2/7       Prediction: If the administration produces Osama bin Laden, dead
           or alive, before the election, it's all Bush.  Otherwise, it's
           virtually a coin-toss, no matter who the Dems put up against him.
          \_ Bullshit.  You're overestimating the attention span of the
             American public.  It's *still* the economy, stupid.  Right now
             that puts Bush in a very close tie with Random Democrat.  If
             the economy really takes off, Bush'll be unbeatable, and if it
             really starts to go down, he's dead.  Otherwise, it'll be
             close, barring another major terririst attack.  Joe Sixpack
             has already forgotten who Bin Laden is.
             \_ bullshit?  you just agreed with OP for the most part.  --!op
             \_ Yeah, the Dems are betting on the short American attention
                span.
                \_ Er...  both sides take it as a given... because it,
                   unfortunately, is.
          \_ Or if Dubya's administration finds the WMD.
          \_ I give the Dem's one chance in four. -Berkeley Liberal.
             \_ It's Bush's to lose with Kerry as the guy and his only reason
                people/dems are voting for him is they think he can beat Bush
                not that they like him.  That's not really inspiring.
          \_ Heh.  Did you see Bush's inept performance on Meet The Press?
             He's toast.  When even the National Review Online guys are calling
             him on his blather, he's in trouble.
             \_ The average voter isn't watching MtP, reading NRO, or a lot of
                other things you'd hope for.
             \_ Or at least he would be if the Dems could put up anyone
                who wasn't so increadibly LAME.  In 2000 Bush could not have
                beaten anyone.... except Gore, King Stupid himself.  Bush
                even keeps alienating his own voters.  It's pathetic.
                \_ It wasn't just Bush who beat Gore in 2000.  It was the
                   Bush/Nader dynamic duo.
                   \_ Go Ralphie go!!!!!!  Nader 2004!  There is only one
                      liberal ego big enough to keep a republican in
                      office.
                      \_ Ralph isn't liberal.  Ralph is for the people which
                         Gore sure as hell isn't.
                      \_ Nader just illustrated what a buffoon Gore was.
                   \_ Gore couldn't even take his own 'home' state.  That is
                      hardly Nader's fault.
                \_ Kerry's not as lame as Gore was, but he shares a lot of the
                   attitude and personality problems. Their anti-Bush hype
                   machine only works against people who already hate Bush.
                   I'm a liberal and Kerry is not a likable person to me.
                   I've gotten used to Bush enough that I don't really care
                   anymore whether someone like Kerry beats him or not.
                   \_ Kerry is going to lose for the same reason Bob Dole lost
                      in 96.  They said it was "Dole's turn".  That's no reason
                      to put a guy up for office.  They now say "Kerry has the
                      best chance to beat Bush" which is also a lame reason to
                      put him up.  The independent voters who make and break
                      candidates don't share the "anything but Bush" feeling
                      so if the only thing Kerry has going for him is the
                      "he's not Bush and can beat him" thing, then well, he
                      can't.  Kerry also has an inconsistent 35 year Senate
                      record to pick apart.  This is going to be uuuuugly.