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2006/1/31 [Uncategorized] UID:41606 Activity:kinda low |
1/27 the FURIOUS is here. I'm about to go to sleep to link:tinyurl.com/b4xby \_ That's DER FURIOUS to you. |
2006/1/31 [Consumer/Camera] UID:41607 Activity:nil |
1/27 http://www.eff.org/deeplinks/archives/004342.php |
2006/1/31-2/2 [Computer/SW/Languages] UID:41608 Activity:nil |
1/27 I have a file I want to stream to a socket. (Read file, write socket) A loop that copies 1K at a time seems a bit silly, is there a way to directly stream it? \_ sendfile(), if you don't need to be terribly portable. -gm \_ Perfect, thanks. \_ netcat is ideal for this, its as simple as: nc < file |
2006/1/31-2/2 [Computer/SW/Unix] UID:41609 Activity:nil |
1/27 Is there some common unix tool to chop off the head of a file up to some marker? Other than perl etc. \_ sed or awk \_ what the pp said. or tail if you know the line number, and grep can tell you the line number. actually, there's an ungainly grep way to do it. \- hasnt this come up before? sed -n '/<regexp>/,$p' but that will operate on lines (as will grep). --partha "sed" banerjee \_ Ok I just wrote a little perl script. Basically this tool takes two files and diffs them, but you can tell it a different "differ". I need it to ignore these files' variable length headers. So my diff script processes them into temp files and calls diff. Is there some clever way to get that done in a commandline substitute for diff? \_ look up "named pipes" if you want to avoid temp files... other than that i don't think there's much you can do \_ tail +/marker -- for a reasonably modern version of tail. \_ It looks like "tail +" takes an offset rather than a match. What version of tail are you talking about? |
2006/1/31-2/1 [Politics/Domestic/Abortion, Politics/Domestic/President/Bush] UID:41610 Activity:moderate |
1/27 Justice Stevens is 86. Oh Fuck. \_ Don't worry, once #$%^ hits the fan, people will start voting Democratic again. Right now, people are just complacent. \_ Ah yes, the D party isn't corrupt and incompetent like the R party. And only the D party cares about the environment, welfare, healthcare, minorities, and things that matter to the people. D=good, R=bad, and spread the word. I got your message. Thanks. \_ Shit hits the fan everyday. We're not living in special times. Yesterday is like today is like tomorrow. \_ Yeah it sucks. He has to hang in there and we can't have another whacko Repub Prez next term. If he resigns or dies it's going to be an unpleasant 25-30 years. For the President it's good news, just as we are facing the end of the empire, financial collapse and a severe energy crisis the Supreme court will be all set to give him all the power he wants. \- justice stevens is suppose to be in pretty good health. he's become by favorite justice. i think nobody talks about hime being a super genius or anything but i think from his long tenure he brings a lot of wisdom to his practical decisions. \_ People who agree with us a lot are always wise. BTW, how did Stevens vote on Kelo? \- you know STEVENS wrote the KELO opinion, right? you know also he after the fact said that he thought new london was likely doing the wrong thing as a matter of legislative policy in this case but they did have the right to do so in this case based on his reading of established practice [this was in a speech after the opinion came down]. similarly STEVENS ruled congress had the power to overrule state pro-marijuana laws eventhough he personally though maybe they should stay out of regulating this at the national level. --#1 STEVENS FAN \_ I'm quite aware of who STEVENS is and what STEVENS has done. It was a RHETORICAL question. One should know that RHETORICAL questions, even about STEVENS are not intended to be EXPLICITLY answered, even if STEVENS or KELO are the topic. STEVENS wrote a legal OPINION that the government has the right to FUCK people out of their property and GIVE it to some random fuck PRIVATE developer to build GOLF courses on. Are you or STEVENS big fans of GOLF? That was also a RHETORICAL question. -- fuck STEVENS and his FANS \_ USSC ruled it constitutional. The local government made the law. Seriously, bitching about the decision is stupid. If you want to change it, talk to your representative. It will take legislation to change it. \_ Hmm, what did the USSC say about slavery? The Constitution as originally written was ok with it, so it must be ok!! Yay! Saying that because the USSC ruled in a particular way makes it right is what is stupid. Blind allegiance to some politically appointed body is stupid. Think for yourself. \_ Suck it. You're complaining about Stevens doing his JOB. I didn't say the SC ruling makes it "right". In fact, Stevens made exactly that point. So just fuck off. \_ By your 'logic' we should still have slavery and a bunch of other nastiness and no right to abortion. "So just fuck off"? If you can't back your words with reason and login, then go back to the play ground. The 6th graders are waiting for you. \_ You don't read too good, do