| ||||||
| 2008/3/7 [Recreation/Dating, Science/GlobalWarming] UID:49372 Activity:high |
3/6 /- dangit skippy, calm down
\_ I have a lot of energy from not getting laid.
\_ some of the world's wealthiest/powerful men were also
0 laid guy and channeled their energy to work. Most of
them didn't get married till they're really old.
Bill Gates, Larry+Sergey, Ikea guy, etc...
\_ http://www.sacred-texts.com/nth/tgr/tgr16.htm
Summary: "...most men don't achieve great success because
they dissipate their energies through over indulgence
in physical expression of the emotion of sex." Through the
art of sex transmutation, or channeling your sexual
energy into that of creativity and work, some of the most
famous men were able to achieve great success... George
Washington, Thomas Jefferson, Napoleon, Shakespeare,
Lincoln, Emerson, etc etc. So, there ya go. Sex makes you
dumb and lazy, ABSTINENCE IS COOL!
\_ Geez, ow could you forget Newton?
\_ http://www.nationalpost.com/life/health/story.html?id=304049
An energetic romp between the sheets the night before a
competition, some athletes and coaches say, can lead to
poor performance the following day.
\_ 'A slightly increased heart rate was present in the
aerobic test performed two hours post intercourse,
but no lingering mental or physical effects were
noted 10 hours after sex, leading the researchers
to conclude "sexual activity had no detrimental
influence on the maximal workload achieved and on
the athletes' mental concentration."' |
| 2008/3/7 [Uncategorized] UID:49373 Activity:nil |
3/6 need suggestion for windows program that will create slideshow
from nested directory of multiple folders. ok tnx. |
| 2008/3/7 [Academia/Berkeley/CSUA/Motd] UID:49374 Activity:nil |
3/7 Learn to use the fucking motdedit you dimwittid dim shit. |
| 2008/3/7-9 [Science/Disaster, Science/GlobalWarming] UID:49375 Activity:high |
3/7 So what's the truth about oil prices? I'm sure supply is about
where it was 5 years ago and I cannot imagine demand is that much
higher and yet prices are almost triple. Is this a speculative
bubble where investors are buying oil because they perceive the
price of oil to be rising, is this manipulated by OPEC, or have
costs of doing business risen dramatically?
\_ What about it? People are already working on a solution.
The free market will solve the problem. -dimwit #1 fan
\_ The problem is that it's not a free market for oil.
\_ http://www.wtrg.com/prices.htm
More info than you can possibly want to know.
Not directly addressed on that page is the fact that oil supply
is not entirely fungible; as production in individual countries
starts to fall, those countries tend to stop exporting oil before
their supply totally crashes. That shifts more of the demand to
countries with riskier supplies like Iraq and Iran. It also
reduces the excess capacity available on the market, which makes
the market more susceptible to shocks.
And demand is rising, of course. -tom
\_ Not really that much info there. Most of it was historical.
However, the article does allude to a $50/barrel "risk
premium". Is that really justified? To me that's another way
to say 'gouge' and that oil should realistically be about
$40-50 barrel based on supply and demand alone.
\_ Who is gouging whom? Crude oil is a relatively free market.
Why do you think it should be $40-$50 a barrel? -tom
\_ I am saying that based on supply and demand that is
where it should be. That's from your own article! So
there is a $50 "risk premium". That seems hard to
justify. I also can't believe you think oil is a
'relatively free market' when there is a cartel involved.
\_ Demand is certainly up and the truth is that oil prices are mostly
inelastic. So demand doesn't go down very much when prices go up.
