a proper diss ent but a dissenting report, and that the commission cannot allow the preparation of a dissenting report. But it is obviously impossible to write a thorough dissent without reanalyzing the quantita tive and other evidence upon which important claims have been based. Perhaps no previous member of the commission has felt the need to write q uite such a lengthy critique of a report endorsed by the majority. But t he explanation may be that the Commission has never written an important report that so demanded elaborate critical scrutiny. In any event, it i s curious that an agency devoted to the protection of minority rights sh ould show so little respect for the freedom of expression of its own mem bers who happen to disagree with the majority on an issue. And that is why it is important to examine, with integri ty, possible violations of the electoral process in Florida and other st ates. When the process is right, participants on another day can revisit the outcomeuse the procedures (fair and thus trusted) to debate policy or to vote again. But when the process is corrupt, the conclusions them selves (current and future) are deeply suspect. The Commission investiga ted procedural irregularities in Florida; Had the process been right, the substance might have been much better. Th e Commissions staff would have received feedback from Florida officials , commissioners, and other concerned parties, on the basis of which it m ight have revised the report. It should be consulting with commissioners in the course of drafting a report, including those who do not share th e majority view. As it is, at great expense, the Commission has written a dangerous and divisive document. And thus it certainly provides no bas is upon which to reform the electoral process in Florida or anywhere els e SUMMARY I The statistical analysis done for the Commission by Dr. Allan Lichtman does not support the claim of disenfranchisement. The most sensational finding in the majority report is the claim that b lack voters in the Florida election in 2000 were nine times as likely as other residents of the state to have cast ballots that did not count in the presidential contest. Disenfranchisement is not the same thing as voter error. The report t alks about voters likely to have their ballots spoiled; in fact, the pro blem was undervotes and overvotes, some of which were deliberate (the un dervotes, particularly). Or machine error, which is random, and thus cannot disenfranchise any population group. It was certainly not due to any conspiracy on the part of superv isors of elections; the vast majority of spoiled ballots were cast in co unties where the supervisor was a Democrat. The ecological fallacy: The majority report argues that race was the dominant factor explaining whose votes counted and whose were rejected. But the method used rests on the assumption that if the proportion of sp oiled ballots in a county or precinct is higher in places with a larger black population, it must be African American ballots that were disquali fied. That conclusion does not necessarily follow, as statisticians have long understood. This is the problem of what is termed the ecological f allacy. And it is impossibl e to develop accurate estimates about how groups of individuals vote (or misvote) on the basis of county-level or precinct-level averages. The f... |
| csua.org/u/anq -> www.naacpldf.org/content/ Directory Listing Denied This Virtual Directory does not allow contents to be listed. |
| news.google.com Congress Says Allies Support India's Gandhi for PM Reuters - 20 minutes ago NEW DELHI (Reuters) - India's victorious Congress Party said on Friday there was consensus among its coalition partners for its Italian-born leader Sonia Gandhi to become the next prime minister. Explosions and fighting in holy Shiite city of Najaf Channel News Asia - 5 minutes ago NAJAF, Iraq : Explosions and fierce clashes broke out in the holy Shiite city of Najaf between US forces and militiamen loyal to firebrand cleric Moqtada Sadr, an AFP correspondent said. BUDGET REQUEST: $50 billion needed in new war funding Detroit Free Press - 1 hour ago WASHINGTON -- The Bush administration needs at least another $50 billion for Iraq and Afghanistan, a top Defense Department official said Thursday. World trade ministers meeting in Paris SABC News - 4 hours ago The world's trade ministers are meeting in Paris, France, under the auspices of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Developement (OECD). Top of their agenda is to re-start the stalled world trade talks. Nintendo, Sony Blaze New Gaming Trail Wireless NewsFactor - 7 hours ago Sony and Nintendo are dueling with their hot new portable game devices. Nintendo's eye opener is a prototype for a next-gen Game Boy that features dual screens and voice recognition. Netsky falls The Inquirer - 1 hour ago FIVE GERMAN GEEKS are now helping police with their inquiries into the Netsky virus ring. Since the arrest, police have raided the homes of five youths who are believed to be in the Netsky ring. Their computers have been taken away for questioning too. Calgary Sun Calgary Sun - 40 minutes ago First she bewitched Menelaus, the king of Sparta and then Paris, the young prince of Troy. When she left Menelaus, who had become her husband, for Paris, Greece went to war with Troy to get her back. Frasier' ends 11-year run with classy sign-off Arizona Republic - 45 minutes ago Too long by half - is there some law that says networks must greedily double the running time of half-hour sitcom finales, making them drag in the middle, and if so, can we break that law? Breast milk may prevent later heart disease The Globe and Mail - 1 hour ago New research suggests that babies who are breastfed are less likely to develop atherosclerosis (clogged arteries) as adults, and the lower risk may be due to breast milk permanently altering the way cholesterol is stored by the body. Defects from smog passed on in mice The Globe and Mail - 1 hour ago Researchers in the heavily industrialized city of Hamilton have found that the microscopic particles of soot and dust in air pollution cause genetic mutations in mice sperm that are passed down to the next generation. Royal wedding fever grips Denmark CNN - 20 minutes ago (CNN) -- Hundreds of thousands of people are expected the jam the streets of Copenhagen to well wish the marriage of Denmark's crown prince to his Australian bride on Friday. Gov's budget calls for cuts and borrowing, pins hope on economy San Francisco Chronicle - 5 minutes ago Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger released a $1028 billion plan for restoring California's financial health that calls for cutting spending in all departments and services but backs away from some of the most painful reductions he proposed in January. |