ya? The SC gives their reading of the law. Stevens said he didn't like what they were doing, but the law as it stands makes it constitutional. That doesn't mean it can't and shouldn't be changed. You'd have a hard time stretching Kelo to compare to slavery. In fact, if you want to compare Kelo to Dred Scott, it took legislation to correct the legally right/morally wrong decision. And before you whine that it wasn't "legally right", take it up with the founders who defined the SC. \_ Thanks for the basic civics lesson. Care to explain how the SC found the "right" to abortion in the C? You can't. And when it gets overturned who is going to bitch loudest about it? The SC makes up tons of shit based on nothing. Nothing required them to go with Kelo as they and in fact IMNSOH their reading of the law re: Kelo was flat out idiotic. They made a wrong call on Kelo. A later court is likely to do a 100% about face on this dog of a ruling. It has certainly happened before. Why would that be if Constitutional interpretation were as black and white as you make it out to be? It isn't black and white and your falling back on "Well the SC said so, so it must be a good ruling" is just silly. At least if it was a unanimous ruling you might have a leg to stand on with a point like that. The SC ruled for Bush in 2000. Was that a good ruling? It was 7:2 and 5:4 on two different issues both in Bush's favor. All Hail The Absolute Wisdom Of The Supreme Court! Yay! \_ Hint: There's a reason I brought up SCOTT. I never said KELO was "good". \_ Christ.. You people and Kelo.. Get the fuck over it. Federalists should be happy. They granted local government the permission to make their own choices about use of ED. If you don't like what your local gov is doing, change it. Personally, I don't like Kelo because ED should yield a public commodity. Being able to use it to help a private interest secure land makes it just an easy way to lock in an artificially low market rate. But I suspect your argument boils down to "gubmint wants to take mah land.." \_ Who said I was a Federalist? I think it sucks that any two bit bribable mayor or local council can force people from their land and give it to some private developer. What is so wrong about being opposed to that? Your "suspicians" are cheap personal smear at best and not useful to a discussion on Kelo, the SC or anything else. If you want to know what my points boil down to, you can read them and ask for clarification without being an ass about it. \_ "The price of liberty is eternal vigilance" \_ Property rights are important, but why are property rights and gun ownership rights the only ones worth defending? Alito will likely take them *all* away if the executive wants it. |
2006/1/31-2/1 [Reference/Military] UID:41611 Activity:kinda low |
1/31 Never bring a rifle to a tank fight -John http://www.youtube.com/w/rifle-tank-battle?v=VV41UM7oh_4&search=tanks \_ in bed. \_ Also, never try setting up a tank battle at home: http://caricatura.ru/parad/saveliev/pic/6537.jpg \_ RIDE BIKE! \_ Unless you happen to have a M67 Recoilless Rifle. \_ Eh, not really. You probably mean something more like an FGM-148...though that's not really a reckless, and would ruin the 'joke'. The '67 is *really* outdated and mostly useless against modern armor. \_ I agree that these days you would use a Javelin, but that damn thing is a missle launcher. The M67 is the last infantry weapon classified as "recoilless rifle" so its the only one that would work as part of the joke. \_ I agree that these days you would use a Javelin against a tank, but that isn't a recoilless rifle. The M67 was the last weapon I knew about that was called a recoilless rifle, so I used that to make the joke work. |
2006/1/31-2/2 [Uncategorized] UID:41612 Activity:nil |
1/27 MPAA violates copyright and perhaps the DMCA to protect "raters and their families": http://www.eff.org/deeplinks/archives/004342.php |
2006/1/31-2/2 [Transportation/Car/Hybrid] UID:41613 Activity:nil |
1/31 Hack your Prius to enable electrical only operation: http://www.calcars.org/prius-evbutton-install.pdf \_ It'll be better if they make the Prius pluggable. \_ there might be other issues which prevents Toyota from doing so, things like effect on the life of its batteries, etc. no? Otherwise, it would be stupid for Toyota not to do this. \_ This is what makes me wonder about politicians getting into the act recently. http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=E1_VQPGRGD \_ a cached copy somehwere? economist is very expensive! \_ /csua/tmp/economist.plug.and.play |
2006/1/31-2/2 [Computer/SW/OS/Linux, Computer/SW/OS/Windows] UID:41614 Activity:nil |
1/31 Goobuntu, teh G00gle OS: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2006/01/31/google_goes_desktop_linux |
2006/1/31-2/2 [Computer/SW/WWW/Browsers] UID:41615 Activity:nil |
