Berkeley CSUA MOTD:Entry 33808
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2018/09/20 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
9/20    

2004/9/28-29 [Politics/Domestic/President/Bush] UID:33808 Activity:kinda low
9/28    I still can't quite comprehend how the majority of people want to
        vote for BushCo given everything he has done in the past 4
        years. But come to think of it, if they are dumb enough to
        believe everything that's coming out of BushCo's mouth, then
        they probably deserve 4 more years of BushCo.
        \_ Beware the person who believes that all who disagree with him are
           dumb.
        \_ The problem is, for the rest of us with a triple-digit IQ, we get
           stuck with 4 more years of BushCo as well.
                \_ Too bad the there aren't enough of the triple-digit IQ
                   voters as shown by the polls.
        \_ Maybe you are the idiot?
           \_ Maybe you ALL are homosexuals. -- Rainier Wolfcastle
        \_ A majority does not. Only one poll has Bush at +50% and all the good
           ones have it tied:
           http://www.pollingreport.com
           My prediction: Kerry by 7 points and the Senate to the Democrats.
           \_ http://www.electoral-vote.com shows 14 states tied or nearly tied, using
              *many* polls.  They are:
              Pennsylvania Michigan Washington New Jersey New Mexico Missouri
              Iowa Nevada Oregon Minnesota Maine Florida Maryland New Hampshire
              Every single one shows an increasing Bush trend. see them for
              yourself:
              http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/pennsylvania.html
              \_ This trend line is a joke. Look at it yourself. Bush
                 is obviously trending down here.
              http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/michigan.html
              \_ Bush still loses.
              http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/washington.html
              \_ One outlier does not make a trend.
              http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/new-jersey.html
              http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/new-mexico.html
              http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/missouri.html
              http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/iowa.html
              http://http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/nevada.html
              http://http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/oregon.html
              http://http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/minnesota.html
              http://http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/maine.html
              \_ No Bush trend here.
              http://http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/florida.html
              \_ This is an increasing Bush trend? You need to have
                 your eyes checked.
                 \_ I am reminded of "Band structure in Germanium, my ass"
                    \_ That writeup kicked ass.  Reminds me of the good
                       old physics 7abc days. -- ilyas
          http://http://www.shartwell.freeserve.co.uk/humor-site/germanium-humor.htm
              http://http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/maryland.html
              http://http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/new-hampshire.html
              \_ Read Zogby, The Christian Science Monitor and The
                 Economist polls. The problem with electoral vote is
                 that they throw in the obviously cooked Gallup numbers.
                 Electoral vote is biased and the guy even admits it.
                 You need to look at unbiased pollsters like the CSM.
                 What is your prediction? Let's see who is right on Nov 2.
                 I really don't mind you being self deluded, just don't
                 cry how the election was fixed on Nov 3. Things will
                 be clearer after the first debate.
        \_ Do you think Bush lied about WMDs, or do you think the CIA screwed
           up and Bush acted on the best available intelligence?  Do you think
           the war was illegal, or that the U.S. enforced the "serious
           consequences" clause of a UN resolution and showed the world that
           not complying when WMDs are concerned is not tolerated?  Do you
           think Bush is a fool who alienated our allies unnecessarily; or do
           you think he is always acting to protect America no matter what
           anyone else thinks, domestic or foreign, while relying on the best
           advice of his cabinet?  Do you think he is a reckless deficit-
           spender, or do you think when he says tax cuts are coming, they are?
           Do you think Bush went into Iraq without a well-thought-out plan to
           win the peace against advice from the Army chief of staff who was
           fired because he disagreed (and happened to be right); or do you
           think they already understand this and are trying their best to
           leave Iraq stable, and domestic dissent and public criticism both
           aids the enemy and hurts the morale of soldiers in the field?
           \_ I think that we should elect Bush President For Life and
              incarcerate and re-educate anyone who says anything bad about
              him until the War on Terrah is over. Which will be never.
                                   \_ Tear
              \_ I'm just trying to show how a lot of people can still vote
                 for BushCo given everything that's happened.  IMO, they're
                 all wrong, though, so I agree with your sarcasm.
2018/09/20 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
9/20    

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www.pollingreport.com -> www.pollingreport.com/
Click a subject area from the web site directory above, use the CONTENTS page or site SEARCH engine , or access featured topics via the links on the right. Data are from national probability-sample surveys of the American public. Additional data - including state-by-state presidential, congressional, and gubernatorial polls - plus analyses by leading pollsters, are available to subscribers. Election 2004 WHITE HOUSE CONGRESS STATE POLLS subscribers updated 4/14 State of the Union President Bush V ice P resident Cheney Congress Direction of the country National priorities Consumer confidence updated 4/14 NATIONAL BAROMETER Trend Lines National Security Iraq: Another Vietnam? The role of the UN Gun laws The United States & the world The Oscars Immigration reform Outsourcing American jobs China: Economic superpower Friend or foe? Rating the War Cabinet Jews and Jesus TVs standards and practices Click for details on accessing state polls.
