Berkeley CSUA MOTD:Entry 34657
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2004/11/4 [Politics/Domestic/911] UID:34657 Activity:insanely high
11/04   So I posed this question to a liberal friend of mine.  Say, you are
        elected POTUS in 2004, instead of W.  Say a few days after your
        inauguration, NYC is nuked by a terrorist attack.  As in, a crater is
        left where NYC used to be.  What do you do?
        Feel free to modify the past however you wish to make your job
        easier (by disappearing the Iraq war, for instance).  I am just
        curious what the ideal liberal (or conservative, or libertarian)
        response would be to something like that. -- ilyas
        \_ You can win wars, fight crime, insurgencies and terrorism and make
           friends internationally without ruining your moral authority, your
           currency, your economy, and your rule of law, and you can do it
           right.  -John
           \_ Ok, what do you do?
              \_ I hate to say this, but the answer is "it depends."  I'd
                 certainly try to hit back in a measured, well-considered way,
                 like W. did in Afghanistan, before FUCKING IT ALL UP.  I
                 would also have better prerequisites for doing all these
                 great things because I would not have appointed a bunch
                 of opportunists and nutjobs as my deputies.  I'd not just
                 bask in the tremendous outpouring of international sympathy,
                 but actually actively use that to try and build support for
                 countermeasures, instead of cowboying it alone and pissing
                 off everyone in sight, and I'd focus on good, useful
                 protective measures instead of appointing a meathead in
                 charge of announcing a new color every day and blowing my
                 civil defense budget on distributing gas maskes in Dubuque.
                 Anything more detailed than that is just mental masturbation.
                 \_ Dude, John.  'It depends' on what?  NY fucking C is gone.
                    This is an oddly general answer to a fairly specific
                    question.  You honestly have no general policy in mind?
                    You probably shouldn't be president.  (I don't mean this
                    in an insulting way, nor am I implying I would do better).
                      -- ilyas
        \_ I immediately figure out how to shift the tax burden
           from the idle rich to the working poor!
        \_ That's easy.  You find out who did it, and nuke them back.  I don't
           think anyone is going to argue for something less than total
           commitment with an attack like that.  --liberal
           \_ Say Al Qaeda posted a video on Al Jazeera claiming responsibility,
              and spouting.  The issue is not whether you would commit, but
              what exactly you would do with the committment. -- ilyas
              \_ I think I already told you - nuke them back.  With an
                 essentially stateless organization like Al Qaeda, you
                 can't just nuke any old major city - you'd probably have
                 to go after whoever you think they got their bomb from.
                 A nuclear weapon capable of actually turning NYC into a crater
                 is just not something AQ could create on their own.  I'm not
                 sure what you mean to gain by asking this question with such
                 an extreme example, unless I'm being led into some sort of
                 false dichotomy trap.  Given that this is ilyas, that might
                 be a good assumption to make.
                 \_ Ok, say Al Qaeda managed to steal a nuke from Pakistan or
                    bought one from Ukraine. -- ilyas
                    \_ Pakistan's nukes are probably far too clunky for AQ
                       to realistically deliver to an NYC target, so let's
                       say they bought it from Ukraine.  Let's further assume
                       that they bought it from a rogue agent acting alone,
                       and that Ukraine itself is not responsible.  Is that
                       okay?
                       \_ Sure.
                          \_ Okay.  So you don't actually have a state that you
                             can nuke, at least not just yet.  You've got to
                             hunt down and exterminate every last AQ member,
                             and nuke any country that gets in your way.
                             Again, I'm not sure why you're using such an
                             extreme example.  The answers get much murkier
                             with more realistic scenarios.
                             \_ So basically what you are saying is, you
                                will not do anything different from what we
                                are trying to do now: hunting down Al Qaeda
                                (how?).  This is after America's largest
                                city is turned to dust.  I think this is
                                an alarming state of affairs. -- ilyas
                                \_ What else are you supposed to do?  Start
                                   nuking random countries?  I knew you were
                                   going to turn this into some kind of logical
                                   trap.
                                   \_ I don't know what we are supposed to do.
                                      If this is a trap, it's not really my
                                      trap.  I am just pointing out that it's
                                      not really as far fetched as people say
                                      for the US to take a very proactive, and
                                      possibly intrusive, stance in the world,
                                      over and above vaguely 'trying to hunt
                                      down Al Qaeda.'  Btw, if NYC is in
                                      fact dusted, there is no way you will
                                      be able to politically justify
                                      essentially doing nothing, as you are
                                      proposing.  -- ilyas
                                      \_ I'm not sure what it is that you're
                                         trying to discover with this line
                                         of questioning.  Personally, I'd have
                                         no problem invading a country that's
                                         harboring terrorists who nuked NYC.