1/31 Anyone else have problem with Firefox hogging up the machine when it wakes up from stand-by mode? I can reproduce this problem consistently. \_ STF Motd. Lazy fucks these days: http://csua.com/?entry=41212 \_ Which version? Which OS? \_ No, but I have problem with Fx eating up >100MB virtual memory even after I close all the windows and tabs except one for http://www.yahoo.com Version 1.5, running on XP. \_ Confirmed... I've seen this a couple times. I've also had the FF process freeze in the background. \_ Wake-up or not, some sites will cause it to hog CPU. I suspect Flash or badly-written JavaScript. \_ Are you running Gmail all day? \_ Yes, but that's not the problem. -pp, !op \_ Yes I have the problem. Just learn to exit firefox before you go to standby. |
2006/1/31-2/2 [Uncategorized] UID:41616 Activity:nil |
1/31 RIP Coretta Scott King. \_ glad she didn't have any speech which charge copyright fees. |
2006/1/31-2/1 [Reference/Religion] UID:41617 Activity:kinda low |
1/31 OK, so this is trolling but I'm half-serious: With regard to the "Muhammad cartoon" controversy, are the Muslims insane? I can understand being mad that someone is making fun of your main religous figure. But leaders if Muslim countries are closing their Danish embassies and demanding the Danish gov't punish Danish cartoonists in Denmark. They are calling it hate-speach when it is at worst a disrespectful political caricature. While the Muslims obviously have no concept of freedom-of-speech, don't that at least understand that a foreign country has the right to apply its own laws to its own citizens? How much of this is just grandstanding and how much is actually intolerance of free speech? \_ This is one reason the demographic trends in Europe are kind of disturbing. \_ The US and Europe have felt free to tell Muslim countries how to run themselves for centuries... \_ True, but in situations like say 'honor killings' and religious repression, western societies generally say "stop that", not "we demand you punish the perpetrators" \_ It has nothing to do with "felt". It has to do with "the strong always rule the weak". It is the nature of things. For this reason, you should hope the West never falls to Islam during your lifetime. You'll have a lot more to bitch about and a lot less freedom to bitch about it. \_ I agree. The West wiped a whole continent clean of its original inhabitants. That's how they "rule the weak". Don't believe in their bullshit about freedom, etc. They don't really give a shit about your freedom. When it comes to their self interest and your freedom, you can be sure that your freedom will be flushed down the toilet. That's why I like Putin a lot. He knows how to say "fuck you" to the face of the Western hypocrites. \_ *laugh* Yes, ex-Soviet Russia under Putin is such a nice place to live compared to *any* Western nation. You had a good start with the genocide thing to which there is a response which could have turned into an interesting debate, but once you held up Putin as some kind of hero, you went over the edge and became Yet Another Lame Troll. The Young Troll Ratings board rates this troll as: WEAK! \_ A lot of it is for appearances, especially to their constituents and the rest of the Islamic world. Libya, mind you, is wacky enough that they might just be doing it on principle (that principle being that anything the Colonel doesn't like is evil). OTOH, imagine how the Catholic world would react to political cartoons of the Pope buggering an altar boy; I doubt they'd close embassies, but there would certainly be an outcry. \_ I'm not sure anyone would even notice such a cartoon. There are pleanty of anti-catholic cartoons around. You're attempt at equivelency doesn't work. \_ http://www.brusselsjournal.com/node/382 "Meanwhile in Brussels a young Muslim immigrant published a poster depicting the Virgin Mary with naked breasts. Though the picture has drawn some protest from Catholics (though not from Western embassies, nor from the bishops), this artist need not fear being murdered in the street. On the contrary, he is being subsidised by the Ministry for Culture." \_ I submit to you that a cartoon equivalating the Pope with a child molester is somewhat more specific and offensive than a picture of the VM baring her breasts or even a cross in a jar of urine. \_ I'm not really up on my Catholic doctrine, but I'm pretty sure Virgin Mary >> pope, by orders of magnitude. \_ Either way, I don't think you'd see rioting in Rome and Western or Catholic countries threatening to close embassies. The "moral equivalency" crowd should take note of this and a lot of other things coming from the middle east. Some elements of other cultures are not worthy of respect. Some elements of other cultures are inferior to the Western cultural model. \_ You're right, VM is greater than Pope in magnitude. However, what I'm saying is that by picturing Mohammed as a terrorist, the cartoonist is labeling all Muslims as terrorists, much as depicting the Pope bugger an altar boy labels all Catholic priests as pedophiles. This is a much more specific charge than depicting VM as a whore, and I think it would engender more outcry. that said, I'm not applauding or excusing the reaction of the governments who closed their embassies over a rather silly