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2006/5/26-28 [Finance/Banking, Reference/RealEstate] UID:43195 Activity:nil |
5/25 http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/12975777/from/RS.3 More signs of a housing bubble. If you still have variable rate mortgage, you're fucked. \_ I thought more people bought houses, and GDP increased 5.3% during the first quarter \_ I've heard this statistic before (foreclosures up 72% over same time last year) but I also know that foreclosures have been very low for the last 5 years. So is the current rate higher than average? \_ Having an ARM and being fucked has *nothing* to do with any housing bubble, real or not. It has to do with rising interest rates which have been pushed up each time the Fed has met over the last 2-3 years. If housing prices dropped 90%, an ARM buyer would be in the same position as 30 year standard loan buyers so long as rates didn't rise. This is pretty basic stuff. \_ Not quite. The ARM buyer will want to get into a fixed loan and can't, because he'll get really shitty rates b/c he has no equity \_ Why would the ARM buyer want to get into a fixed loan if the rates weren't going up? \_ The hypothetical given didn't exclude rates going up. \_ Did it include rates going up? Since it was my hypothetical I'm pretty sure I know what I meant since I said "so long as rates didn't rise". |
2006/5/26-28 [Politics/Foreign/MiddleEast/Iraq] UID:43196 Activity:low |
5/25 http://www.military.com/opinion/0,15202,95496,00.html Lt. Gen Paul Van Riper sank half the American fleet in a wargame using unconventional tactics like motorcycle messengers and converted speedboats. The Navy's response was to make him do it again with convential tactics. \_ I saw a documentary about this and Van Riper claimed the enemy country was supposed to be Israel, not Iran. \_ Saying bad things about Rummy? Someone won't be asked to the next war game! \_ This sounds like business-as-usual for the Bush administration: make the facts fit the desires. \_ I don't understand one thing. He achieved his results by a surprise attack. I think this is useful in a war game, because it alerts commanders to the possibility (and the results if one were to occur). However, it was hardly military genius to fire a bunch of missiles off at ships steaming into the Gulf preemptively and would probably be incredibly stupid in a real situation were you, say, Iran. For all he would know, it wasn't a preemptive strike at all but an exercise and now he started a war against a more powerful opponent who has world opinion on his side. In short: they make too much of his apparent success in this war game. I'm sure the US wasn't too concerned about rehearsing to prepare for an Iranian preemptive strike, because that would be the best possible situation for the US. Hell, maybe they should strike Right Now. So it's fair for the people running the war game to want a "do over" with some rules in place. \_ Does the U.S. have world opinion on its side, even acknowledging how Ahmadinejad has been lately? \_ It would if Iran launched a bunch of missiles at US naval warships preemptively and sunk half of them, killing thousands. \_ You would have U.S. opinion, but you still sure about world opinion? \_ At that point who cares about world opinion? It would be an unquestionable act of war requiring an overwhelming military response, not a UN vote. \_ the guy below said it better than me \_ if our fleets are attacked and ships are sunk we'll respond militarily. we will not seek UN approval or worry about world opinion. world opinion and 5 bucks gets you a cup of coffee. \_ I'm not so sure. If we keep up with the "all options are on the table" rhetoric and showed up w/ a fleet in the Gulf, somehow I doubt Iran striking military targets would elicit much sympathy for us from countries that weren't already our allies. \_ I disagree strongly. I think only Iran's close, close allies (probably not even China/Russia) would side with them. Look at who sided with the US when the US launched a preemptive strike against a despised dictator - practically no one. If Iran launched a strike then every developed nation would oppose them, much as when Saddam struck against Kuwait. \_ I'm not the guy you responded to, but the question is, is it realistic to imagine a case where the U.S. would go in for a full-scale invasion on Iran a la Iraq? Iran may perform a preemptive strike if it's convinced the U.S. is coming for them, but not otherwise, since they're getting everything they want right now without firing a shot. The most I see in the near-term, and even that is highly doubtful, is conventional surgical strikes. Much more likely is sloppy sanctions while China and Russia reap all the benefits. \_ What's telling here is not his use of lo-tek to achieve his goals but the Fleet's utter inability to counter it. Even in a wargame, it makes sense to be prepared for this level of attack. \_ You would have U.S. opinion, but you still sure about world opinion? \_ At that point who cares about world opinion? It would be an unquestionable act of war requiring an overwhelming military response, not a UN vote. \_ Yes, I agree, who cares. But you still sure about what you originally said about world opinion? \_ What I wonder is what they're doing about it. The article implies they "cheated" and forced artificial constraints on the "red" outfit (isn't that what US war games call the bad guys?) However, it also mentions that further outcomes are classified. One can only hope that part of that classified info is "oh shit, let's fix this." -John \_ Nice try, classify is the new buzzword for "We don't want this to be publicly known because it is rediuclous and we're never going to fix it." -mrauser |
