10/30 How hard would it be to fake something like the recent Bin Laden tape?
Every time something like this happens, un-named "experts" declare it
to be authentic or not, but how hard would it be with modern computer
video equipment to fool people? It seems odd to me that the media
downplay this possibility. I'm asking this as a *technical* question,
not as some conspiracy theory question about what really happened in
this case.
\_ So you agree with Walter Cronkite that Karl Rove is somehow
involved in the creation and/or release of the OBL tape?
\_ It's possible to fake things to arbitrary fidelity with enough
money. The technology is there. Modern CGI is very powerful.
-- ilyas
\_ ok, that's interesting. Does such technology exist anywhere
outside hollywood? Could a bunch of people with a lot of money
in, say, Pakistan do something like this from scratch?
\_ It is serious tinfoil hat territory to think that an OBL tape
would be faked with CGI. If Pakistan were to try to fake it,
they would get a look-alike. -tom
\_ I agree 100%. The question is whether it's *possible*
technically for someone outside of hollywood to do this
convincingly.
\_ Tom is wrong. It's true that no one will bother to
spend the money in practice, but the feat is not
technically out of reach. Consider ff the movie.
They had essentially photorealistic quality, but the
faces/bodies moved in ... odd ways. That movie was
a while ago, and it wasn't better then because square
had a fixed budget. If a government commissioned a
fully photorealistic clip of someone, money being no
object, it would be done. The entire clip would be
special cased, there would be an army of 'animators'
involved, the tag might run in the billions, but it
could be done. The bottleneck is not the technology
but how far people are willing to go. Ask any
graphics/vision guy. -- ilyas
graphics/vision guy. Tom also needs help with reading
comprehension, as he seems to be answering a tinfoil
question, which op explicitly said he was not asking.
-- ilyas
\_ FF was *not* photorealistic. It would be obvious to
anyone looking at it that those faces were animated.
It was an impressive feat, but one which would fool
only an audience willing to suspend its disbelief.
Humans are *very* picky about what we will accept
in terms of facial appearance and movement. -tom
\_ FF faces certainly did not _move_ in a
photorealistic way, but the stills were quite
believable faces. Anyways, I still think what
I said is possible with enough money. -- ilyas
\_ yeah, if you just put billions of dollars into
inventing new technologies, in 10 or 15 years
you might be able to achieve the same thing as
$10K in plastic surgery. And then you can
spend another 20 years working on generating
a plausible computer-generated voice that
sounds like a particular person. Christ,
you're an idiot. -tom
\_ So, John, how many examples do you need?
-- ilyas
\_ Well, I wouldn't call people names, but
I don't know who's right or wrong, so
I'll pass :-) -John
\_ examples of what? you setting up a
strawman that's totally unrelated to
the original question? There's no
shortage of those. -tom
\_ FF? The Final Fantasy movie with the weird story
line about ghosts from an alien world on Earth?
Their big claim to fame was getting the character
hair to look right which I think they got 99%.
If someone is saying FF had photo realistic faces
then sorry, I'm with tom on this one. They did
good facial expressions but not good faces if that
makes any sense.
\_ I wonder if you took FF-quality CGI actors, and then
ran the video through filters to degrade it to VHS
quality, if it would look a lot more realistic
because the small errors get blurred out.
\_ You're an idiot. All of the movement was
motion-captured.
\_ Uh, so? Why is that not a valid technique?
\_ With CGI? No. Nor in Hollywood. -tom |