                                         But the US has limited resources, and
                                         it's stupid to overextend into
                                         countries that are not directly
                                         responsible or accountable (ie Iraq).
                                         I don't think this is a Liberal or
                                         Conservative issue, it's a common
                                         sense perspective.  Violence should
                                         be cold and reasonably applied, not
                                         randomly meted out according to the
                                         whimsy of someone's murky, conflicted
                                         agenda (ideally, anyhow).   -mice
                                         \_ Who will you invade?  The nuke was
                                            bought from a ukranian rogue!
                                            \_ I'm assuming that the point of
                                               of the exercise is to probe the
                                               'liberal' stance of motd'ers,
                                               and show their hypocrisy or
                                               their naivete, using Iraq as
                                               the point of contention.  This
                                               is an interesting question,
                                               though I don't like ilyas'
                                               socratic RP-scenario approach
                                               to ascertaining this.    -mice
                                               \_ I think you are attributing
                                                  more malice to my line of
                                                  questioning than there is.
                                                  I don't really know what
                                                  we should do.  I think it's
                                                  more curiosity than anything
                                                  else.  If I am pointing out
                                                  anything 'malicious' it's that
                                                  the typical liberal response
                                                  might not necessarily be
                                                  politically tenable if
                                                  something truly bad
                                                  happens. -- ilyas
                                                  \_ Eh, it's not malice; the
                                                     presupposition that
                                                     there's a 'typical
                                                     liberal response' seems to
                                                     give some measure of
                                                     validation to my
                                                     opinion that there's a
                                                     measure of socraticalness
                                                     in the conversation.  I
                                                     apologize if I it seemed
                                                     I was accusing you of
                                                     malicious intent; you
                                                     just very seldom ask
                                                     unloaded questions.
                                                     So what, in your view, IS
                                                     the 'typical liberal
                                                     response'?  -mice
                                                     \_ Well, I gathered it's
                                                        'don't do anything
                                                        other than gather intel
                                                        and try to catch
                                                        terrorists, just as
                                                        we are trying to now.'
                                                          -- ilyas
                                                  \_ Honestly ilyas, if NYC
                                                     really gets nuked, all
                                                     bets are off and
                                                     traditional politics
                                                     probably goes out
                                                     the window as the
                                                     apocalypse begins.
        \_ Get into that underground nuke-proof bunker with Rice and Elaine.
           Lock everyone else out.  What follows are left for your imagination.
           -- troll
        \_ Blame Bush.
        \_ Maybe it would be better if you asked a hypothetical question
           that had a non-zero chance of obtaining.
           \_ You think the probability of a nuclear terrorist attack on
              NYC is 0? -- ilyas
        \_ I don't think this is a liberal/conservative issue. Your question
           is too vague to give any particular answer.
           \_ You can attack this question on a lot of grounds, but not on
              vagueness.  I gave a particular situation.  NYC is a crater.
              You are the president.  What is your policy?  -- ilyas
              \_ Just for fun, here was the ilyas policy from an older motd
                 post: "nuke the arab world".  And in ilyas fantasy land,
                 while the US is launching its nukes to wipe out all those
                 muslim countries, no other country does anything.  Iran
                 doesn't nuke Isreal, India and Pakistan don't nuke each other,
                 North Korea doesn't nuke either Japan or China, etc.  The
                 rest of the world happily sits on their hands and lets the
                 US do all the nuking.  -meyers
                 \_ Meyers, I believe I made the _prediction_ that the US
                    will mobilize and do a long term invasion of the Middle
                    East as a response to a nuking of NYC.
                        (http://csua.com/?entry=32820
                    This prediction was NOT my policy suggestion.
                    Furthermore, I never either predicted a nuking, nor
                    advocated a nuking myself, unless something like a GTNW
                    was already in progress.
                    You are pulling this out of your ass.
                    (Certainly if US will have nukes going off everywhere,
                     i.e. a 'free-for-all', then US will retaliate, but that's
                     a rational response.) -- ilyas
        \_ Okay smart guy, what is *your* response?
                \_ Did you read this thread at all?
                   \_ Yes, I read the entire thread. Ilyas has no answers,
                      only criticisms.