2006/5/26-31 [Politics/Domestic/President/Bush, Politics/Domestic/Crime, Science/GlobalWarming] UID:43197 Activity:nil Cat_by:auto |
5/26 http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/national/54921_energy18.shtml "Enron has been the largest single doner to GWB" Is this really true? I thought Walmart was. \_ Kenny who? |
2006/5/26-29 [Uncategorized] UID:43198 Activity:nil |
5/26 Can public defenders choose which clients to defend, or are they assigned? \_ Assigned. \_ Depends on who's on duty at the PD office. |
2006/5/26-31 [Academia/Berkeley, Academia/Berkeley/CSUA/Troll] UID:43199 Activity:nil |
5/26 I keep getting the Forefront magazine from the College of Engineering as well as massive desperate spam mails asking me to donate money to college of engineering, as well as to the general Berkeley campus itself. I'd like to 1) stop getting all useless publications that fill my mail box, 2) stop getting spam mails from the College of Engineering, 3) stop getting spam mails from Berkeley itself. How did they track my real address, and how do I do make them stop? Thanks. \_ Why don't you donate, just to the Gold fund (the one where they want 1000 alumni to donate $25). y they want 1000 alumni to donate $25). \_ I am not the op. But every time I get these, the fact that Berkeley disapproved my in-state recidency 3 times on the ground that I went home for Xmas and Thanksgiving always makes me think twice about donating. \_ probably rejected u cuz you can't spell or write english or figure out how to properly work the system like many others have easily done to get residency. \_ Well, if you "went home" then I guess they were right. You realize what residency means, right? You realize what residency means, right? -dim \_ None of this home/not-home shit has anything to do with him donating or not. If he hated UC he shouldn't donate. If he liked it and had a great time, he should consider donating. -- paid in-state, hated UC, won't ever donate \_ Don't be an ass. "Going home" does not mean "having your residency there", and as an out of state student, his tuition difference was a lot more than $25. -John \_ If his home wasn't here then he's not a resident. Period. \_ If his home wasn't here then he's not a resident. Period. -dim \_ dim wit \_ moron, my mother still says she went "home" (to the midwest) for christmas. She has lived in california for over 30 years, do you think she is not a resident? \_ She might say that, but it's not technically true. If it was, then she's not a resident either. My mom says she goes 'home' to Holland, because she grew up there, but it's just a figure of speech. \_ dim wit \_ I've not lived in CA since 1997. I'm not legally a resident anymore. My home, however, is there, capisce? Also, UC admissions disagrees with you: http://tinyurl.com/fycbf -John \_ How can your home be in CA when you haven't lived here for 10 years? Also, I read the UC page and you'll have to point out there UC page and you'll have to point out where it disagrees. I don't see it. \_ fucking dim wit \_ My mom lives there. I grew up there. I can always go back there. Ergo, it is home. And the UC definition lays out the conditions pretty clearly. Visiting your family over the holidays does not contradict "relinquish(ing) residence in other states." It's not that difficult to understand. -John \_ And, yet, the guy above says that's what UC told him. My guess is that it's because he didn't merely "visit family over the holidays" like he says. \_ Well then that's a different story and not what we're discussing :-) -John \_ I just think the use of the phrase "went home" is telling. That phrase is often not used literally and can mean "visited my family" but in context (guy is applying for and then denied residency) I think it's to be taken literally. He never intended to establish residency. I wonder if he still lives in CA. \_ Jesus Christ dim wit, you must have the the word don't you? Just admit you're an idiot and move on. \_ Yes, I must have "the the word". \_ You think donating will encourage them to stop? \_ Why don't you write them to tell them to stop? The address is in the spam mail. Then they will stop. Give them 4-8 weeks to update records though. Also remember that engineering dept and alumni house might have different databases, so if you continue to get spam, then just write another letter or call. Be patient. Finally, don't be a fucking cheapskate and donate something, give something back, make UCB better, you can specify what fund/program you want to donate to. As for how they track you: they got your SSN, DOB, last known addresses and more. Figure it out, college graduate. |
2006/5/26-31 [Transportation/Car] UID:43200 Activity:nil |
