2/21 Whether you are for or against an Iraq War: What do you think
is going to happen militarily? Lots of Iraqi casualties, very
little for the Americans? A cakewalk for the Americans? A
political victory for the Iraqis?
\_ If we go in with a UN mandate, everyone will surrender.
\_ war in iraq will mean the end of america. the jihad is already
primed after the unjust war in afghanistan, and a war in iraq
will just unleash the rage of muslims everywhere. it will mean
military defeat in iraq without, and uprising and reprisals in
america within. american streets will run red with blood as
we once and for all cleanse the world of these infidels. this
is the will of allah.
\_ I've seen the Will of Allah. All I get the Original Star Trek
Commemorative plate and a free wings coupon from Hooters.
\_ Hey, where's the nearest Hooters? I feel like a road trip.
\_ Militarily, Iraq will be defeated. They can't defend themselves
effectively in the desert environment against the well trained, well
equiped coalition ground forces that are supported by the
unchallenged air forces dropping precision munitions on the Iraqis.
Remember the "Desert Storm". Iraqis' only hope of slightly changing
the odds in their favor is to entrench themselves in the large
sites. Baghdad is a large city with a population of over 4 mln
people. It will sure be somewhat hard to take it and the US troops
might suffer heavier than usual casualties there. But, IMHO, if it
gets to the point that Baghdad is under a siege, surrounded by a
couple of hundred thousand coalition troops, I am sure the US won't
stop there and try to take over it at any cost (be it time or human
lives). Eventually, the game will be over. Saddam knows that. I
suspect that his strategy of moving the warfare into the cities is
nothing more but a PR move to persuade the US and UK that this war
will be longer and bloodier than they expect. If the war really gets
to that stage, either Saddam will likely try to flee to a third
country or he'll be removed from power by an internal coup/unrest.
\_ I agree that there won't be some big final street to bloody
street battle. SH isn't going to stick around to get his ass
shot off. If he does, it's over. If he doesn't there'll be
mass surrender in the first 48 hours and the rest will surrender
within a week to ten days.
\_ I think the US will crush Iraq with less than 1000 casualties.
Then we will have to occupy the country for the next 10 years
with 2 divisions of troops. Whether this is a good thing or not
depends on your feelings about empire.
\_ Saddam can drag the diplomatic game on and on until warm weather
comes. Then the US soldiers will faint of the intense heat
inside their anti-chemical-biological protective suits. Also, if
the battle goes into the cities, is it going to be another
Somalia? |