political cartoon. Really, these people cannot take a joke. \_ Now, there are plenty of cartoon and art pieces with Jesus (who as son of god probably outranks Mohammed theologically) in compromising situations. You mentioned Piss Christ, which was just a crucifix. How about Madonna and Child II, also by Serrano? Would that be more offensive than Mohammed as a terrorist? MaC2 oddly attracted less controversy than Piss Christ. (N.B. MaC2 is similar to Piss Christ, excedt with VM and baby Jesus instead of a crucifix.) \_ Not all that odd. It's not like people were fascinated by Serrano. Falwell found Piss Christ and publicized it. You wouldn't even know his name if it wasn't for Falwell. \_ I saw the Pope ask for 5 year old boys to molest and then get fed to a giant dinasaur which spurted blood all over the mosh pit at a GWAR concert, and as far as I can tell no one cared and it got no publicity(except in death metal circles where all the publicity was positive because GWAR rulez.) \_ So if I draw a cartoon mocking the Flying Spaghetti Monster, do I get pulled before the European Court of Human Rights (or whatever)? Or is it only when your free speech steps on the toes of billions that it's actually a Human Rights issue? \_ You need to make that billions who take their religion and themselves too seriously. \_ And are engaging in a long term war to push their religion on the rest of the world by force and numbers. \_ Courts of human rights are western thing. The Muslim reaction is violence. \_ Though calling back diplomats is in another category of idiotic, if you need to convincing that freedom of speech is interpreted capriciously in the west too, google for then Mayor Giuliani's reaction to Chris Ofili's art work or read about how a rep. of the Green Party to the European Parliment called for the entire nation of Iran to be banned from the World Cup because of Ahmadinedscad's anti-Semitic comments. \_ But you didn't see Israelis rioting in the streets or threatening Iranians over that. And those are just a couple of low-level politicians. Why do you have to equate everything? Maybe those cartoons could fall under the "fire in a crowded theater" category though, given how fucked up the Muslim population is. The concept of personal expression must be alien to them. \_ There is a difference between the response of an individual (Guiliani or that Green Party rep.) and the response of a nation or multi-national group. There is also a difference between threatening to withold funding or deny entrance into the World Cup and threatening to bomb a newspaper or kill a cartoonist. |
2006/1/31-2/2 [Politics/Domestic/Crime, Politics/Domestic/SocialSecurity] UID:41618 Activity:nil |
1/31 What's the difference between the Chairman, President, CEO and COO of a company? To me, all of them are "people up there". Thx. \_ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corporation http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chief_operating_officer http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chief_executive_officer http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chairman |
2006/1/31-2/1 [Politics/Domestic/Abortion, Politics/Domestic/President/Bush] UID:41619 Activity:kinda low |
1/31 Can someone please explain to a dumb oblivious foreigner like me the 411 on why Alito is bad for the nation? -dumb foreigner \_ Most importantly, because he doesn't seem to believe it's his role to provide an actual check on executive (i.e. presidential) power. \_ Because he's a solid conservative vote replacing a swing voter in a lifetime appointment post. Ideally the court would be 9 swing voters, but having it be a majority party-line-voters without any swings is bad for the nation. \_ So does this mean you were also against the nominations of Ginsburg or Breyer since they were also not swing-voters? \_ He doesn't believe in women's reproductive rights; he has expressed racist and bigoted views in the past; he doesn't believe in the rights' of individuals (vs. the govt). racist and bigoted views in the past; he doesn't believe in the rights' of individuals (vs. the govt). \_ Note how the above posts say nothing about the constitution. \_ Note how the above post begs the question: if individual rights and the balance of powers have nothing to do with the constitution, then what does? \_ 1) It's "raises" the question. 