If you think about this, there are pretty dire consequences for
the world economy, since the only other way to slow down oil
consumption is to have a recession. I can dig up some Economist
articles about this if you want, but you should try Googling
yourself first. -ausman
\_ I don't think these prices are driven by demand. Demand has
not tripled. The curve is steep and there's no real reason
for it. It's not unprecedented, but it's peculiar. I mean,
if demand is that inelastic then why not charge $200 or $400
per barrel? (Or why not charge $100 sooner when $35 was just
fine not long ago?) A 'risk premium' to me means that
someone is hoarding supply 'just in case they can't get any
later'. I know the US was doing this with the strategic oil
reserve. Is the US government the culprit and soaking up the
supply at these prices? Most businesses tend to buy what
they need and not keep massive inventories of oil. My
opinion is that much of this rise is speculative just like
the price of tulips or Miami condos. I am just wondering who
the greater fool is here. "Oil prices will never go down.
They aren't making more of it."
They aren't making more of it." I noticed in a lot of my
mutual fund portfolios that oil companies and suppliers are big
contributors in terms of % of portfolio. This implies to me
that Wall Street is parking a lot of my money there looking
for the quick buck and I was wondering what happens when
(not if) oil prices finally go down. Look at this graph:
http://i129.photobucket.com/albums/p237/1ace11/200705fig1.jpg
Pay attention to the "real" parts and not the forecast. As
you can see both supply and demand have been near a plateau
since maybe 2004 and yet price has risen.
\_ I look at the same graph and I see that production exceeded
consumption for most of 2004-2006, then production started
to fall, but consumption did not. In fact consumption went
up. So prices going up is what a relatively inelestic demand
curve would predict. Why didn't they raise prices sooner?
Because there was someone there willing to undercut them if
they did. Why isn't demand going down to match supply right
now? Because the people consuming most of the oil (American
drivers and manufacturers worldwide) are willing to pay
more to get the oil they want. This stand off has to resolve
itself somehow, I agree, but I am suggesting that it only
can do so by a demand shock not a supply increase, hence a
global recession, at least until we can get our economy
less hooked on cheap oil. The other alternative explaination
is that we are just suffering for an underinvestment in
oil exploration back when oil was really cheap, like in
oil exploration back from when oil was really cheap, like in
the late 90s. If that really is true, then production should
ramp back up again RSN.
\_ speculation, dollar weakness, venezualen hijinx
\_ Dollar weakness is something I forgot about, but a very good
point.
\_ Yes, perhaps these speculators are just looking for an
inflation hedge. |
| 2008/3/7 [Recreation/Dating] UID:49376 Activity:nil |
3/7 When will the swelling go down? They just seem so massive,
and like, they're ballooning out from the stitches (if that
makes sense) so I just want to know what's average for that.
When will the bruising go away? My breasts are like, almost
completely bright yellow...it really makes me queasy just
looking at them :(
When will the numbness go away? The sides of my breasts as
well as a little bit up into my armpits and even the backs of my
arms are numb to the point that they hurt when someone touches
them. Ick. |
| 2008/3/7 [Uncategorized] UID:49377 Activity:nil |
3/7 Earth to German john, we need more trolls. |
| 2008/3/7-9 [Recreation/Dating] UID:49378 Activity:kinda low |
3/7 Married guys, want to get laid more? Pick up the dustpan:
http://www.csua.org/u/kzd
\_ 100% true. My wife stays home, but the more I help, the more I get.
\_ 100% false is my case. I do all the household chores and BFD.
\_ 100% false in my case. I do all the household chores and BFD.
\_ Ugh. Do you both work, too? Why are you even still married?
\_ Works for the first week or so, afterwards it's not "new" and
you're taken for granted. It's not how good you are, but the
rate you improve that helps.
\_ I find going to bed early helps as well. Helping out around the
house allows us to go to bed earlier...
\_ I come home early, do all the chores and go to bed late, while my
wife comes home late and goes to bed early. I'm still not getting
laid from my wife, but I kinda lost interest in it with her anyway
after how she's been treating me.
\_ Are you going to Nina her?
\_ What's that?
\_ Why does she come home late? Is she working late, or what?
