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| 12/25 |
| 2004/4/26 [Politics/Foreign/Asia/Taiwan] UID:13389 Activity:nil |
4/26 US warns Taiwan not to perceive pledge of defense as blank check
http://csua.org/u/72p (NYTimes: csuamotd/csuamotd)
\_ thank you for the csuamotd!! now i can read NY times!!
\_ and numerous other pseudo-free registration sites.
\_ Yeah, that and all the other news I've been reading still suggests
that the U.S. doesn't think Taiwanese independence is worth it;
if Taiwan wants to break the status quo by pushing for formal
independence, we might break away from the Taiwan Relations Act --
there is only one China
\_ If it comes down to it, I don't think it's worth it either.
The status quo works. I don't want to get into a war with
China over a semantic pissing match.
\_ The current status quo only works up to now because it is based
on the assumption of a static model that the 2 sides are on
equal military footing. However, the situation across the TW
Strait is dynamic one. With recent missiles build up in CN,
CN is estimated to have the capability to invade and take TW
by 2006-2008. TW's current administration is under time
pressure to take some form of action by then. One scenario is
an outright formal independence. Another one is unification
under CN's one-china terms. The current status quo is
unlikely to be able to last for another 10 years.
\_ "With recent missiles build up in CN, CN is estimated to
have the capability to invade and take TW by 2006-2008" --
this is the first time I've seen this, and I read a lot
of stuff. "TW's current administration is under time
pressure to take some form of action by then". Have you
considered that a vastly more important factor could be that
Chen's term will be up by then so he's trying to get the
change in while he can, since Ma, KMT's probable candidate,
will probably win in 2008 and follow this with dropping any
pro-independence measures in progress?
\_ Actually this quote suddenly appeared on some newspaper
from Taiwan today, ostensibly quoting Jane's, which, as
I recall, has always been giving fuzzy statements like that
not just on China but just about any contentious subject,
but the dates keep changing. |
| 12/25 |
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| csua.org/u/72p -> www.nytimes.com/reuters/international/international-taiwan-china-usa.html Despite the lack of formal diplomatic ties, Washington is Taiwans main arms supplier and major trading partner. The AIT serves as a de facto embassy that handles United States interests on the island. The United States is committed to make available defensive arms and defensive services to help Taiwan meet its self-defense needs, Keegan told a symposium to mark the 25th anniversary of the Taiwan Relations Act, which mandates Washington to supply the island with weapons. We believe a secure and self-confident Taiwan is a Taiwan that is more capable of engaging in political interaction and dialogue with the PRC and we expect Taiwan will not interpret our support as a blank check to resist such dialogue. Washington switched diplomatic recognition from Taipei to the Peoples Republic of China PRC in Beijing in 1979 and stated United States acknowledgment of the Chinese position that there is only one China and Taiwan is part of it. But the Taiwan Relations Act says any attempt to determine Taiwans future by non-peaceful means would be of grave concern to the United States, and obliges Washington to supply Taiwan with defensive weapons. China considers Taiwan a renegade province that must be reunited, by force if necessary, and has said the Taiwan Relations Act sends wrong signals to Taiwan independence forces. Washington has become increasingly alarmed in recent months by President Chen Shui-bians plans to adopt a new constitution and other steps that could be perceived as moving Taiwan toward independence, analysts said. Last week, United States Assistant Secretary of State James Kelly warned Taiwan that unilateral moves toward independence could destroy its economic and democratic miracle. He urged Chen to take Chinas threats of military retaliation seriously. While reassuring Taipei it could continue to count on United States support and friendship, Keegan repeated Washingtons opposition to any moves toward Taiwan independence. |