Berkeley CSUA MOTD:Entry 10044
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2025/04/04 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
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2003/9/2-3 [Politics/Domestic/President/Clinton, ERROR, uid:10044, category id '18005#6' has no name! , ] UID:10044 Activity:high
9/2     Finally.  A poll that's more than simple fluff and used more
        than a 1000 likely voters instead of the typical 529 random
        people who may or may not vote.
        http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential%20Ballot_Sept2.htm
        \_ it's the arnie effect.  people go for the name they recognize.
        \_ Wow.  Check out the poll where 72% of adults say Fox News is
           a reliable source of news.  Yup, Rasmussen Reports is definitely
           living in the REAL WORLD.  Sheesh.
           \_ That says nothing about Rasmussen.  I bet a fair percentage
              of people might believe that Onion is a serious newspaper.
              of people might get believe Onion is a serious news paper.
              Real people in the real world are real(ly) stupid.  Get REAL!
           \_ Idiot, do you really not know the difference between a polling
              service and the people they poll?  You may disagree with the
              people they talk to but that does not in any way make the service
              any less accurate.  Did I remember to call you an idiot?  Yes, I
              did remember to call you an idiot.
              \_ Its a valid criticism - polls can be based upon invalid
                 assumptions.  I noted absolutely no explanation of how they
                 determine "likely voters."  The love showered on Fox suggests
                 they poll only in rural South Carolina.
                 \_ I don't like Fox but I doubt on south carolinans look to
                    it as the source of the Truth.  Just remember that tabloids
              did remember to call you an idiot.
                 they poll only in rural South Carolina.
                    are sold in every supermarket.
        \_ It was interesting to note that "Democrat" faired better than all
        \_ Zogby uses 1000 likely voters and has a very good track record.
           the available candidates...
           \_ People like the concept but not the candidates presented?
                \_ welcome to the Democrats!
        \_ Zogby uses 1000 likely voters and has a very good track record.
2025/04/04 [General] UID:1000 Activity:popular
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www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential%20Ballot_Sept2.htm
September 2, 2003-As a Presidential candidate, Senator Hillary Clinton attracts more Democratic votes than other contenders but still trails President Bush 48 to 41. Also, daily updates on the Presidents Job Approva l, the Democratic Nomination process, and Congress. If the Democrats nominate Senator John Kerry, the President leads 45 to 36. The national telephone survey of 1,499 Likely voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 29-September 1, 2003. Margin of sampling error is /- 3 percentage points with a 95 level of confidence. Rasmussen Reports measures the economic confidence of consumers and investors on a daily basis . As part of this process, we measure, employment, job satisfaction, interest rates, and more. Senator Clinton would reinforce the divide between Investor and non-Investors that has been growing in recent years. Americas Investor Class would vote for Bush over Clinton by a 53 to 35 margin. That represents a net swing of 22 percentage points from Bush 18 to Bush -4. While the Investor Class gap is larger for Senator Clinton, it exists for all Democratic candidates. Bush leads Dean 51 to 33 among Investors and 40 to 35 among non-Investors. Bush leads Kerry 50 to 33 among Investors and 40 to 39 among non-Investors. Investors are more likely than others to vote, so they make up nearly 60 of the voting public. While Bush leads individual Democrats, his overall poll numbers have slipped. A month ago, the President led 44 to 41 against a generic Democrat. The discrepancy between polls comparing Bush to a generic Democrat and those suggesting a specific alternative is the result of several factors. First, the generic ballot enables Democrats to envision their ideal candidate as the Presidents opponent. Second, the name recognition for individual Democratic candidates other than Hillary Clinton is very low. The President has lost ground compared to Kerry and Dean since the end of July . The margin of sampling error for the survey was /- 3 percentage points with a 95 level of confidence.