Berkeley CSUA MOTD:Entry 34583
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2025/05/24 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
5/24    

2004/11/3 [Politics/Domestic/Election] UID:34583 Activity:nil
11/2    Kerry now only has one scenario in which he can win:
        (1) Kerry wins OH and WI
        Kerry's people are saying there could be as many as 250,000 provisional
        ballots in OH to review.  These ballots will not be reviewed until
        11 days have passed, for emotions to cool.
        IMO, Kerry should fight, and he should not feel bad about it.
        \_ Yeah, but Kerry is down by 125,000 votes on OH.
           \_ Yeah, currently, with 99% of precints reporting, the gap is
              144,000 votes.
        \_ If Kerry wins Ohio, he only needs WI, which he looks to have.
           \_ Yeah, I just came to this conclusion myself, too.  Corrected.
           \_ IA and NM are somewhat longshots, but not as bad as OH. It'll
              be hard for Kerry to win OH. I think it's over for Kerry, it
              seems very unlikely he will sweep. NM looks very much like a lock
              as is OH.
              \_ Well, you'll need to wait 12 days before OH declares a
                 winner.  I don't think this will change even if Kerry
                 concedes OH.
              \_ This is ridiculous. BC's margin's in PA is smaller
                 than OH but they called PA for KE. And yet they
                 expect 90% of the provisional ballots to overcome 144K
                 and growing difference?!? Not to mention the popular vote
                 which for the first time since '92 there is a majority.
                 Please tell me how the popular vote is going to be out-of-
                 sync with the electoral vote with 4mil+ ?
                 \_ It's 250,000 provisional ballots.
                    But yeah, if that number were correct, you'd need
                    4 out of 5 of the provisional votes to go Kerry.
                    You might have called it ridiculous too when Gore beat
                    Dubya by 500,000 votes.
                    \_ 500K is not 4 mil
                       \_ Yeah, and 4 million ends up being a 3% difference.
                          So, where do you draw the line?
                          \_ Look, mr. "Where do you draw the line."  You got
                             pwned at the polls today.  Time to do some
                             thinking.
2025/05/24 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
5/24    

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