              \_ I go on TV and make a rousing, determined, patriotic speech
                 mobilizing the entire country to blindly support my
                 domestic political agenda. I blame Bush for fucking up
                 on the Bin Laden situation and overextending our troops,
                 and having bad priorities w.r.t. Iraq, Iran, North Korea,
                 Pakistan etc. We have to consider how a terrorist could
                 actually acquire and detonate a city-destroying nuke in
                 NYC, seems highly unlikely to me. I think it would be
                 more likely that if they acquire one it would be in the
                 Eurasian continent and they would perhaps target Israel.
                 I would not nuke another country since it seems unlikely
                 that a state will have any direct responsibility, and
                 it would piss off the world with nuclear contamination
                 and deaths of poor dumb peons somewhere in a symbolic
                 act of rage. I suppose nuking Mecca and engaging Islam
                 in a full-on apocalyptic shitfest would be what some
                 rightists would call for. I would not do that. I would
                 concentrate on Pakistan and Iran with intensity. I
                 don't know much about Musharraf, but I would claim that
                 an international security force is needed in Pakistan
                 since it seems Al Qaeda is operating out of there.
                 I would lobby other nations hard for military support
                 in Iraq and other places, and use the threat of
                 economic consequences if they fail to help... this must
                 be done right after the attack while the moral mandate
                 is on our side (but we wouldn't be publically hostile
                 until after an ally publically shit in our face).
                 until after an ally publically shit in our face). -moderate
                 \_ You are not ilyas.
                    \_ too much posting, too lazy to arrange properly.
        \_ If the US is nuked by AQ, then I think the solution would be
           marshall law in the US. We probably would round up every
           \_ Wataaaaa!
           vaguely Muslim or Middle-Eastern person and close the borders.
           Meanwhile, I would not be surprised if many allies did the same
           thing. Israel and the US would go on the offensive against
           the Muslim states (Syria, Egypt, Jordan, etc.) but I do think
           most of the changes would be here at home.
2025/05/25 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
5/25    

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If I was bin Laden, the last person in the world I'd want as President of the US would be a war hero who promised to fight a more 'sensitive war on terror'. Hey, this sounds familiar: "The goal of the next attack is twofold: to damage the US economy and to undermine the US election," the official said. There's no doubt Al Qaeda is smart enough to organize 911, etc. Nevertheless, something about the way they are going about their business that strikes me as fundamentally dumb. America already isn't very happy with the Arab world, and even Arab Americans. We will most likely: institute the draft (probably won't be necessary with the volume of volunteers) convert to war footing a la WWII absolutely SQUISH the entire Middle East, and possibly institute a long term occupation. Because that's what it's going to get -- a really pissed off US in their backyard for 20, 30, 50 years. The US has an itchy trigger finger kind of frontier culture, to this day. The US also has the industrial and scientific resources to basically impose their will on most of the world, and if the US perceives itself to be in genuine danger, woe be to everyone else. There (probably) would not be any link to any national entity. America is very cozy with the Saudis and will not just "go and squish" them based on an Al Qaeda attack. We already took out Afghanistan, and are making sure Iran doesn't get nukes. You do understand that they understand that the US has a superior military capability, and will win in any conventional conflict between nations? If it truly becomes a free-for-all between US and Arabs, US nukes the Arabs. Al Qaeda is trying to provoke the power that can take on all of the rest of the world put together, most likely. Just how does the US decide "the Arab world" is the culprit, and then justify: "SQUISH the entire Middle East". As for the US, a blow up of two buildings resulting in the US invading 2 countries. The 'Arab World' is a hotbed of religious fundamentalism which results in things like Al Qaeda. The US can reasonably conclude that one way to fight fundamentalism is take over the Middle East and institute reforms that way, rather than wait for history. I notice you were using vi a second ago, but I have a suspicion you were using something else earlier today. I mean, c'mon, I was editing this thread, posted a comment, and 30 seconds later it's gone and in its place is your post. I think your post got overwritten because you simply were editing during a busy time. Blaming the guy you are immediately talking to is stupid -- lots of conversations are happening at the same time. htm FBIS is the Foreign Broadcast Information Service of the CIA. Bin Ladin's Former 'Bodyguard' Interviewed