\_ She says so. I'm pretty sure she's actually in the office
that late, but I'm not quite sure what she's doing there.
\_ Drop in, bring flowers or dinner or something else she
might like. She's either there working and will dig that
or you can get moving on that divorce.
\_ Just take her randomly around the house. Like if she's making
breakfast just bend her over the kitchen counter. |
| 2008/3/7 [Uncategorized] UID:49379 Activity:nil |
3/7 Earth to dans, we need more trolls. |
| 2008/3/7-9 [Uncategorized] UID:49380 Activity:nil |
3/7 is Seal from Nigeria?
\_ Is your access to wikipedia down? |
| 2008/3/7-8 [Politics/Domestic/California] UID:49381 Activity:high 88%like:49391 |
3/7 CA judge outlaws homeschooling?
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/03/07/MNJDVF0F1.DTL
\_ "The ruling was applauded by a director for the state's largest
teachers union." surprise, surprise, surprise. -crebbs [formatd]
\_ You know, I don't have any use for religion, but I have even less
for meddling government beauracrats. Hey Teacher! Leave those kids
for meddling government bureaucrats. Hey Teacher! Leave those kids
alone!
\_ "The ruling was applauded by a director for the state's largest teachers union."
surprise, surprise, surprise. -crebbs |
| 2008/3/7-11 [Finance/Banking, Reference/RealEstate] UID:49382 Activity:kinda low |
3/7 http://www.ofheo.gov/media/hpi/AREA_LIST.pdf Conforming loan limits are now $729,750 for the San Jose-Sunnyvale- Santa Clara area. Even more for a duplex. Expiring end of 2008. Buy-buy-buy! \_ This only lasts till end of 2008 right? It's suppose to save the presidency or something. \_ How do I find out my area? \_ "housing, it only goes up!" "They aren't making any more land!" "Buy now, before you get priced out!" \_ I am glad I bought in 2002, before I got priced out... \_ Where would you have gotten priced out? \_ San Francisco, specifically Noe Valley \_ Just wait. Given real value decreases I'm sure we'll be back around 2002 prices fairly soon. \_ You are sure that Noe Valley is in for 50% drop in real prices soon? I am sure you are wrong. Are you one of those bitter renters, perhaps? \_ No. By the way, "bitter renter" accusations are essentially a Godwin equivalent at this point in the housing mess. The last thing that any renter is right now is bitter. \_ Nonsense. The bitter renters have been harping on the motd for years. If they had bought back then they'd still be above their purchase price and would actually be on their way to owning something instead of supporting their landlord's yachting adventures. \_ It is not really a yacht, just a 32 foot wooden sailboat... \_ Does that Koolaid taste good? \_ Nationally, home equity levels are the lowest ever. They'd be renting from the bank like the rest of America. \_ Up 50% after the all the drops. It tastes *great*! Thanks for asking. How is your landlord doing lately? Better than you I'd wager. \_ Nationally, home equity levels are the lowest ever. They'd be renting from the bank like the rest of America. \_ Which has nothing to do with prices and everything to do with individuals taking money out of their equity to buy toys. That has nothing at all to do with the economy, housing, or anything. Just people being dumb and greedy. I did not take out anything when I refi'd and every month I own a bit more. \_ So are you or aren't you predicting a real drop in Noe Valley home prices of 50% "real soon"? Can you define real soon a little more precisely please? \_ Hard to tell, but I'd expect within a time frame of 5 to 7 years. Depends a lot on whether the dollar continues to become more worthless, which I think is a good bet. \_ Home prices have traditionally done okay in a period of high inflation. Not great, but not that bad, especially if you have a mortgage that is getting inflated away as well. Where would you \- yes you are paying with inflated dollars, but some of you house apprecaition is nominal appreciation. rather keep your assets? Gold? And even if your rather pessimistic prediction comes true, I will have lived in a place for 10 years for the cost of mortgage + taxes + maint - tax break, which is already less than rent for