6/14 They say that condos do not have a good resell value compared to
single family house. Is this really true? -potential buyer
\_ For crebbs: you're making a few mistakes in your SFH vs condo
analysis. 1) SF is not a normal market situation. Any place where
there's too many people and not enough housing of any sort combined
with draconian rental laws like SF has which limit rental stock is
going to drive up all housing prices. 2) time counts. no one cares
that you can buy a condo today and make $5k selling a month later.
What you can't do is make a profit on your condo over the long haul.
At the end of a 30 year mortgage, the mortgage rate is next to
nothing compared to ever increasing income levels. At the end of a
30 year stay in a condo, the condo is going to have ever increasing
dues, maintenance that the condo board has put off for years
resulting in *huge* emergency bills sent to everyone that you're
legally required to pay no matter high the bill. And a "condo
neighborhood" never improves over time. It's a glorified apartment
complex. A SFH community grows over time, has a real community,
and becomes the kind of place people really like to live in. Thus,
I can buy a house today and sell it in 30, 50, or 90 years and it'll
make me a fortune but the condo is a break-even buy at best. Go
look at real world prices outside articifially constricted areas
like SF, compare prices, then come back to the motd with your
theories. In the mean time the smart folks on the motd are all out
buying the nicest, biggest, best house they can afford in the nicest
places they can afford. This isn't a fluke. This isn't because
motd folks are stupid (intentionally obnoxious maybe but that's
another story). Anyway, go get some real data and prove the
conventional wisdom wrong. Later. I gotta go mow the lawn....
\_ Here is Condo vs. Home appreciation for Chicago. Anyplace
where land is scarce is going to show similar data, not
just SF:
http://www.illinoisrealtor.org/iar/marketstats/news_release.html
The difference is even more marked over the last ten years.
\_ admittedly, thus guy got *really* lucky, but i know a guy
who bought a condo on forclosure for something in the 30-40k
range. just as he was moving in, someone offered to buy it for about
60k. he sold it on the spot and bought a real house, using the
profit as down. basically, the buyer wanted a block of
condos, and already owned the adjacent one. like i said, though
he was really damn lucky. not all luck, though, since he somehow
got the real house in forclosure for a great price also.
i think part of the secret is not to trust those fucking
realtor snakes. when they say they're working for you,
they are *lying*.
\_ Generally, yes.
\_ Hogwash. Real estate agents often say this. However, real
estate agents usually have the intelligence of a poorly
trained poodle. Just think about it. If it were true and
had been for the last 20 years, you should be able to get
one hell of a deal on a condo, but guess what, you can't.
(unless condos used to sell at one hell of a premium) -crebbs
\_ Dear Condo Owner, I don't care what REA's say. I don't talk
to them or know any. The ones I did meet while shopping for
\_ Home Owner, you are wrong in too many ways to count, most
importantly, in the notion that homes always appreciate
more than condos:
http://www.realtor.org/rmomag.NSF/pages/indwatch200203041?OpenDocument
property were either evil or stupid. I say this based on
real world data. Go back and compare housing prices over the
years vs. condo prices. A house is a *much* better buy in a
'normal' real estate market. In a place like San Francisco
where local housing laws have artificially reduced the supply
of housing, *everything* will go up no matter how utterly
shitty, slummy, and unlivable for a normal human being. SF
and other shitholes are the exception to the "Generally"
statement above. Over time housing prices will *always*
rise *anywhere* in the country. The same is not at all true
for condos. -Home Owner
\_ Home Owner, you are wrong in too many ways to count, most
importantly, in the notion that homes always appreciate
more than condos:
http://www.realtor.org/rmomag.NSF/pages/indwatch200203041?OpenDocument
\_ Your link is crap. It only goes back to 96 and only
talks in depth about the last TWO years. Try again.
\_ No, you don't know what you are talking about.
Most places in America suffer from a land
shortage and have been experiencing Urban infill
for the last decade or so, causing condos to
to outpace home appreciation. You can bet against
this trend if you want, but your notion that land
is always cheap and people will always be willing
to travel long distances to afford a single family
home is increasingly outdated.
\_ 1st.) i don't own a condo and never have, so you are
wrong twice.
2nd) I am not going to spend the time explaining how
incredibly lame your "Over time" argument is.
3rd) I didn't say anything about "better buy." as that
can be interpreted many ways. (you have a knack for
making meaningless statements). I am referring to the
original poster's point about resell values. And
No one here has explained how it is that condo's could,
for the history of their existence, been getting smaller
percentage gains in price over time and YET, if you go
looking for a condo, pretty much anywhere, it costs
about what you would expect a condo of that size to cost
relative to a house. Certainly very similar to the
differential 10 years ago.
finally.) I could be wrong if e.g., increase in
homeowners dues had a tendency to outpace other
increases. It also may be true for SOME condominiums in
deteriorating complexes but there are also SFR areas
that deteriorate, you just have to pick a good complex
\- i had a coversation about this kind of "rational expectations"
analysis of stuff like "condos=bad", pricing differentials
of good schol district [investment component + consumption
component], etc with a real estate person sitting next to
me on a plane. she convinced me there were certain "sticky"
and dynamic issues that made the simplistic analysis
flawed. for example if you factor in the market's ability
to change the quantity of condos onthe mkt either by new
building or apt conversation, it becomes plausible that there
is some "pressure" against them. ok tnx. --psb
\_ this assumes a purely segmented market. This is not
the case. It seems like a good argument that it is easier
to make condo's than houses in an appreciating market,
so there would be less inflationary pressure on them. But
at the margins (which is where it matters) there are
plenty of home-seekers that would buy a condo if the
price was right. (admittedly there are many who wouldn't)
In appreciating markets, condo's become more attractive
as houses move out of reach of some buyers. As is always
the case with this sort of thing, it is almost impossible
to state what the final effect is going to be. You can,
though, say, as i have thrice now: "look if condos
always gained less than houses, they would be REALLY
cheap RIGHT NOW (they having been around for some time)
and they are not." -crebbs
\_ idiot.
\_ and that argument also falls apart for places like SF
where it is hard to just build condos, and equally hard
to do apt->condo conversions.
\_ You miss the part above where someone talks very
specifically about SF and other artificial markets?
\_ No, SFH generally have better appreciation and hold
their value better (based on past history of the market).
\_ Also keep in mind that if a certain ratio of condo's become
rented in a complex, that potential buyers will not be able
to get financing.
\_ Please explain and(/or) point me to a url. I haven't
heard this.
\_ I dont know a specific url, but this was mentioned in
the chronical financial advice section about 2 weeks ago.
The gist was that in a condo/homeowners complex, where
there are too many absentee owners (landlords renting
out places) they wind up controlling the homeowners
association (as the HOA runs on one vote per PROPERTY,
not per occupant/owner), screwing up resale values in the
community and making financial institutions reluctant to
finance properties in the community. -ERic
\_ also, renter's tend not to take care of the condo's
as well as owner's, e.g. they can become run down. |