on Al-Qa'ida Strategies London Al-Quds a l-Arabi in Arabic 03 Aug 04 p4 AL-QUDS AL-'ARABI Tuesday, August 3, 2004 Journal Code: 1430 Language: ENGLISH Record Type: FULLTEXT Document Typ e: Daily Report; News Word Count: 6,115 Al-Quds Al-Arabi headline: "Abu- Jandal, Former Personal Bodyguard of Usama Bin Ladin and Leading Al-Qa'i da Element in Yemen Reveals to Al-Quds Al-Arabi his Intercession in Bin Ladin's Marriage to a Yemeni Girl. He Used to Meet With Al-Zarqawi, but Says he is not a Leader. Saudi Bombings Are the Natural Outcome of the R egim's Policy and They Will Continue" (FBIS Translated Text) After a lon g period of refusal to talk with any of the local and international news media, he was finally persuaded to give a chance to Al-Quds al-Arabi to conduct a detailed interview with him on Al-Qa'ida Organization activit ies in Yemen and the world. He is the former bodyguard of Al-Qa'ida lead er Usama Bin Ladin. He is known by the nickname "Abu-Jandal" but his rea l name is Nasir Ahmad Nasir al-Bahri. He said that he was born in Jedda, Saudi Arabia, in 1973. He completed his secondary school education in S audi Arabia and he then specialized in business administration. He is cu rrently engaged in import-export trade in Yemen. His brother-in-law, Sal im Hamdan, is imprisoned at the US Guantanamo Base in Cuba. The security and military sense that he trained on while in Al-Qa'ida in Afghanistan still dominates him. He had a key role in the organization and was trus ted by Usama Bin Ladin. However, he only revealed a little of the inform ation that he has in this interview, in which we tried to literally drag him to a number of issues and managed to come out with a great deal of information. The following is text of the interview with Abu-Jandal: (Al -Hammadi) When were you imprisoned in Yemen and how long did you stay in prison? I stayed in prison for one year and 10 months, of which 13 mont hs were spent in solitary confinement. And, this is a testimony I make i n favor of the Yemeni Government. It was a very calm investigation under the supervision of the Yemeni Government. But, the truth is I did not h ave any role in any of these incidents. One question said: As far as we are concerned, 80 percent of what you said is true, but does Al-Qa'ida h ave chemical plants and nuclear weapons? I recall that my answer to them was that Usama Bin Ladin has a weapon that is far superior to all the U S weapons. I told them: "Among the believers are men, who have been true to their covenant to God: of them some have completed their vow (to the extreme), and some (still) wait: But they have never changed (their det ermination) in the least." I thank him for pardoning me and the group of youths, although there were no charges against us for participating in any activity in the country. It was a kind presidential gesture that had a very good effect on us and our families and people. Most of the youth s belonging to Al-Qa'ida and other organizations in Yemen had no activit y inside the country. Many of them did not like to operate in Yemen, bei ng their country that must be protected. After my return from Tajikistan we went on what we called the journey to the north. After our return fr om Bosnia and Somalia, we moved to Tajikistan, but we could not withstan d the conditions; I met with Shaykh Usama Bin Ladin on 27 Sha'ban 1417 ( end of 1996), and I joined Al-Qa'ida immediately after this meeting. I l eft it the second time to finalize the arrangements for Shaykh Usama Bin Ladin's marriage in Yemen. My third and last departure from Afghanistan was before the Cole operation by about two and a half months (the middl e of year 2000). The plans were for the bride to travel to Afghanistan a ccompanied by her immediate relatives. But, due to some delay in the arr angements I had to return to Afghanistan before them. He did not have an y people from Yemen and the Arabian Peninsula. Our group of 17 persons w as the first batch to come from the Arabian Peninsula; This was why they called us founders of the organization. Our duties included preaching f or the ideology and the cause, rousing the people, and getting prepared to carry out martyrdom operations. Regarding my duties in the organizati on, I had two duties. I then moved to the duty of being in charge of the guesthouse or guesthouses in Kabul and Kandahar. What do you know about the bombing of this destroyer, and how was it arranged? This operation was preceded by another one that was supposed to have taken place a year earlier but it failed due to certain natural factors. But, they succeed ed in this operation, although not completely. From what I heard, the pl an was to attack it in international waters so that no state in the regi on would assume the consequences of this operation. But, it was God's wi sh to happen this way and so it was attacked in Yemeni territorial water s The information on it was collected by committees, and the implemente rs of this operation were two persons only. As to the reports that say t hat it was carried out by the Mosad, this is a myth and a means to frust rate Muslims by saying that they are incapable of anything. Those who ca rried out the operation, may God rest their souls in peace, are well kno wn among our brother mujahidin. The second is our brother Ibrahim al-Tha wr from Sanaa who was also born at Al-Ta'if. The decision was made centr ally, but the method of attack and execution was the...