Berkeley CSUA MOTD:Entry 32606
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2025/04/06 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
4/6     

2004/7/31 [Politics/Domestic/Election] UID:32606 Activity:high
7/31    Post-convention Newsweek poll: Kerry/Edwards 54, Bush/Cheney 41.
        \_ Newsweek about as left as can be.
        \_ What struck me most about the Dem. convention was who was sitting
           next to Teresa during Kerry's speech, none other than
           Robert Rubin.  The same Robert Rubin of Enron, LTCM, and
           Mexico bailout fame.  It should be pretty clear who controls
           Washington, at least on the Dem side.
           \_ The desperate mewling of the neocons as they go down in flames
              is highly amusing.  Please continue, I'm putting together an
              almanac of quotes to mock you with post November 2nd.
              The official post convention numbers are here, in the graph
              at the top.  Nader included is first, Nader not included is
              second.  The rest listed are out of date.
              http://pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm
              Here's the Newsweek story.  Given the negative spin they
              give these numbers for Kerry, the "left as can be" quote
              from above is pretty funny.
              http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/5568072/site/newsweek
                 \_ Do you know anything about Robert Rubin?
              \_ Now I'm not a conservative or anything, but your "going down
                 in flames" claim is a little silly.  Most of the country
                 is deadlocked and either 99% sure they're voting for Kerry
                 or 99% sure they're voting for Bush.  One side will win in
                 november by getting a majority of the *very* small   group
                 of undecideds on their side.  This will not constitute either
                 side "going down in flames."  If Kerry wins, we can expect
                 the Republicans to start their usual shitfest at once,
                 probably looking for some way to impeach Kerry within a few
                 months.
2025/04/06 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
4/6     

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pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm
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www.msnbc.msn.com/id/5568072/site/newsweek
David Hume Kennerly / Getty Images for Newsweek Boys on the bus: The campaign embarked on a 17-state tour on Friday WEB EXCLUSIVE By Brian Braiker Newsweek Updated: 3:43 pm ET July 31, 2004 July 31 - Coming out of the Democratic National Convention in Boston, Sen. John Kerry now holds a seven-point lead over President George W Bush in a three-way race with independent Ralph Nader, according to the latest NEWSWEEK poll. When Nader is removed from the race, Kerry's lead widens to eight points (52 percent to 44 percent). Kerry's four-point "bounce" is the smallest in the history of the NEWSWEEK poll. There are several factors that may have contributed to the limited surge. Half of the poll was conducted on Thursday night, before Kerry had delivered his acceptance speech in Boston. On Thursday, Kerry had a two-point lead over Bush (47 percent to 45 percent in a three-way race with Nader). In Friday night polling, his lead over Bush grew to 10 points (50 percent to 40 percent). Additionally, Kerry's decision to announce his vice-presidential choice of John Edwards three weeks before the convention may have blunted the gathering's impact. And limited coverage by the three major networks also may have hurt Kerry. Still, Kerry and Edwards have gained ground on several key election issues. For the first time in the NEWSWEEK poll, as many voters strongly back Kerry as strongly back Bush (31 percent to 30 percent). In an election expected to be decided by a small number of unaffiliated voters, independents now lean toward Kerry by a margin of 45 percent to 39 percent, with Nader pulling 7 percent. And voters are becoming more likely to predict a Kerry victory in November: Forty-four percent say Kerry will win vs. Take our poll Voters are deadlocked at 46 percent over who they would trust more with handling the situation in Iraq (Bush had enjoyed a 15 point lead in March). They also just barely prefer Bush to Kerry (48 percent to 43 percent) on handling terror and homeland security, issues on which they had preferred the president by 21 points in March. This is significant because the top issues among voters are terrorism (21 percent), the economy (19 percent), Iraq (18 percent) and health care (15 percent). Kerry gets higher ratings as someone who can be trusted "to make the right decisions during an international crisis" (53 percent Kerry versus 48 percent Bush). Six in 10 voters (58 percent) are dissatisfied with the direction the country is headed and, domestically, more voters believe Bush's policies have hurt (43 percent) rather than helped (33 percent) the economy. Voters also feel they would far more trust Kerry (55 percent) than Bush (32 percent) with issues pertaining to health care and Medicare. Meanwhile, Bush's own approval ratings continue to slip. Forty-five percent say they approve of the job the president is doing vs. his high was 82 percent in the week after the September 11 attacks. The best news the Bush campaign gets out of the NEWSWEEK poll is that Kerry's stance on the gay marriage issue lies outside of the mainstream. Voters choose Bush's less permissive stance on gay marriage by a wide margin (46 percent to 33 percent) as the position that best reflects their own views. However, this potential wedge issue may be tempered by the fact that voters vastly prefer Kerry's progressive stance on stem cell research by a margin of 53 percent to 26 percent. On the heels of a star-studded week--which featured unequivocal support for Kerry from former president Bill Clinton; Max Cleland--the Democratic Party's nominee now boasts stronger ratings than the president on being "personally likeable" (67 percent agree with that description of Kerry, 62 percent of the president); on being someone who cares about "someone like you" (57 percent feel this describes Kerry, 44 percent Bush); and on having "strong leadership qualities" (31 percent don't see these in Kerry whereas 38 percent don't see them in Bush). With the major networks broadcasting very little of the actual convention in prime time, registered voters did not watch very much of it. Just half the voters (48 percent) said they watched at least some of the convention, with 41 percent of those who did watch walking away with a more favorable view of candidate. About a quarter (24 percent) of all viewers felt less favorable. For the NEWSWEEK poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates interviewed 1,010 adults aged 18 and older July 29 and July 30 by telephone. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.