2) Interpreting the constitution according to how it is written (and prior rulings) strikes down laws that the legislative and executive branches enact if they violate the constitution. That's not a check? \_ He has lied to congress in the past under oath in order to get a federal judgeship, and has admitted he did it because otherwise he would not have gotten confirmed. Does that sound like someone fit to be the highest judge in the nation? \_ Cite? \_ he said in a job app that he interprets the Constitution to mean a right to abortion isn't covered. when questioned about this, he said, that was his personal opinion, but not his legal interpretation of the Constitution. no, it was his opinion AND his legal interpretation -- it's clear as day in his job app. he lies in your face. someone who lies in your face should not be a supreme court justice. \_ (not pp) an E'ist article mentioned something about him putting all his money in a Vanguard fund and stating that he would declare it if he were ever confronted with a case involving Vanguard, but forgetting to do so (then informing after the fact.) According to the article, there was no effect on the case. -John \_ Did it say which case? There was at least one case where his decision was vacated. \_ http://www.factcheck.org/article367.html Monga v. Offenberg: Alito was part of a unanimous 3-judge rule in favor of Vanguard. Alito also requested the case be reheard by a new panel, who also ruled in favor of Vanguard unanimously. At that time, Alito owned several hundred K of Vanguard funds, but he said the funds were not an issue in the case and no conflict of interest. Johnston v. Smith Barney: Smith Barney was Alito's stock brokerage, but he had no financial interest in Smith Barney. Sister's law firm: no one really knows, and there's no record. \_ Of Alito, a Democratic staffer said, "It became clear to us early on that the guy may be way too far right for our tastes, but we think the guy is a man of honor." http://tinyurl.com/b5fyr [nyt] \_ If the above stories are what pp is talking about, this is about the most disingenuous statment I've read so far this year. We need some sort of motd award for this kind of thing. \_ He said under federal oath "I will not do x." When the chance to do x happened, he did x. It doesn't matter if it was a cut and dry case. He presided on the case, after saying, once again UNDER OATH, that he wouldn't ever preside on a case concerning Vanguard. \_ Keep working on those Vanguard issues. Privately, Democrats are blaming the emphasis on Vanguard and other canards for their poor showing in Alito's nomination. http://tinyurl.com/b5fyr [nyt] |
2006/1/31-2/2 [Computer/HW/Printer] UID:41620 Activity:nil |
1/31 Does it cause color troubles to print photos from on Canon glossy paper in an epson printer? \_ it can cause color and image clarity issues. basically use canon paper in canon printers and epson in epson. however as said below there are some GREAT 3rd party options that look great. some will even come with profiles to help your print driver and printer -shac \_ Everything I've read says that modern inkjets are very, VERY pissy about using their own brand papers. (particularly Canon printers) --dbushong \_ I've been using Epson Photo Paper at $0.50/sheet on my Stylus Photo 1200 for several years. One day I tried Fuji glossy photo paper (forgot exact name), also at $0.50/sheet. The ink droplets don't spread out on the paper and remain as visible drops. Eventually it jammed the printer. I then tried Kirkland Glossy Eventually it jammed the printer. I then tried the Kirkland Glossy Photo Paper from Costco at $0.20/sheet. The printouts look even better than on Epson Photo Paper. \_ Update: I checked at home. The Fuji paper I used is Fuji Premium Plus photo paper (glossy), and the Kirkland paper is Kirkland Professional Glossy Inkjet Photo Paper. --- PP |
2006/1/31-2/2 [Transportation/Car/Hybrid] UID:41621 Activity:nil |
1/31 dave, suppose you put in a regular non-hybrid Civic engine into the Prius, how much mileage do you think you'll get out of it? \_ which dave? |
2006/1/31-2/2 [Reference/Tax] UID:41622 Activity:nil |
1/31 Is the land above/below the freeway owned by the state or federal government? Who pays property tax on I-80, 880, 680, 280, 237, 101? If the federal government owns a piece of land, does it pay state tax on those properties? -land newbie \_ This probably depends on whether it's an Interstate or regular CA highway. As for tax, the government doesn't pay tax. Are you kidding? \_ federal property in DC is not subject to local taxes. \_ To see why the fed. gov't. is not subject to local tax, perform a thought experiment where you're a mayor and you get to tax Fed. property however you like. \_ We declare this here bridge is worth $1 billion and we like to tax the feds at 50%. \_ I don't think there is a question as to why. I was just posting an example to help answer the question. \- See MCCULLOCH v. MARYLAND on the tax question. \- See McCulloch v. Maryland on the tax question. That is The Standard. note, this also applies to when say LBL buys a pencil in CA ... you are not supposed to be taxed. \_ And if you are there is a form for reclaiming that money from the State. |
2006/1/31-2/1 [Politics/Domestic/Abortion] UID:41623 Activity:low |
1/31 Legislators in five states introduce sweeping anti-abortion legislation http://www.washtimes.com/upi/20060131-090347-1251r.htm \_ Reference other than moonies? They say "proposing," not "introduced." -tom \_ Is the UPI moonie-ville as well? \_ yes. -tom \_ could you post a list of "Tom Approved News Sources"? \_ How about, most things not owned by the Moonies? The Georgia legislation, for example, is that you have to look at an ultrasound before you get an abortion. -tom \_ Isn't it kind of moot anyway? I thought Georgia was one of those states that only has like one functioning abortion clinic. \_ You're thinking South Dakota and Mississippi. Georgia has Atlanta for a liberal influence. |