5/26 A friend of mine's dad had a stroke yesterday and is still in intensive care. The problem is, he just came to the US and is in the process of becoming a green card holder. (kind of like fiance visa, came here first, then apply for permanent residence..) the problem of course is he does not have medical insurance. The medical bill might be astronomical. What options do they have? Will applying for insurance out of pocket now help in any way? If he really doesn't have the money to cover the expense, what then? I don't want to talk about money with my friend now, but in case he asks me in the future, I would like to have some useful information for him. Thanks. \_ Negotiate with the hospital, they can usualyl half it or more. But in all honesty, ignore the bill, what are they goign to do send collections on him? Sorry to sound so cold. \_ Yes they will. And they will keep hounding him. When he dies a lien will be put on life insurance and any assets that would be transfered. His wife may be responsible for his debts as well. This is why medical insurance is so fucked up in this country. \_ I wish this would work, but it doesn't work that way in the US. Read the forms and small prints you guys signed. Someone's gonna pay for the bills and anyone involved will have to pay for it, in terms of time (trying to clarify issues) or money, or both. Hospitals are better at collecting money than IRS. Trust me, I've been there and I'm pretty pissed too. I'm really sorry about what happened. I'm not so crazy about the state of health insurance in the United States either. This is one of the reasons why many Asians (esp. HK people) went to Canada instead of the US after the communists took over-- smaller, kinder, more efficient and more humane social services. \_ http://abclocal.go.com/kabc/story?section=consumer&id=3718626 "by offering to pay cash in advance ... Sandi got her obstetrician to drop his price from $3,000 to $1,900 ... 'Unfortunately, someone who is uninsured or under-insured gets charged 5, 6, or 7 times what an insurance company would pay for exactly the same service' ... Many doctors and hospitals are willing to make a deal, but unless you ask you'll never get one" \_ Not sure if it will help, but what country is he from? \_ Hospitals are open to negotiations, so try that. Also, what kind of hospital is it, a private or county hospital? \_ Thanks everyone. This is Santa Clara valley medical center on S Bascom Ave in San Jose. This person just came from China. His wife is a permanent residence, and \_ "yo mama's so big..." his son probably is the one signed all the stuff at the hospital. Does that mean they'll go after the son if they cannot pay? I'll tell him about the negotiation part.. \_ When I have had family visit for longer trips, we took out visitor insurance for them. Did your friend not even think about/know about this, or did he consider it and then decide not to bother? \_ He didn't know about it. I guess I didn't know about it either until now. \_ I didn't know. Who do you go to for "visitor insurance"? \_ one of my coworkers told me a story that sounds similar... her mom was visiting from India and ended up in the hospital with complicated medical problems. The bill was huge and would have required a second mortgage on their house etc and caused her incredible amounts of stress for almost a year. What ended up happening was the bill was paid through some kind of emergency financial assistance arranged through the hospital, but it was not easy to get, they had to go through tons of bureaucracy - not easy to get, they had to go through tons of beaurocracy - long and complicated forms, different financial and background checks and they went through an appeal process at least once. checks and they had to go through an appeal process at least once. In the end they got the money though. I wish I could be more specific but I don't really have the details. |
2006/5/26-31 [Recreation/Computer/Games] UID:43201 Activity:nil |
5/26 Anyone have a link to the Meat Loaf / McPhee duet? \_ there is probably one on http://youtube.com by now. |
2006/5/26-29 [Academia/Berkeley/CSUA/Motd] UID:43202 Activity:nil |
5/26 Hallaluja, I'm back on the motd. Where's motdedit? \_ /csua/bin/motdedit \_ *now* it is, can we get a "me" softlink to that badboy too? k,tnx. |
2006/5/26-29 [Recreation/Pets] UID:43203 Activity:nil |
5/26 Alien image found inside of duck: http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2006/05/26/BAGVCJ28RM33.DTL \_ Nice: "Unusual characteristics are commonly on display among male mallards during the spring mating season, according to Travers. Their testicles, for instance, grow to three times the size of their brains, but they have never been known to sprout an alien head, she said." |
2006/5/26-29 [Computer/SW/Mail] UID:43204 Activity:nil |
5/26 postfix has milter support --Jon http://www.postfix.org/MILTER_README.html |
2006/5/26-28 [Politics/Domestic] UID:43205 Activity:nil |
5/26 "Mr. President, Pentagon officials have talked about prospects for reducing American forces in Iraq to about 100,000 by year's end ..." "That's some speculation in the press that I -- they haven't talked to me about. And as the commander in chief, they eventually will talk to me about it. ..." -Dubya (May 25, 2006) "I think the political people who give him advice will say to him, 'You don't want a Democratic congress. You want to keep the Republican majority. And the only way you're gonna keep it, is by reducing substantially the troops in Iraq'" -John Murtha (Jan 15, 2006) |
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