11/9    "FBI: Same Person Probably Wrote Anthrax Letters"
        ttp://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20011109/ts/attack_anthrax_fbi_dc.html
        More than a whole month after anthrax letters appeared, the FBI has
        finally come up with a criminal profile:
        - probably an adult
        - probably male
        - may have worked in a lab or had a scientific background
        - may have gotten vaccine or antibiotics.
        A high school kid can come up with this in twenty seconds.  Geez.
        \_ uhhh, right.  and after 20 odd years on the unabomber case,
           they had a profile of an out of work airline employee with
           little to no education waering sunglasses and a sweatshirt.
           \_ - There are a lot more adult criminals than minor criminals.  Ie.
                the % of adults among criminals is higher than the % of adults
                in the general population.
        \_ Ok, you've had some college or maybe graduated.  Let's hear your
           educated reasoning that would bring one to this 20 second
           conclusion.
           \_ - There are a lot more adult criminals than minor criminals.
              - Same argument for male.
              - Having either worked in a lab or had a scientific background
                makes it much easier (although not easy) to understand and
                get anthrax.
              - Knowing that anthrax is hazardous, it's more likely that not
              FBI has said anyway.  ("probably", "may".)
                that (s)he's taken steps to protect himself/herself with
                vaccine or antibiotics so that (s)he can stay healthy and
                produce a chain of attacks.
              None of these are definite conclusion, but neither was what the
              FBI has said anyway ("probably", "may", "or").
                \_ The difference is when the FBI says "probably" they're right
                   more often than your random guesswork.
                   \_ But according to that article, the only thing that the
                      FBI is near certain is that all three letters were
                      written by the same person.