2006/1/31-2/1 [Politics/Domestic/President/Bush] UID:41624 Activity:nil |
1/31 All Bush job growth due to government spending http://www.epi.org/content.cfm/webfeatures_snapshots_20060126 \_ First line: "Changes in tax law since 2001 reduced federal government revenue by $870 billion through September 2005." Yeah, that number is kind of pulled out of someone's ass. \_ URL that contradicts that line? You didn't even read the rest of it, did you? It's mostly from the whitehouse and defense department's own jobs numbers. \_ It's a projection. It's not a real number. \_ Bush upped the ante on this number last night. He called it $880B. \_ Not according to the Congressional Budget Office. 2001 Revenue = $1991.4B 2004 Revenue = $1880.3B 2005 Revenue = $2153.9B http://www.cbo.gov/budget/historical.pdf We can hope the rest of his data is more accurate. \_ I assume the article claims $870B in lost "potential" revenues. That is, the projected minus the actual. Ignoring of course any effect the cuts had (or didn't have) in spurring the economy. \_ Is that your bias speaking? The quote is very specific. "Changes in tax law since 2001 reduced federal government revenue..." Even if the author did mean "potential" earning, he is being extremely deceptive. Again, one can only wonder at the quality of his other "research". \_ That's a prime example of well-documented research. |
2006/1/31-2/2 [Computer/Companies/Google, Industry/Startup] UID:41625 Activity:moderate |
1/31 ObShortGOOG \_ i imagine anyone who shorted at 400 and saw the stock go back up to 440 must be breathing a sigh of relief now \_ Google is a POS stock and the company is (at best) equivalent to a media company like DIS. However, there's still a lot of Kool Aid. Way too much for me to bet against it again. Do you realize GOOG is valued at 3x DIS and even 3x YHOO? The stock is worth at most $130/share. \_ GOOG trolls VS. housing bubble trolls FITE!!!!!! \_ Hey, where's tom? I remember him naysaying the naysayers. Guess he's wrong, again. \_ Please locate a quote that backs your position. Don't forget the one where I noted that predicting the stock price of an immature company like Google was foolish. They still reported almost 100% revenue growth and over 70% earnings growth. Anonymous cowardly twink. -tom \_ IIRC, weren't you the one saying their "forward looking PE" justified their current and even high stock prices? \_ I never said anything justified their current price; I don't own GOOG and I never have. I did point out that trailing P/E is not a good way to measure the value of a company that's growing as fast as GOOG is. The question with GOOG is how long they keep up their growth rate and where they level off. Certainly when you release a report that your revenues are up 100% and earnings are up 70% year-over-year and your stock price tanks 10%, people are pricing perfect execution into the stock. But I think it's nuts to short a freight train, which has been my point all along. -tom \_ Why should it be a 'freight train'? Truth is, I overestimated the intelligence of the average GOOG shareholder and investor in general. It fell a little now, but there's no credible reason for the run-up from IPO. \_ It *is* a freight train of a company; name another company that's growing revenues at 100% per year and earnings at 70%. Google is making all the rules in its space. To bet against a company like that is folly. -tom \_ There are companies growing much faster than that. Check out the technology Fast 500. There are companies growing at rates like 60000% over the last 4 years. GOOG is just a household name and so lots of people drink the Kool Aid. of people drink the Kool Aid. GOOG is #14 on the latest list. \_ did you happen to notice that Google's 2004 revenue is two orders of magnitude larger than any of the companies ahead of it? In fact, the highest-ranked company that is within one order of magnitude of Google's revenue is #134, Leap Wireless (1,542% growth compared to Google's 16,591%). There is only one company on the entire list that has higher revenues than Google, and that's Cingular, and Cingular's revenue increase came because they bought AT+T Wireless. Thank you for making my point that Google is an extremely exceptional company. -tom \_ You are making too much out of the size of total revenues. If anything, it shows that continued growth at these rates is impossible. GOOG would be exceptional if they could maintain, but only a Kool Aid drinker would think they can. \_ I don't think Google can double in size yearly indefinitely. But the fact remains, they are the *only* company that is anywhere near their size that is growing at anywhere near their rate. You want comparable companies? How about EBAY, circa 2000? -tom \_ Why does their size matter? Only expected growth rate of profits matters. \_ Don't be obtuse. Google's