me. \_ I'm sure you'll be fine, given that you didn't buy in the truly inane bubble periods and you probably have a pretty sane loan. And I'll be a perfectly happy "bitter renter" on the sidelines until I need to buy and prices are a little more realistic. But this conforming limit change certainly does not mean "buy buy buy." For more on the requirements for "jumbo conforming" see here: http://csua.org/u/kzo (calculated risk) The DTI, LTV, and re-fi requirements seem daunting to me. Won't be surprised if these end up costing more than a traditional jumbo. \_ I would not buy today either. Or in 2005-2006, when things were crazy. To tell you the truth, I was kind of nervous buying even in 2002. But I guess it all worked out, barring a huge deflationary period (that is when people with $1/2M loans really get screwed). \_ I was certain I was buying at the top in 2001 and boy was I wrong. It's hard to predict tops/bottoms so just buy when you can afford to. \_ Certainly home owners will do better than renters in an inflationary economy; mortgage payment relative to income will decrease, while rent will not. By the way, from what I can tell from the rules on these "jumbo conforming loans," the price savings in the end as compared to normal jumbos will be a wash. \_ Bitter renter? \_ Happy renter, but thanks for the generic troll. By the way, the DTI requirement on these new loans means they aren't gonna change much of anything, at least not in the Bay. \_ I say bitter renter because you cared enough to check. If you're so happy what's it matter what the requirements are or what effect they will/wont have on prices? \_ Curiousity, and a general fear that the economy is about to go in the dumper. There are other reasons to care about this stuff than house envy. \_ It doesn't matter what the economy is doing: so long as you have skills and some cash on hand, you'll be fine. |
| 2008/3/7-11 [Uncategorized] UID:49383 Activity:nil |
3/7 Hey crebbs are you Mr. phuqm?
\_ Why dont you email him to ask? |
| 2008/3/7-11 [Transportation/Car, Transportation/Car/Hybrid] UID:49384 Activity:nil |
3/7 Stuff like this can make the cities even more desireable places
to live. Imagine urban mobility without sharing the bus or
having to hunt for a parking place:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080307/sc_nm/usa_minicar_dc_1
\_ That "stuff" is called the bicycle, scooter, and motorcycle.
Stupid.
\_ ya know, not everyone shares your vision of Liberal Urban Utopia.
Despite the obvious rise and demand of city homes, the number
of people moving to suburbs still outstrip the number of people
moving to cities. The increase supply of city homes still cannot
meet the growing needs of our nation. As long as suburbs are
more affordable, there will be people moving to suburbs.
\_ OMG, now my car would actually be a useless little dink box that
every idiot has drooled over, left their condoms in, used to shoot
up, and I'm going to get busted for the drugs and god only knows
what that some idiot left in it before me. Fortunately I dont have
to carry anything bigger than a water bottle so this vehicle is
just perfect! I'm ready for Urban Utopia!
\_ This is new?? How is this different from the Toyota PM that has
been announced for a while?
http://www.toyota.com/concept-vehicles/pm.html |
| 2008/3/7-11 [Computer/Companies/Google] UID:49385 Activity:nil |
3/7 The google adds on http://straightdope.com today are almost all for asian mail-order brides. What is the keyword for these ads? Of course, actually that's pretty good matching... \_ I get "High Achieving Women" "Careers for Women" and "Adventure Tours for Women" (and I am a guy!). Google must know something about the both of us that we don't know about ourselves. Oh duh, you mean the banner ad at the top. Yeah, I see that, too. Quite amusing when compared to the ad at the bottom. \_ For me the 4 at the bottom were mail order brides as well. -op \_ 500 error. Too many motders trying to find a bride. |
| 2008/3/7 [Uncategorized] UID:49386 Activity:high |
3/7 The next time [person who disagrees with me] comes to Berkeley, let's
organize a rotten egg + tomatoe target practice. |
| 5/16 |