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www.electoral-vote.com/states/pennsylvania.html
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www.electoral-vote.com/states/michigan.html
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www.electoral-vote.com/states/washington.html
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www.electoral-vote.com/states/new-jersey.html
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www.electoral-vote.com/states/new-mexico.html
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www.electoral-vote.com/states/missouri.html
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www.electoral-vote.com/states/iowa.html
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www.electoral-vote.com/states/nevada.html
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www.electoral-vote.com/states/oregon.html
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www.electoral-vote.com/states/minnesota.html
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www.electoral-vote.com/states/maine.html
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www.electoral-vote.com/states/florida.html
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www.shartwell.freeserve.co.uk/humor-site/germanium-humor.htm
Electron Band Structure In Germanium, My Ass (Lucas Kovar) This classic piece of academic "humor" was regularly circulated at work where we use germanium in our products. Abstract The exponential dependence of resistivity on temperature in germanium is found to be a great big lie. My careful theoretical modeling and painstaking experimentation reveal 1) that my equipment is crap, as are all the available texts on the subject and 2) that this whole exercise was a complete waste of my time. Introduction Electrons in germanium are confined to well-defined energy bands that are separated by "forbidden regions" of zero charge-carrier density. You can read about it yourself if you want to, although I don't recommend it. You'll have to wade through an obtuse, convoluted discussion about considering an arbitrary number of non-coupled harmonic-oscillator potentials and taking limits and so on. The upshot is that if you heat up a sample of germanium, electrons will jump from a non-conductive energy band to a conductive one, thereby creating a measurable change in resistivity. This relation between temperature and resistivity can be shown to be exponential in certain temperature regimes by waving your hands and chanting "to first order". Experiment procedure I sifted through the box of germanium crystals and chose the one that appeared to be the least cracked. Then I soldered wires onto the crystal in the spots shown in figure 2b of Lab Handout 32. Do you have any idea how hard it is to solder wires to germanium? The solder simply won't stick, and you can forget about getting any of the grad students in the solid state labs to help you out. Once the wires were in place, I attached them as appropriate to the second-rate equipment I scavenged from the back of the lab, none of which worked properly. I soon wised up and swiped replacements from the well-stocked research labs. This is how they treat undergrads around here: they give you broken tools and then don't understand why you don't get any results. In order to control the temperature of the germanium, I attached the crystal to a copper rod, the upper end of which was attached to a heating coil and the lower end of which was dipped in a thermos of liquid nitrogen. That's right: I pay a cool ten grand a quarter to come here, and yet they can't spare the five bucks to ensure that I have a working thermos. I busted my ass day and night in order to provide you with nothing but the best data possible. Now, let's look a bit more closely at this data, remembering that it is absolutely first-rate. Banking on my hopes that whoever grades this will just look at the pictures, I drew an exponential through my noise. I believe the apparent legitimacy is enhanced by the fact that I used a complicated computer program to make the fit. I understand this is the same process by which the top quark was discovered. Conclusion Going into physics was the biggest mistake of my life. I still wouldn't have any women, but at least I'd be rolling in cash.
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www.electoral-vote.com/states/maryland.html
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www.electoral-vote.com
News electoral college strong kerry Strong Kerry (109) electoral college weak kerry Weak Kerry (96) electoral college barely kerry Barely Kerry (75) electoral college tied Exactly tied (20) electoral college barely bush Barely Bush (56) electoral college weak bush Weak Bush (40) electoral college strong bush Strong Bush (142) Needed to win: 270 Aug. Enhancements News from the Votemaster We have three new polls today, including all-important Florida. Zogby's poll of Florida posted yesterday had Kerry 1% ahead. A Gallup poll taken a day later has Bush 2% ahead, so we now award Florida to Bush for the moment. Both of these polls are within the MoE so the state is still a statistical tie. The Gallup poll was based on 1002 people, so the 3% change was based on 30 additional Bush supporters in Gallup's sample compared to Zogby's. That's tiny, yet the electoral college gap narrowed today by 54 votes. We may have to wait until all the votes are counted--several times-- before we know. Missouri and Colorado are currently tied but suppose Bush squeaks through in both and the Colorado referendum fails. Then Bush picks up 20 votes in the electoral college and the score would be Kerry 280, Bush 258. In that scenario, Bush has won the three critical states: Florida, Ohio, and Missouri, and still lost the election. That's why battles are raging in some of the smaller states, like Nevada, New Mexico, and West Virginia. I don't believe that for a second, just as I am not convinced that Kerry is leading in Tennesse or that Colorado is a tie. Remember even with the impeccable methodology and no monkey business, about 5% of the time you get a sample mean that is more than two standard deviations from the true mean just due to bad luck. This site has far more about the election than just the map.