profit also dwarfs all of the similar companies on that list, and profits are still blasting upwards. -tom \_ Does GOOG's EPS dwarf all the others? How much is a share of GOOG again? \_ You are now bordering on too stupid to argue with. But my last post here: of the public companies listed ahead of GOOG in the Fast 500, FalconStor Software (FALC) has the highest profits, at 0.02/share. Google is earning over $4/share. Oh, and did I mention the $8 billion in cash? -tom \_ FALC is expected to earn 8x that next year and a share is not even $9. Some math shows GOOG as having a marginally better P/E, which is *bad* for a company the size of GOOG. Companies 3x the size of DIS (market cap) are not growth companies. Why do you feel GOOG is worth 3x YHOO? Will GOOG revolutionize how stocks are valued or will a lot of investors be screwed in the end? \_ Go invest in DIS, see if I care. -tom \_ My point is that GOOG is equivalent to DIS, not that DIS is great. \_ DIS's story has zero relevance. -tom As a large media company like GOOG _/ it is very relevant. \_ GOOG gross margins: over 50% DIS gross margins: under 15% GOOG revenue: 90+% growth year over year DIS revenue: 5% growth year over year So, besides the fact that DIS's business is content and GOOG's is not, there's the fact that one is growing rapidly and one is not, and one has large gross margins and one does not. So, uh, how is DIS relevant again? -tom \_ DIS has 6x the revenues that GOOG does. It is a reasonable upper bound to what GOOG's revenues might be. GOOG already has 3x the market cap. GOOG's margin and growth rate have more to do with its maturity as a company and are not really predictive of where it is headed. So if GOOG increases revenues by 6x (or even 12x) do you think it should be worth 18-30x DIS? That would make it the largest company in the world. \_ I would not use a completely dissimilar company as a measurement of anything. Are oranges worth three times as much as apples? -tom \_ Are there any large advertising companies even remotely close to google's size? --new to this thread |
2006/1/31-2/2 [Computer/SW/WWW/Browsers, Computer/SW/OS/Windows] UID:41626 Activity:nil |
1/31 IE7 Beta 2 is now available: http://www.microsoft.com/windows/IE/ie7/ie7betaredirect.mspx \_ w00t w00t - jvarga \_ they stole that tabbed browsing stuff from AOL's web browser |
2006/1/31-2/1 [Politics/Domestic/Immigration, Politics/Domestic/President/Bush] UID:41627 Activity:nil |
1/31 http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,183363,00.html Who says Bush is not popular? \_ I have this odd vision of FoxBots adding positive or negative weight to comments based on keyword combinations and then only publishing when the end product returns zero. |
2006/1/31-2/1 [Science/GlobalWarming] UID:41628 Activity:low |
1/31 "Bush offered a proposal aimed at ending U.S. dependence on foreign oil." http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/01/31/bush.sotu/index.html Uh oh. I hope the oil execs don't get too pissed and do a JFK. Anyways, Bush vowed to increased R&D by 22% to use alternative energy. What are some research company stocks I should buy tomorrow? Please respond ASAP before 8AM EST. Thanks. \_ He's offered a "plan to end dependence on foreign oil" in every SOTU of his presidency. We've gone from a little over half of our oil coming from foreign sources to 2/3 in that time. \_ They give $500 mil to the ethanol people and call that alternative energy research even though it's bullshit. (So... ADM?) \_ 22% increase in DOE clean energy research is still pretty much nothing. Coal-fired plants and ethanol? Sounds like the same old same old. -tom \- i dont think it is "nothing". theDoE has been ramping up energy research for more than a year now. lots of people are being sucked into "solving the energy crisis" from other fields [like director chu, jay keasling, for two local people]. they already saw the funding writing on the wall going back at least a year and have stated that is their big initiative [as computational science, gene sequencing, nanotechnology etc have been in the recent past]. the reseach program has broadened a lot beyond airy-fairy plasma research, burying nuclear waste in yucca mtn. \_ Looking at the budgets at http://www.energy.gov/about/budget.htm, all the programs Bush talks about don't add up to $1 billion. So we're talking about $200 million at most, or three orders of magnitude less than the cost of the Iraq debacle. The reason he said 22% instead of giving the dollar amount is because the dollar amount is so paltry. (Overall DOE budget is $24 billion, with the majority of that being nuclear cleanup and weapons programs). -tom \_ Bullshit. Show me the labs. Or the budget items. I also work at a national lab, and I say you're talking out of your ass. \_ Remember the 2003 SOTU? Remember the "hydrogen" initiative? \- see e.g. http://www.lbl.gov/solar note: i am not saying this is a state of the union initiative. it pre-dates the speech tonight. i am saying in govt science funding community and other people in scientific leadership positions this has become a bigger priority. i certainly wouldnt be surprised if the BUSCHO initiative was pork to oil/car/agri industries. see also http://www.lbl.gov/Publications/Director note all of his talks there deal with energy or science educ and not say optics. \_ People in "scientific leadership positions" are simply not listened to by the people who control the money. Why do I say this? Because I work in a field that is largely concerned with the interaction of photons and electrons-- nanoelectronics--and no one, repeat:no one is getting any money in my field to do solar research. The top priority is quantum computing by far, with NASA detector research next down. We're spending hundreds of millions on quantum computing, it's totally dominating as a priority in solid state and atomic physics right now. How the FUCK is this a higher priority than energy? I don't know, but it is. \- ok, i have been a bit surprised at how much of this is going to bio and chem people rather than material science/solid state physics etc. but that may in part be some of this is driven by carbon management and environmental factors rather than energy production in the narrow sense [plasma or building better nuke reactors etc]. i am not saying this is a "manhattan project" or a tidal wave, but i think there is definitely a detectable wave in the area of energy securty with an eye to medium horizon less dep on oil rather than just global warming. between the enviro factors and the dependence factor i think the impeduts to do soemthign has gone beyond the tree huggers. \_ Oh, yeah, I'll agree with you that it's gone far beyond tree huggers, but I think the private sector is where the action is, and that the gov't is still not doing enough right now. I also have my own personal axe to grind, since I think QC research is a bit retarded. \- re: private industry: arguably the barrier to the private solution are indirect subsidies to the oil indstryy [in the large ... including things the the govt dredging channels so oil can be moved on ships etc] ... so if consumers faced a more honest cost for oil, that demand stumuli would be more effective than minor amounts of research funding. [i dont have a sense if nuclear is also indirectly subsidized by the govt not requiring private firms to fully account for risk, or waste disposal costs, but i would expect it is]. BTW, i frankly think conservation is silly. that just keeps things cheep for the non-conservers. that's roughly analogous to "if you think taxes are too low, feel free to send the govt some extra money". QC research isnt as retarded as sending people to mars/moon etc. \_ I agree with you on all points. Have you ever read Cradle to Cradle or Natural Capitalism? \- no, i've just heard some talk by that ALOVINS fellow. to go back to foreign policy and energy policy for a moment, i think an interesting foreign policy driver will be china and maybe india's apparoach to locking up bilateral energy deals rather than the global mkt for energy approach the US has sort of championed. it has been done in the past on a small scale [like my parent built a LNG plant in ACEH PROVINCE with japanese money in exchange for some kind of prefer- ential sales deal to japan] but i am wondering if the US is going to decide oil nations are not "allowed" to make those kinds of "futures contracts". \_ NASA's entire budget has been raided to send people to the moon. Science (includes earth science) and technology have been hurt the most. This manned spaceflight directive is proving to be a disaster. However, let's not kid ourselves. All the real money goes to the DoD and DOE. We can't spend money on research and technology when we are spending all we have in Iraq. There's your energy policy right there: go take oil from the Middle East at any cost. By the way, a lot of solar energy research is done by NASA for obvious reasons. |
2006/1/31-2/1 [Finance/Investment] UID:41629 Activity:low |
1/31 http://news.yahoo.com/s/usatoday/20060131/cm_usatoday/greenspansrecordnotsorosy Like I said, fuck Greenspan. \_ Jim Bunning? You must not have been paying attention to his re-election. Check out http://csua.org/u/euy [Wapo]. I wouldn't use him as an authority if I were you. \_ He is responsible for the stock market bubble, soaring home prices and record consumer debt because he was to quick to raise rates? \_ Greedy people with too much money and not enough brains are responsible for the stock bubble. Consumer debt is the fault of consumers (shocking, eh?) while rising home prices are the end result of many factors coming together such as the drop in the market, speculation, low rates, demographics, green lining, and probably a bunch of other things. \_ While consumer debt is the fault of consumers, yes, there are plenty of enablers out there. Not giving beer to alcoholics seems like a straightforward idea. How about not extending easy credit to the irresponsible? \_ Yeah, prohibition sure worked out great. And so's that "war on drugs". |
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